DraftKings Late MLB Picks For April 16
There are seven games going on tonight, which gives us plenty of options to choose from. Who should you spend on? Let’s hit the stats!
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NOTE: these picks are based solely on statistics. Some players have never faced their opponents, or have very little experience against them. I am not saying that none of those are good picks. The highest scorer of the day could be someone with no experience against his opponent. This is based on statistical analysis only. If you have a gut feeling, then by all means, follow that. This is not an exact science. The best lineups usually have a mix of proven stats and hot players.
Bud Norris and Yovani Gallardo have little experience against today’s opponents, so you wont see any Rangers or Marlins players in here, though using Giancarlo Stanton or a plethora of Rangers against Gallardo may be a good idea.
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Next: Pitcher Picks
Max Scherzer ($13,100): There is a reason Scherzer costs this much. He has been dominant against the Phillies. The current roster has hit just .175 against him in 97 at bats with just five RBI and a whopping 28 strikeouts. He is worth paying for today. Really.
Justin Verlander ($9,400): The thought of Verlander squaring off with a potentially potent Houston lineup and having a worthy opponent in Collin McHugh may turn some away, but the stats are on our side. Verlander has held the Astros to an awful .158 average with a homer, ten RBI, and 22 strikeouts.
Shelby Miller ($8,100): Miller has only faced the current Padres’ team 34 times, but they have only mustered five hits off of him compared to 11 strikeouts. The Padres are awful. I would have a hard time not using Miller here.
Taylor Jungmann ($6,900): Hear me out. Jungmann got plenty of experience against Pittsburgh last year. The current Pirates are only hitting .167 against him in 54 at bats with one home run (by Starling Marte, his only hit in nine at bats against Jungmann) and as many strikeouts as hits (nine). He is a solid gamble in a slate filled with potential blow-ups.
Next: Who Are The Best Stacks?
You have heard our FanDuel experts Matt Rogers and Brian Tulloch talk about “stacking” pieces of a lineup against certain pitchers. Here are the stacks that could work well on DraftKings today, based on past statistics.
Look, I love Aaron Nola and what he has done so far this year, but don’t use him against the Nationals. First off, he is facing Scherzer, so the chances of him winning are minimal. Other than that, Bryce Harper ($5,000), Anthony Rendon ($4,100), and Jayson Werth ($4,000) have homered off of him while driving in six…..all in just 16 at bats. There will be better chances to use Nola.
The Diamondbacks have driven in 20 runs in only 129 at bats against Andrew Cashner, so there is stack potential here. Paul Goldschmidt ($4,900) is 7-23(.304) with two walks, a double, a homer, and five RBI against Cashner. Jake Lamb ($3,200) could be a decent play. He is 4-11 with a solo homer. David Peralta ($3,500) is 7-21 with two doubles, a triple, and three RBI.
Colby Lewis has looked good so far, but don’t use him against the Orioles. The O’s have hit eight home runs in just 94 at bats against Lewis. At the forefront is J.J. Hardy ($3,000). He just loves Rangers pitching. Hardy is 6-18 with a pair of homers and four RBI against Lewis. Adam Jones ($4,400) is 5-18 with a homer and four RBI. Mark Trumbo ($3,700) only has four hits in 16 at bats, but he also has a homer and four driven in. However, the most dangerous is Chris Davis. Davis ($4,900) is 4-8 with two homers and five RBI against Lewis.
Next: More Notes For 4-16
Only three Dodgers have much of a history against Johnny Cueto, but they have all done well. Andre Ethier is on the DL, but Adrian Gonzalez ($3,900) and Chase Utley ($3,200) are not. Gonzalez is 5-16(.313) with a double, a homer, and three RBI against Cueto. Utley is a robust 10-24(.417) with a homer and two RBI.
Luis Valbuena ($3,400) only has three hits in 21 at bats against Justin Verlander, but he has the Astros’ only homer off of the Tigers’ ace and half of the RBI (five). He could be worth a shot in the dark.
Want a sneaky play? Sure, we all do! Here you go. A.J. Pierzynski ($3,400) is 7-15(.467) with a walk, a double, two homers, five RBI, and zero strikeouts against Tom Koehler. You could also consider Nick Markakis ($4,000), who is 6-11(.545) with three walks and a RBI off Koehler.
Good luck out there, and check out our picks for the NBA playoffs and FanDuel baseball!