Five least likely NFL teams to win the Super Bowl

3. Cleveland Browns

Of this group, I think the Cleveland Browns are the one I struggled most with. Not because they have a real shot, but because they have so many good pieces and should have a shot.

This is a team with a solid defense, a great offensive line, a decent backfield, what should be smart coaches and yet they continue to lack in one vital area—the quarterback.

At least they’ve addressed the receivers a little, adding a past-his-not-really-impressive-prime Dwayne Bowe and Brian Hartline. Neither are world-beaters but they are better than what they’ve had (save for Josh Gordon who remains indefinitely suspended).

The quarterback position is a killer though. The choice between Josh McCown, an injured Johnny Manziel, Thad Lewis and Pat Devlin is enough to make even the staunchest Browns fan wonder what he or she has done to deserve this.

There’s no right answer really. One would think you’d like to see what you had in Manziel, but his elbow has been an issue. Plus, he’s clearly not quite ready, although that in itself is a disappointment. McCown isn’t really all that much better than Brian Hoyer was, and at his best Hoyer was adequate.

Can he manage an offense? Sure, though he is prone to more mistakes than you’d like to see your starter make, which is why he’s bounced around the league the last few years. He had some success under Marc Trestman in Chicago, but that was a perfect storm and the weapons he had were much better than what he’s working with now.

He looked pretty bad in Tampa Bay, where to be honest he had great receivers but an awful offensive line. Still, even when he had time in the pocket, he was who we thought he was—unimpressive.

There are a few other question marks, like will the run defense be better, can Jordan Cameron stay healthy and is the secondary going to improve.

Ultimately though the quarterback is the biggest flaw and the quarterback will sink this team.

Next: 2. Oakland Raiders