College Football Picks Against The Spread Late 9/12

I would like to start this off by thanking all of you current and former military personnel on this day. Some of us were affected more than others 14 years ago, but it is still never easy. Thank you current and active military for taking time away from your friends and family to help the cause of our freedom.

Now, on to the fun stuff! 21 FBS vs. FBS games finish off our Saturday. Here are the picks for all of those, against the spread, of course!

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I went a solid 20-18 last week, and netted three points with my new points system. That means I would have won some money in Vegas! Here is the complete rundown.

I’m going to try and build on that this week. It looks like a little tougher slate. There are 48 FBS vs. FBS games on the day, which leaves me plenty of picking to do!

This year I will assign a point value on each game so you all know which games I am most confident in. This will not affect my score, it is just a guide to what I feel most confident in.

The point scale will go like this:

5. A lock. I am comfortable making a sizable wager on this game.

4. Very confident. Not quite a lock, but I am comfortable making a decent sized wager on it.

3. Middle of the road. Good enough that I would make a small wager on it.

2. Could go either way. So much so that I wouldn’t bet on it.

1. Stay away from these.

Take note that any games that involve 1-AA teams will NOT be picked. There simply is not enough information to get an accurate spread.

In case you missed any:

Thursday

Saturday Morning

Saturday Midday

Here are my college football picks against the spread for the rest of the games on my birthday:

Marshall(-3.5) at Ohio(3): Ohio is better than they have been for the last couple of years, but they are not quite at Marshall’s level. Darius Vick is going to give them headaches, but I think Marshall wins…..by four.

North Texas at SMU(-4.5)(4): I’m still trying to wrap my head around why this game opened even. At any rate, the Mustangs actually seem to have direction this year, which is more than they had last year. They hung with Baylor for a half last weekend. They should be able to beat UNT by a touchdown.

(22)Arizona(-11.5) at Nevada(4): Nevada is going to be lost without QB Cody Fajardo. Arizona’s defense is missing a huge piece in Scooby Wright, but the Wolfpack won’t be able to come up with stops. Give me Arizona.

Ball State at (16)Texas A&M(-29.5)(4): This line is steadily climbing, and it probably still isn’t high enough. The Aggies could win by 45 or more. Give me A&M.

(21)Missouri(-11.5) at Arkansas State(3): After what USC did to the Red Wolves, I have to think Missouri can cover. This line looks low. Give me Mizzou.

East Carolina at Florida(-20.5)(4): This is not the same ECU team that beat North Carolina two years in a row. Shane Carden is gone. So are the top receiver and running back. This is a transition year for the Pirates, and it showed in week one when they struggled with Towson. Gators cover easily.

Memphis(-13.5) at Kansas(4): South Dakota State was up 31-7 in the second quarter before they ran out of gas. Memphis wont run out of gas. This could get really ugly. Memphis in a laugher!

Kentucky at South Carolina(-8.5)(3): Kentucky looked good in the second half against Lafayette, but if South Carolina can beat a good North Carolina team, they shouldn’t have a whole lot of trouble with Kentucky. Mike Stoops is not quite there yet. Give me South Carolina.

Idaho at (8)USC(-43.5)(4): USC has a habit of not covering huge lines like this, but come on, Idaho is worse than a lot of FCS teams. I have to go with the Trojans to cover this. Idaho might not score….

(7)Oregon at (5)Michigan State(-3.5)(2): This line has not budged one bit. Of course, neither team looked that strong in the opener. The Spartans allowed Western Michigan to come back and make a game out of it. The Ducks gave up 42 points to Eastern Washington. I will go with the experience of Connor Cook and the East Lansing faithful to take this one……by three points. Give me Oregon.

South Alabama at Nebraska(-27.5)(3): Nebraska looked better last week, but I still think this is too many. The Jaguars are not a bad team. They are somewhere in the middle.

Rice at Texas(-14.5)(2): I really don’t like that half. Then again, Rice won’t be able to do to the Horns what Notre Dame did. Give me Texas, I guess.

Florida International at Indiana(-7.5)(4): Uhh…..did they watch the first game? Southern Illinois took the Hoosiers to the wire. FIU beat a solid UCF team. I like the Panthers straight up.

Georgia State at New Mexico State(-6.5)(1): Heads. Georgia State it is!

Temple at Cincinnati(-6.5)(2): My confidence in this one went way down after what Temple did to Penn State. Still, Cincinnati is a solid team at home. I have to go with the Bearcats for under a TD.

Tulsa at New Mexico(-3.5)(4): Nope, I don’t buy this. Tulsa’s offense is for real, and the Lobos don’t have an answer for it. Tulsa straight up.

(14)LSU(-4.5) at (25)Mississippi State(3): I really wish we had got to see more than three minutes of LSU before Mother Nature took over against McNeese State. Of course, we may not have learned anything from that game anyway. I like the Bulldogs to at least keep this within three, if not win outright at home.

San Jose State at Air Force(-6.5)(2): How much is home field advantage usually worth? Seven points? Fine, I will take Air Force.

(20)Boise State(-2.5) at BYU(3): The Cougars are without Taysom Hill and Jamaal Williams, but they essentially were on the road at Nebraska last week too and still came out with a win. This time they are at home, and I’m not convinced that the Broncos are any better than Nebraska. Cougars straight up.

(13)UCLA(-30.5) at UNLV(3): UNLV played a solid game last week against a solid Northern Illinois team. I really doubt UCLA covers this. They will win convincingly, but I think the Rebels hang around for a while. Give me UNLV.

Central Florida at Stanford(-19.5)(2): Two of weeks one’s most disappointing teams will take on each other in this one. I’m not convinced Stanford can score 20, let alone win by 20. Then again, UCF might get shut out. Nah. Give me the Knights.

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