NFL Week 10 Odds: 5 best bets against the spread

There are bad beats and there are bad beats. Week 9 provided both for us, as the Steelers failed to cover in brutal fashion and the under in the game between the Bucs and Giants was destroyed in one of the most spectacular ways imaginable. In short, those two losses took a potential 4-1 week and turned it into a losing 2-3 performance, and that provides a bit of extra motivation for this week’s selections.

Handicapping is a weird beast, but even after last week, we are doing pretty well for the 2015 NFL season. Let’s take a look at where we are to this point.

• Last week: 2-3
• Season: 24-19-2

Are you ready to fade the public? I know I am. Let’s get to the picks.

Detroit Lions (+11.5) over Green Bay Packers

Given the general tone of this column, you probably knew this pick was coming. The Lions are brutal by all accounts, and no one wants to pick Detroit in a road game against Aaron Rodgers. However, Detroit is coming off a bye and, at least in theory, should be more prepared for the dynamic Green Bay offense.

More than that, though, the Packers have failed to cover in three straight, and they don’t appear to be the absolute juggernaut that this line still suggests. More than 80% of the action is on Green Bay at this juncture, but if anything, the line is coming back down rather than rising. I’ll align myself with the sharps on this one and take the double-digit spread, even if it turns my stomach.

Next: Dallas-Tampa Bay and New Orleans-Washington