DraftKings Late MLB picks for June 29
Eight of the 15 games are in the late tournament, so that gives us a pretty even split on the day. The hitters dominated the day, the pitchers may dominate the night!
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NOTE: these picks are based solely on statistics. Some players have never faced their opponents, or have very little experience against them. I am not saying that none of those are good picks. The highest scorer of the day could be someone with no experience against his opponent. This is based on statistical analysis only. If you have a gut feeling, then by all means, follow that. This is not an exact science. The best lineups usually have a mix of proven stats and hot players.
Surprisingly, Carlos Martinez has never started against the Royals. He has a perfect relief inning under his belt from a couple of years ago, but now he gets a chance to start. Martinez has been outstanding this year, posting a 3.02 ERA and 1.09 WHIP in 14 starts. He has a stellar 1.59 ERA in June. Martinez could be a nice pick tonight.
The Rangers are 10-31(.323) against Masahiro Tanaka, but they haven’t hit him hard. They only have one extra base hit. Still, use him at your own risk.
Rookie Jameson Taillon will make his first start against the Mariners. After two solid outings against the Mets to start his career, he has gone only four innings in each of his last two starts, giving up four runs each to the Dodgers and Cubs. The Mariners have some thump, so Taillon is still a bit of a risk here.
Rookie Sean Manaea hasn’t faced the Giants yet, but he still has a 6.02 ERA. The strikeouts can’t make up that much ground.
Junior Guerra just gave up five runs to the Dodgers on June 16th. Stay away from him here.
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Next: Pitcher Picks
Danny Salazar ($12,200): Salazar has not faced the Braves since his rookie season of 2013, but this incarnation of the Braves is a far cry from that team that chased him after four innings. The current Braves are just .154 against Salazar in 26 at bats with zero runs, zero extra base hits, and six strikeouts. Expect more dominance from the hottest team in baseball against the hapless Braves.
Wade Miley ($5,800): Miley will make his return from the disabled list, which makes him a bit of a risk, but he has held the Pirates to a .242 average in 66 at bats wtih only three runs, no homers, and nine strikeouts. And he gets to face a rookie who has had a rough go of it in a pitcher’s park. Miley could be a nice surprise if you are willing to take the risk.
Logan Verrett ($4,000): Verrett has never started against the Nationals, but the team is just 2-14(.143) off of him in relief with one run and five strikeouts. Will it translate to a full game? Well, if you are going to run the stat stack against Scherzer, you may as well go the full nine and roll the dice on Verrett too.
Next: Who Are The Best Stacks?
You have heard our FanDuel experts Matt Rogers and Brian Tulloch talk about “stacking” pieces of a lineup against certain pitchers. Here are the stacks that could work well on DraftKings today, based on past statistics.
Am I out of my mind? Why am I advocating a stack against Max Scherzer? Stats. Asdrubal Cabrera ($2,800) is 12-48(.250) with three walks, four doubles, a homer, and four RBI against Scherzer. Yoenis Cespedes ($3,600) is 3-11 with two walks, a double and a solo homer. Curtis Granderson ($3,300) is 8-24(.333) with seven walks, three doubles, two homers, and four RBI. Neil Walker ($2,700) is 3-12 with a walk, two homers, and three RBI off of Scherzer. Alejandro De Aza ($2,900) is 11-43(.256) with five walks, a double, a homer, and two RBI against Scherzer. The stats support this.
Matt Carpenter ($5,400) is on fire right now, and he is 6-23(.261) with two walks, three doubles, and three RBI against Edinson Volquez. Matt Holliday ($4,600) is 11-34(.324) with two walks, a double, two homers, and five RBI. Jedd Gyorko ($3,500) is already 2-3 with a walk, a double, a homer, and two RBI against Volquez. Jhonny Peralta ($4,400) is 5-16(.313) with three walks, a double, two homers, and four RBI. Yadier Molina ($2,900) is only 4-32(.125), but he does have two walks, a double, a homer, and four RBI against Volquez.
James Shields had his best start in a month against Boston on Thursday, but now he faces a Twins team that is very familiar with him from his years in Kansas City. And they like him. Brian Dozier ($4,600) is 8-22(.364) with two walks, four doubles, two homers, and eight RBI against him. Joe Mauer ($3,600) is 15-43(.349) with two walks, two doubles, a triple, a homer, and ten RBI off Shields. Eduardo Nunez($4,700) is 10-23(.435) with two walks, a double, two homers, and three RBI. A Twins stack could pay off big tonight.
Stacking White Sox could be good for you too. The Sox are hitting an impressive .362 against Ricky Nolasco in his career. Jose Abreu ($4,000) is 4-11 with a double, two homers, and three RBI. Melky Cabrera ($3,800) is 11-25(.440) with two doubles, a homer, and four RBI off Nolasco. Adam Eaton ($4,600) is 6-18 with a triple and two RBI. Brett Lawrie ($3,600) is 5-10 with a double and three RBI. Dioner Navarro ($2,700) is 7-18(.389) with two doubles, a homer, and four RBI against Nolasco.
Next: More Notes For 6-29
Billy Butler ($3,000) has raised his average to .250 on the year after a brutal start. If you trust him, use him against Jake Peavy. Butler is 16-36(.444) with three walks, a double, three homers, and eight RBI against Peavy.
Carlos Beltran, Didi Gregorius, Brett Gardner, and Aaron Hicks have all hit home runs against Nick Martinez, and are a combined 10-31 with four homers and six RBI. You can stack all of them if you want.
Be sure to check out the FanDuel picks from out experts in that area! Brian Tulloch provides the picks, while Matt Rogers tells you where to save in his FanDuel Economics articles. Don’t play FanDuel without them!
Good luck out there, and check out our picks for FanDuel baseball!