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FanDuel MLB: Picks and Pivots for June 11 (Main)

Jun 8, 2016; Bronx, NY, USA; Los Angeles Angels right fielder Kole Calhoun (56) and fans watch the home run ball hit by New York Yankees center fielder Jacoby Ellsbury (22) (not pictured) during the third inning at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Anthony Gruppuso-USA TODAY Sports
Jun 8, 2016; Bronx, NY, USA; Los Angeles Angels right fielder Kole Calhoun (56) and fans watch the home run ball hit by New York Yankees center fielder Jacoby Ellsbury (22) (not pictured) during the third inning at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Anthony Gruppuso-USA TODAY Sports
FanDuel MLB
Jun 8, 2016; Bronx, NY, USA; Los Angeles Angels right fielder Kole Calhoun (56) and fans watch the home run ball hit by New York Yankees center fielder Jacoby Ellsbury (22) (not pictured) during the third inning at Yankee Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Anthony Gruppuso-USA TODAY Sports

FanDuel MLB: Picks and Pivots forĀ June 11 (Main)

Welcome to the SaturdayĀ edition of Picks & Pivots, a daily fantasy baseball column focused on providing analysis and insights into the topĀ FanDuel MLB lineups.Ā The purpose of this column is to first identify key building blocks that can be used for any roster construction and then identify pivot points to help differentiate your lineup in hopes of a big payday!

FanSided and Fantasy CPR have you covered – For additional FanDuel MLB analysis, take a look at Matt RogersĀ FanDuel Economics column or Mike Marteny who providesĀ Draft Kings MLB PicksĀ analysis giving you the most in depth DFS coverage for tonight’s baseball slate.

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Saturday’s games start at 12:05PM EST for the all day slate, with 8 additionalĀ games on the early slate at 1:07PM EST and an additional 6 games on the ā€œmainā€ slate which begins at 7:05PM EST.

I will continue to track winning Tournament lineups and compare trends over 5 day periods to help us understand what it takes to remain profitable. I HIGHLY recommend each of you do this each morning to look back on the previous night and understand how the winning lineups are constructed in the games you participate in.

The view below tracks GPP entries over various time periods, breaking out key metrics to understand the trends and compositions of GPP winning rosters:

Time PeriodScorePitcher SalaryPitcher %Hitter %Hitter $/PlayerValue
Season252.6$ 8,50224%76%$ 3,3127.22
5 Day271.9$ 8,61525%75%$ 3,2987.77
Prev Day214.9$ 7,40021%79%$ 3,4506.14

Now on to the picks…For more DFS Strategy insights, check out my latest article to help take your game to the next level!Ā I highly recommend gamers track their game performance across the various types of games they play – GPP’s, Cash, Multipliers etc – as this simple exercise will help teach you more about profitable roster construction than you can imagine.

Next: Who are the top Main pitching options on Saturday?

FanDuel MLB
Jun 5, 2016; Miami, FL, USA;Miami Marlins starting pitcher Jose Fernandez (16) warms up in the outfield prior to the game against the New York Mets at Marlins Park. Mandatory Credit: Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

The main slate on Saturday night includes only 6 games which limits our options from a pitching perspective but there is one unquestioned ace that you should build your lineup around.

Jose Fernandez ($12,000) at Arizona:Ā The clear top dog on Saturday night is the Marlins Ace who has been a DFS monster over the last month, averaging over 61 points per start.

Fernandez has a ridiculous 37% K rate this season, striking out 110 batters in only 74 innings and goes up against an Arizona team that strikes out over 22% of the time.

The price point and the match-up in Chase Field may push gamers to other options, but there is no other pitcher on the Saturday slate who possesses the upside to match a hurler who is consistently putting up 60+ points per start.

Justin Verlander ($9,200) at New York Yankees:Ā The remaining pitching options on Saturday night are all in roughly the same price points which will allow for a variety of pivot plays if submitting multiple entries.

My favorite pivot play on Saturday night is Verlander, who has returned to the dominant form he has flashed throughout his career. Verlander is averaging 49.6 points per game which is good for 5.6x value at his current price point.

Verlander has 52 strikeouts over his last 6 starts (8.7 K’s/start) with no game under 7 strikeouts, so he has a relatively ā€œsafeā€ floor in terms of output. The only downside is that Verlander is a slight road underdog going up against a tough pitcher in Masahiro Tanaka which puts the win at risk.

Next: Who are the top hitters on Saturday night?

FanDuel MLB
May 13, 2015; Los Angeles, CA, USA; Miami Marlins outfielders Christian Yelich (left), Marcell Ozuna (center) and Giancarlo Stanton celebrate after the game against the Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium. The Marlins defeated the Dodgers 5-4. Mandatory Credit: Kirby Lee-USA TODAY Sports

All the top projected scoring teams are found on the early slate so I will look to target more individual match-ups or mini-stacks rather than full on stacks when approaching the Saturday main slate.

Marlins bats versus RHP Zach Godley:Ā The Diamondbacks will recall the Triple A pitcher on Saturday and with a game in Chase Field this makes the best place to find offense on Saturday night.

Godley in his brief career has shown reverse splits, giving up more hits/home runs to RHB but hitters from both sides of the plate are in play here.

Christian Yelich ($3,700)Ā is a top OF play with the platoon advantage in play butĀ Marcell Ozuna ($3,600)Ā is the hottest hitter on the team putting up over 10 points per game over the last two weeks.

Justin Bour ($2,800)Ā is a great value play at first base as he should be back in the lineup versus a RHP and has multi home run upside.

Jhonny Peralta ($2,400)Ā has stepped right back into the heart of the order for the Cardinals since his return and sits at a very reasonable price point at 3B.

Peralta is 18 for 53 with 4 home runs in his career against Francisco Liriano and makes for a top punt play when trying to fit in the Marlins bats/pitcher.

Next: Top FanDuel Lineup

FanDuel MLB
May 29, 2016; Atlanta, GA, USA; Miami Marlins center fielder Marcell Ozuna (13) hits a solo home run as Atlanta Braves catcher A.J. Pierzynski (15) is shown on the play in the 9th inning of their game at Turner Field. The Marlins won 7-3. Mandatory Credit: Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports

Below you will find my initial lineup for Saturday’s MainĀ FanDuel MLB slate including notes/comments on my roster construction.

Pitcher: Jose Fernandez ($12,000)

More from FanSided

  • Catcher:Ā Buster Posey ($3,200)Ā Posey returned to the lineup Friday night and gets to face a LHP. At this price point, he is a must play for me at a thin catcher position.
  • First Base:Ā Justin Bour ($2,800)
  • Second Base:Ā Starlin Castro ($2,600)
  • Third Base:Ā Jhonny Peralta ($2,400)
  • Shortstop:Ā Didi Gregorious ($2,400) The middle infield for the Yankees presents solid value on a slate that is very difficult to achieve!
  • Outfield:Ā Christian Yelich ($3,700)
  • Outfield:Ā Marcell Ozuna ($3,600)
  • Outfield:Ā Rafael Ortega ($2,300)
  • Next: DFS Strategy - Take Your Game to the Next Level

    Best of luck tonight gamer’s! Make sure to review the lineups as they are announced before locking in your lineups!