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College Football Picks Against The Spread Late 10-3

By Mike Marteny

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20 of the 58 FBS vs. FBS games end our college football Saturday. Want them all picked against the spread? You’ve come to the right place!

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I did better in week 4 than week 3, but I still have some catching up to do. I am even behind on the points scale! In case you missed it, the points scale is like this:

5. A lock. I am comfortable making a sizable wager on this game.

4. Very confident. Not quite a lock, but I am comfortable making a decent sized wager on it.

3. Middle of the road. Good enough that I would make a small wager on it.

2. Could go either way. So much so that I wouldn’t bet on it.

1. Stay away from these.

Take note that any games that involve 1-AA teams will NOT be picked. There simply is not enough information to get an accurate spread.

All of the picks for the Saturday games will be up at least two hours before the noon kickoffs for those of you parlayers out there.

Here are the rest of the picks so far in case you missed them.

Thursday-Friday
Noon
Afternoon

Here are my college football picks against the spread late 10-3:

North Texas at Southern Mississippi(-15.5)(3): The Eagles played their best game of the last 3+ years in Lincoln last weekend. I think they take some of that magic home and take it to the not-so-Mean-Green. Give me Southern Miss.

(3)Mississippi(-6.5) at (25)Florida(3): Ole Miss beat Bama in Tuscaloosa by six. I have to believe they can at least beat the Gators by that much. Give me the Rebels.

Arkansas at Tennessee(-6.5)(3): Who will win the Disappointment Bowl? Tennessee has a solid run D, and I still don’t think Arkansas can throw to win. Give me the Vols at home.

Eastern Michigan at (9)LSU(-44.5)(2): This line is actually down. It opened at -46. The Eagles have allowed a staggering 373 yards rushing per game, and LSU has possibly the best back in the country. There is no two ways about this. It gets ugly, and quick. I have to think LSU covers because I doubt Eastern Michigan scores.

Vanderbilt at Middle Tennessee State(-2.5)(3): Vandy heads about a half hour down I-24 to take on the Blue Raiders. This line looks backwards to me. MTSU is a decent team, but the one thing Vanderbilt has done right this year is play defense. They didn’t get covered by Western Kentucky, Georgia, or Ole Miss. Vandy wins straight up in a close one.

Louisiana-Lafayette at Louisiana Tech(-16.5)(4): Lafayette got destroyed by Akron at home. La Tech took Kansas State to triple overtime in Manhattan. This looks low. Bulldogs win BIG.

UNLV at Nevada(-6.5)(1): These two teams really don’t like each other. This is a huge rivalry, and anything can happen. UNLV looked good earlier in the year. Nevada just beat a solid Buffalo team on the road. Give me the Wolfpack, I guess.

Colorado State at Utah State(-4.5)(4): This looks backwards. Utah State is without Chuckie Keeton once again. The Rams have been a disappointment, but I really doubt they lose this game. CSU straight up.

South Alabama at Troy(-6.5)(3): This line has jumped four points, and is up to 7 at some places already. It shouldn’t be. I haven’t seen anything from Troy that says they can win this game. The Jaguars won six games and went to a bowl game last year. The burden is on Troy. Give me South Alabama.

Idaho at Arkansas State(-21.5)(3): The Vandals are terrible at home. What’s worse than terrible? Idaho on the road. Give me the Red Wolves.

Georgia Southern(-6.5) at Louisiana-Monroe(3): The Panthers are 3-1 against the spread this year. Why bet against them now? Give me Matt Breida and the Panthers.

(21)Mississippi State at (14)Texas A&M(-5.5)(1): I think this stays within a field goal. The Bulldogs might be the best defensive unit that the Aggies have faced so far. This score stays low, which favors Mississippi State. I think it stays within three, if not an outright win for the Bulldogs.

Arizona State at (7)UCLA(-13.5)(3): This looks low considering how poorly the Sun Devils have played at times this year. And it’s on the road. Give me UCLA.

(6)Notre Dame at (12)Clemson(-1.5)(3): The fact that this game will likely be played in a shallow swimming pool favors Notre Dame and their defense. It will keep Deshaun Watson out of the air for the most part, limiting his effectiveness. I will take Notre Dame straight up until I have a reason not to. Bettors have lost a ton of money counting the Irish out after injuries to Folston and Zaire. I won’t be one of them.

UTSA(-3.5) at UTEP(1): Losing Aaron Jones is a big loss for UTEP and for those of us that like watching unheralded running backs. UTSA has played inspired football against anyone not named Oklahoma State. That said, I’m still not sure they can win outright in the Sun Bowl. Give me UTEP.

New Mexico State at New Mexico(-12.5)(2): This line is down three points, and probably should be down more. I don’t care how bad the Aggies have looked. This is still a rivalry. Lobos by ten or so, but I doubt they cover.

Oregon(-7.5) at Colorado(3): Oregon is unranked for the first time in six years. Colorado has enough skill players on offense to put up points on the Ducks, but Colorado’s defense isn’t a whole lot better. Oregon still has a shoe factory full of elite talent on this team. They may not win by 40, but I would still bet they win by double digits. Give me Oregon.

Hawaii at Boise State(-24.5)(3): Too many. Max Wittek and his horde of receivers will keep this close until the fourth quarter. Boise by 14-17 or so.

Fresno State at San Diego State(-8.5)(3): Fresno’s defense has been arguably the worst unit west of Ypsilanti, Michigan. SDSU rolls behind Donnel Pumphrey. You know me…..I am a sucker for unheralded backs.

Arizona at (18)Stanford(-13.5)(3): Even if Anu Solomon does play, I doubt Arizona keeps this close. Unless Solomon can cover receivers because the Wildcats don’t have anyone on that side of the ball that can. Give me Stanford.

The weekly point breakdown goes like this for week 5. I have eight one pointers, 17 two pointers, 24 three pointers, 5 four pointers, and four five pointers. I appear to be shying away from the bigger points, but I can definitely make up ground if I hit 18 of those three pointers. I have a possibility of 154 points on the line. I’m hoping to hit about 85, which would net me 16 points. It’s an attainable goal.

Good luck for those of you making wagers, friendly or otherwise!

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