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FanDuel MLB: Picks and Pivots for June 20

Jun 18, 2016; New York City, NY, USA; A young fan reacts standing on first base prior to a game between the New York Mets and the Atlanta Braves at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Adam Hunger-USA TODAY Sports
Jun 18, 2016; New York City, NY, USA; A young fan reacts standing on first base prior to a game between the New York Mets and the Atlanta Braves at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Adam Hunger-USA TODAY Sports
FanDuel MLB
Jun 18, 2016; New York City, NY, USA; A young fan reacts standing on first base prior to a game between the New York Mets and the Atlanta Braves at Citi Field. Mandatory Credit: Adam Hunger-USA TODAY Sports

FanDuel MLB: Picks and Pivots forĀ June 20

Welcome to the MondayĀ edition of Picks & Pivots, a daily fantasy baseball column focused on providing analysis and insights into the topĀ FanDuel MLB lineups.Ā The purpose of this column is to first identify key building blocks that can be used for any roster construction and then identify pivot points to help differentiate your lineup in hopes of a big payday!

FanSided and Fantasy CPR have you covered – For additional FanDuel MLB analysis, take a look at Matt RogersĀ FanDuel Economics column or Mike Marteny who providesĀ Draft Kings MLB PicksĀ analysis giving you the most in depth DFS coverage for tonight’s baseball slate.

Follow us on Twitter @FantasyCPR and on Facebook!

Monday’s MLB schedule starts off with one afternoon game at 1:05PM EST for those looking to play the all-day slate, however the main slate kicks off at 7:05PM EST with 9 games of FanDuel MLB action!

I will continue to track winning Tournament lineups and compare trends over 5 day periods to help us understand what it takes to remain profitable. I HIGHLY recommend each of you do this each morning to look back on the previous night and understand how the winning lineups are constructed in the games you participate in.

The view below tracks GPP entries over various time periods, breaking out key metrics to understand the trends and compositions of GPP winning rosters:

Time PeriodScorePitcher SalaryPitcher %Hitter %Hitter $/PlayerValue
Season256.1$ 8,60525%75%$ 3,2997.32
5 Day286.1$ 8,53324%76%$ 3,3088.17
Prev Day248.9$ 8,33324%76%$ 3,3337.11

Now on to the picks…For more DFS Strategy insights, check out my latest article to help take your game to the next level!Ā I highly recommend gamers track their game performance across the various types of games they play – GPP’s, Cash, Multipliers etc – as this simple exercise will help teach you more about profitable roster construction than you can imagine.

Next: Who are the top pitching options on Monday?

FanDuel MLB
Jun 10, 2016; Minneapolis, MN, USA; Boston Red Sox starting pitcher Steven Wright (35) delivers a pitch in the first inning against the Minnesota Twins at Target Field. Mandatory Credit: Jesse Johnson-USA TODAY Sports

Monday night’s action is loaded with three of the premier arms in all of baseball as Madison Bumgarner takes the hill in Pittsburgh and Clayton Kershaw and Stephen Strasburg face off against each other in LA.

Steven Wright ($9,400) at home versus White Sox:Ā Wait, you just finished listing off three of the top pitchers in baseball and you are starting with Steven Wright? I would not blame you for rostering any of top 3 pitchers but from a tournament perspective, I expect Wright to be severely overlooked and makes for a great pivot play.

Over the last 30 days, Wright has averaged 45.4 points per game which is just 0.2 points behind Strasburg and is one of the top point per dollar plays as he has put up 4.8x value over the last month.

The Red Sox are solid home favorites (-168) and Wright has the upside to match the top arms with 2 of his last 4 games over 50 points.

Clayton Kershaw ($13,000) at home versus Washington:Ā Over his last 8 starts, Kershaw has averaged a ridiculous 60 points per game, only twice failing to break the 50 point threshold. This kind of consistency and floor make Kershaw a must play for cash games.

The question with Kershaw will be, is paying the lofty price (37% of your total budget) in a match-up against an equally dominant pitcher the best use of your money?

From a tournament perspective, I have no issue fading Kershaw and hoping he puts up a simply ā€œpedestrianā€ 40-50 point outing that a pitcher like Wright could match and hit on the big bats we can afford as a result of our strategic fade.

Next: Who are the top batters Monday night?

FanDuel MLB
Jun 15, 2016; Washington, DC, USA; Chicago Cubs first baseman Anthony Rizzo (44) celebrates with Cubs third baseman Kris Bryant (17) after hitting a two run home run against the Washington Nationals in the ninth inning at Nationals Park. The Nationals won 5-4 in twelve innings. Mandatory Credit: Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

With only 9 games on the slate and 3 high end pitchers going, many gamers will be faced with the roster decision to either pay up for the big arm or drop down and use the savings to build off some of the high octane offenses in action Monday night.

Chicago Cubs at home versus LHP Jamie Garcia:Ā Looking at the Monday slight there are a few favorable spots for offense which lead me to believe multiple mini-stacks are a better strategy than an all out stack so you have exposure across multiple games.

The Cubs get a home match-up against Jamie Garcia and any time a LHP is on the mound,Ā Kris Bryant ($3,900)Ā is one of the top players to target at any position.

C – Willson Contreras ($2,200)Ā is one of the top hitting prospects in all of baseball and will get his first start behind the dish for the Cubs on Monday making him one of the highest upside value plays on the board.

Orioles RHB versus Derek Holland:Ā Another game with one of the highest projected scores will be held in Arlington and the Orioles right handed bats get the platoon advantage against LHP Derek Holland.

Mark Trumbo ($3,600)Ā has great career numbers against Holland, going 14 for 45 with 8 extra base hits and 5 home runs and has the the upside in this match-up we want exposure to in tournaments.

Adam Jones ($3,600)Ā makes for a great addition to any mini-stack, as Jones has averaged 14.4 points per game over the last two weeks and at 4x value makes for a top play in any format.

Next: Top FanDuel MLB Lineup

FanDuel MLB
Jun 6, 2016; Baltimore, MD, USA; Baltimore Orioles designated hitter Mark Trumbo (45) hits a home run in the seventh inning against the Kansas City Royals at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The Baltimore Orioles won 4-1. Mandatory Credit: Evan Habeeb-USA TODAY Sports

Below you will find my initial lineup for Monday’sĀ MainĀ FanDuel MLB slate including notes/comments on my roster construction.

Pitcher: Steven Wright ($9,400)

More from FanSided

  • Catcher:Ā Willson Contreras ($2,200)
  • First Base:Ā Prince Fielder ($2,300)Ā Fielder got the day off Sunday, but as I noted in yesterday’s column, no first baseman has the upside of Prince at this bargain basement price.
  • Second Base:Ā Robinson Cano ($4,000)Ā Cano versus Mike Pelfrey. Yes, please.
  • Third Base:Ā Kris Bryant ($3,900)
  • Shortstop:Ā Tim Anderson ($2,500)Ā As the new White Sox lead-off man, Anderson has great upside and his ability to rack up steals as noted in the latest Waiver Wire article, make him a great value play.
  • Outfield:Ā Mark Trumbo ($3,600)
  • Outfield:Ā Adam Jones ($3,600)
  • Outfield:Ā Marcell Ozuna ($3,400)Ā I am not going to keep chasing Giancarlo Stanton against LHP, instead I will take the Marlins hitter who is already providing the upside we have been waiting for Stanton to show!
  • Next: DFS Strategy - Take Your Game to the Next Level

    Best of luck tonight gamer’s! Make sure to review the lineups as they are announced before locking in your lineups!