Fantasy Basketball: Is Chandler Parsons Finally Heating Up?

Is Chandler Parsons finally heating up to be the player we all thought he would?

Chandler Parsons, since he was traded to Dallas, has seen his numbers fall some as a Maverick. I am not sure what has led to this, but I expected him to still see the same basic numbers that he did with the Rockets in his last season there. It has not been a dramatic drop, but it has been enough to cause him to have a pretty significant drop in fantasy value. His averages last year with the Rockets looked like this: 16.6 points, 1.2 steals, .4 blocks, 4.0 assists, 5.5 rebounds, and 1.8 three-pointers a game.

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When he first arrived the differences were quite a bit worse. Right now on the season his averages are 15.7 points, 1.0 steals, .3 blocks, 2.4 assists, 4.8 rebounds, and 2.0 three-pointers a game. Currently the only cat he is higher in is three-pointers. There is some reason to think that he is finally increasing his play to match what he did in Houston last year. Earlier in the season he was not close to these numbers, but his averages on the last 30 and last 15 days are very encouraging. Over the last 30 days we see his numbers go up to 16.4 points, 2.6 assists and 4.5 rebounds a game. For the last 15 days he jumps up to 17.7 points, 3.3 assists, 5.6 rebounds and 2.3 three-pointers a game.

While he could just be riding a hot streak, it seems the smart money says that he is finally learning to fit in with his new team. He could also be shouldering more offensive burden with Rajon Rondo being out. However, for the larger part of the season Rondo was not a part of the Dallas offense, and should stand to only help him out even further upon his return.

I would be looking at trying to execute a possible buy-low on Parsons as he stands to continue to ride these numbers for the rest of this season. I would also be looking at him in any and all dynasty and keeper formats. My expectation is for him to finish the season with similar numbers to what he has been putting out over his last 15 days of this season. With the Mavericks there is really no reason he should not be able to sustain 17 points, 3 assists and 5 or more rebounds a game. His minutes have only gone up one minute a game from his season averages to his last 15 days averages. As the Mavericks fight to be able to slot in with the home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs and down the stretch I would think that Parsons could see his minutes jump up from 33-34 to around the 36 minute-per-game mark which would be a huge benefit.

I would not expect a drastic difference, but he is certainly picking it back up to the level we are accustomed to and should finish the season strong. This makes him an attractive buy-low target in all fantasy formats, so float some offers out there and see what you can do to acquire his services for your team. If you have any questions feel free to follow me at the link above on Twitter and hit me up there.

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