FanDuel MLB: Picks and Pivots for June 11 (Early)
Welcome to the Saturday edition of Picks & Pivots, a daily fantasy baseball column focused on providing analysis and insights into the top FanDuel MLB lineups. The purpose of this column is to first identify key building blocks that can be used for any roster construction and then identify pivot points to help differentiate your lineup in hopes of a big payday!
FanSided and Fantasy CPR have you covered – For additional FanDuel MLB analysis, take a look at Matt Rogers FanDuel Economics column or Mike Marteny who provides Draft Kings MLB Picks analysis giving you the most in depth DFS coverage for tonight’s baseball slate.
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Saturday’s games start at 12:05PM EST for the all day slate, with 8 additional games on the early slate at 1:07PM EST and an additional 6 games on the “main” slate which begins at 7:05PM EST.
I will continue to track winning Tournament lineups and compare trends over 5 day periods to help us understand what it takes to remain profitable. I HIGHLY recommend each of you do this each morning to look back on the previous night and understand how the winning lineups are constructed in the games you participate in.
The view below tracks GPP entries over various time periods, breaking out key metrics to understand the trends and compositions of GPP winning rosters:
| Time Period | Score | Pitcher Salary | Pitcher % | Hitter % | Hitter $/Player | Value |
| Season | 252.6 | $ 8,502 | 24% | 76% | $ 3,312 | 7.22 |
| 5 Day | 271.9 | $ 8,615 | 25% | 75% | $ 3,298 | 7.77 |
| Prev Day | 214.9 | $ 7,400 | 21% | 79% | $ 3,450 | 6.14 |
Now on to the picks…For more DFS Strategy insights, check out my latest article to help take your game to the next level! I highly recommend gamers track their game performance across the various types of games they play – GPP’s, Cash, Multipliers etc – as this simple exercise will help teach you more about profitable roster construction than you can imagine.
Next: Who are the top Early pitching options on Saturday?
Jake Arrieta ($12,300) at Atlanta: Arrieta is a massive favorite going up against one of the worst offenses in all of baseball and has averaged over 46 points per game over the last month. From a cash game perspective, Arrieta is the safest play on the board as a win should be easily attainable in this match-up against the Braves.
Arrieta has two 50+ point outing in his last 5 starts and with a small slate in the afternoon, there are very few options that have the ability to match the upside that Arrieta has on Saturday.
Chris Archer ($9,700) home versus Houston: Archer is my favorite tournament option on Saturday afternoon as we get significant savings dropping down from Arrieta which will allow us the ability to spend on the Coors Field bats.
The Astros are the most strikeout prone team in all of MLB and Archer is coming off a 12 strikeout performance against Arizona in his last start.
Pitching Summary: Early – In cash games locking in Arrieta is the safest choice to build your lineups around, however the issue with Arrieta is his price prohibits you from building a stack in Coors which has a combined team total of 12.5 runs. Archer is the top tournament option as he has the upside to match Arrieta while allowing you the cost savings to stack the Rockies bats.
Next: Who are the top hitters on Saturday afternoon?
Rockies versus RHP Erik Johnson: The Rockies have the highest team total on the board again Saturday and an all out stack of the Colorado offense is the clear top stack.
With the price points where they are, we saw reduced ownership of the Rockies hitters on Friday evening and with many people opting to pay up for Arrieta on Saturday we could see this play out again.
Carlos Gonzalez ($4,400) and Charlie Blackmon ($4,300) are the clear top hitters here but Gerardo Parra ($3,500) & Trevor Story ($3,500) are both at bargain price points considering the matchup and hitting environment. Stack away gamers!
Salvador Perez ($2,400) versus Jose Quintana: My favorite bargain option on Saturday is the Royals catcher who has absolutely feasted on Quintana over his career.
Perez is 18 for 48 with 2 home runs off Quintana and with the money we want to spend in Colorado, this is a great spot to save money and get a high upside hitter on Saturday afternoon.
Hitting Summary: With only 8 games on the afternoon slate, it is going to be a must to get some exposure to Coors with the projected runs expected to be scored. I would look to start with Parra/Story due to their price points and keep an eye on the lineup announcements to see if any further value opens up. Stacking the Rockies with Archer and then fitting in value bats will be my preferred course of action on this slate.
Next: Top Early FanDuel Lineup
Below you will find my initial lineup for Saturday’s Early FanDuel MLB slate including notes/comments on my roster construction.
Pitcher: Chris Archer ($9,700)
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Next: DFS Strategy - Take Your Game to the Next Level
Best of luck tonight gamer’s! Make sure to review the lineups as they are announced before locking in your lineups!