The Buffalo Bills are playing at MetLife Stadium on Thursday Night Football, taking on the New York Jets in a key AFC East clash. Buffalo is 4-4 while New York is 5-3, with the winner sitting in second place and a tentative playoff spot.
New York is favored by 2.5 points to take down Buffalo, with an over/under of 42, according to OddsShark. Considering that the home team is automatically given three points, this shows a total lack of respect for the Jets. At a neutral site, the Bills would actually be favored, despite having a lesser record and starting Tyrod Taylor at quarterback.
The Jets have been solid at home, although it did lose to the Philadelphia Eagles there. Buffalo has been a tough team to figure, playing well against the Indianapolis Colts and New England Patriots, then looking utterly horrific against the Jacksonville Jaguars. If the Bills can win this game, it would go a long way toward them making the postseason for the first time since 1999, the longest current drought in the National Football League.
This season would tell us that the OVER is the right bet in this game. Buffalo has seen the total be OVER in five of its previous seven games. Meanwhile, New York’s total has been OVER in four of its five prior contests. The Bills have been tough on the road in recent times, covering the spread in four of its last six games. New York has been good in 2015 but not against the spread, going 2-3-1.