High Value SP
Tanner Roark-Washington Nationals (8,200): Roark has made two starts since the All Star break and has shown both his huge upside and his big risk in those two outings. He shut out the Pirates for eight innings his first start after the break but allowed five runs in five innings to the Padres his last time out to drop to 9-6 on the season with a 3.05 ERA.
Roark has been inconsistent for much of the season turning in either top-notch or totally-forgettable performances, and it’s hard to predict which side of him to expect. The Giants have been struggling, though, so in a pitcher friendly part like AT&T Park I like Roark to turn in a good outing tonight. He’s unpredictable, though, so he definitely comes with risk. However, he is the only option under 8,500 with the kind of upside he brings when he’s on his game.∗∗∗
Michael Wacha-St. Louis Cardinals (7,300): This season has been a struggle for the Cardinals young starter although his BABIP numbers would indicate he’s been pretty unlucky as well. He enters tonight’s start in Miami with a 4.37 ERA and a 5-7 record. In his last start, Wacha allowed a season-high ten hits but held the Dodgers to just two runs in six innings for a quality start.
He face the Marlins just two starts ago and allowed three runs on seven hits in four innings, so he’s a high-risk play tonight especially since he’s facing Jose Fernandez who usually is extremely stingy at home.∗
Kyle Gibson-Minnesota Twins (6,700): Gibson looked great in his last start shutting down the Red Sox at Fenway for eight innings while allowing one run on two hits and striking out six. He lowered his ERA to 4.67 and improved to 3-6 on the season, but he’s still a high-risk play tonight against the potent bats of Baltimore. Gibson has picked up at least six K’s in four of his last five starts and won three of those outings. He was knocked around by the Orioles for four runs in five innings earlier this season, but with tonight’s limited options he is the best cheap flier out there.∗∗