College Football Picks Against The Spread Early October 24
By Mike Marteny
There are 54 total games in week 8 of the college football season. 15 of them make up the early slate of games on Saturday. Want all of the winners picked? You can find that just about anywhere. Want them all picked against the spread? Well, you have come to the right place!
In case you don’t know what I do here, I pick every college football game of the season. Against the spread. Trust me, it’s not as easy as it sounds! I take the average of the odds from all of the Vegas casinos. I then round to the nearest half. There will be no ties here. Ties are for the other football (soccer).
In case you missed how the point scale works, here is a brief rundown:
5. A lock. I am comfortable making a sizable wager on this game.
4. Very confident. Not quite a lock, but I am comfortable making a decent sized wager on it.
3. Middle of the road. Good enough that I would make a small wager on it.
2. Could go either way. So much so that I wouldn’t bet on it.
1. Stay away from these.
Take note that any games that involve 1-AA teams will NOT be picked. There simply is not enough information to get an accurate spread.
My season mark is 183-181 so far. I am still above .500, but my goal was 55%. I am still a little short of that.
All of the picks for the Saturday games will be up at least two hours before the noon kickoffs for those of you parlayers out there!
Here are the college football picks against the spread early October 24:
(21)Houston(-21.5) at Central Florida(4): You might have a hard time finding this line at 21.5 when you read this. This line is up four points already, and half the places already have it at 22 or 22.5. Since the 21.5’s outnumber it still, that is what I will pick against. I’m taking Houston for anything under, oh, 35. UCF is that bad.
Southern Mississippi(-15.5) at Charlotte(3): This line is all over the place. It opened at 16.5, dropped under 14, and now is now at 15.5……nowhere. This truly is the middle ground. I get the discrepancies. This is a road game, and a team that is not overly talented trying to cover it. That said, Southern Miss has a decent offense and the defense is getting better. I have to go with the Eagles again.
Kansas State at Texas(-6.5)(5): Kansas State is a disaster on offense, and can’t stop the run. That’s all Texas does is run. This is a bad combination. I smell blowout. Texas wins by at least two touchdowns. Many people feel the same way I do. This line opened at even.
North Carolina State(-9.5) at Wake Forest(2): Wake has been covered by everyone but an underachieving Florida State offense and an anemic Boston College offense. Give me NC State, I guess.
(25)Pittsburgh(-6.5) at Syracuse(3): The Orange are a pretty solid team, but Pitt has a balanced offense and a defense that has found themselves after a shaky start. Give me Pitt.
Northwestern at Nebraska(-7.5)(2): I would be a lot more confident in this pick if that half weren’t there. Nebraska looked like the team they were supposed to be last week against Minnesota. A big reason for that is because Minnesota can’t throw. Northwestern is also a run-first team that hasn’t had a lot of success throwing the ball. Give me Nebraska, but I wouldn’t be surprised if they only win by seven.
Army at Rice(-7.5)(3): The most surprising thing is that this line opened at -14……for Army! That is a three touchdown swing! It is completely warranted. I liked Rice anyway. I got in on this while Army was still favored. I still don’t have much of a problem taking it where it is now.
Iowa State at (2)Baylor(-37.5)(3): Wow, this looks big. Especially when you consider that Iowa State is likely the best team that Baylor has faced so far. They are not terrible on offense. I expect the Cyclones to reach the high teens in points at least. Give me Iowa State. The game won’t be close, but I doubt Baylor wins by that many.
Auburn at Arkansas(-6.5)(4): Auburn still has trouble defending the run. This season has been a huge disappointment for both teams. Auburn has talent, but I just don’t see them winning in Fayetteville when they can’t stop the run.
(6)Clemson(-6.5) at Miami(4): This line opened at -2, and is up to -7 at a lot of places now. I have seen it as high as -8. I expect it to close somewhere near -10, which is about where I thought it would be. Clemson will be tested some here, but Miami’s defense just is not good enough yet. Give me Clemson.
Boston College at Louisville(-7.5)(3): I know that Boston College’s offense is a train wreck, but that defense is for real. I have a hard time seeing them lose by more than a touchdown to anyone not named Florida State or Clemson. Give me BC.
Tulane at Navy(-23.5)(2): Tulane won’t be accused of being good anytime soon, but this is a big line for an option team to cover. They have the talent to do it though. Give me Navy.
Bowling Green(-14.5) at Kent State(3): The Bowling Green offense is very, very good. So is the Kent defense. Is it good enough to hold the Falcons down the entire game? I doubt it since the Kent offense wont be able to play keep away from Bowling Green. Give me BGSU.
Fresno State at Air Force(-17.5)(3): This looks like too many. The Falcons got blown out by a surprisingly average Colorado State team last week. Fresno looked pretty good on offense for the first time all year. I think Waller will have room to run here as well. The Bulldogs at least keep it relatively close. Give me Fresno.
Miami(OH) at Western Michigan(-25.5)(1): Wow, this is huge. Miami is awful though. Give me the Broncos, I guess.
Stay tuned for the rest of the picks against the spread!
Next: ESPN College Pick Em Picks Week 8
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