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FanDuel MLB: Picks and Pivots for Monday September 12

Sep 4, 2016; Cleveland, OH, USA; Cleveland Indians pitcher Carlos Carrasco (59) makes a face into a remote camera during the second inning at Progressive Field. Mandatory Credit: Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports
Sep 4, 2016; Cleveland, OH, USA; Cleveland Indians pitcher Carlos Carrasco (59) makes a face into a remote camera during the second inning at Progressive Field. Mandatory Credit: Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports
FanDuel MLB
Sep 4, 2016; Cleveland, OH, USA; Cleveland Indians pitcher Carlos Carrasco (59) makes a face into a remote camera during the second inning at Progressive Field. Mandatory Credit: Ken Blaze-USA TODAY Sports FanDuel MLB

FanDuel MLB: Picks and Pivots forĀ September 12

Welcome to the MondayĀ edition of Picks & Pivots, a daily fantasy baseball column focused on providing analysis and insights into the topĀ FanDuel MLB lineups.Ā The purpose of this column is to first identify key building blocks that can be used for any roster construction and then identify pivot points to help differentiate your lineup in hopes of a big payday!

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Monday’s MLB schedule kicks off at 7:05PM EST with a full 15 game FanDuel MLB slate!

I will continue to track winning Tournament lineups and compare trends over 5 day periods to help us understand what it takes to remain profitable. I HIGHLY recommend each of you do this each morning to look back on the previous night and understand how the winning lineups are constructed in the games you participate in.

The view below tracks GPP entries over various time periods, breaking out key metrics to understand the trends and compositions of GPP winning rosters:

Time PeriodScorePitcher SalaryPitcher %Hitter %Hitter $/PlayerValue
Season255.7$ 8,62025%75%$ 3,2977.31
5 Day254.3$ 8,16723%77%$ 3,3547.27
Prev Day255.2$ 9,20026%74%$ 3,2257.29

Now on to the picks…For more DFS Strategy insights, check out my latest article to help take your game to the next level!Ā I highly recommend gamers track their game performance across the various types of games they play – GPP’s, Cash, Multipliers etc – as this simple exercise will help teach you more about profitable roster construction than you can imagine.

Next: Who is the top pitching option on Monday's Slate?

FanDuel MLB
Aug 10, 2016; Miami, FL, USA; San Francisco Giants starting pitcher Jeff Samardzija (29) throws during a game against the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park. Mandatory Credit: Steve Mitchell-USA TODAY Sports

Looking over the Monday FanDuel MLB slate, the options at the top of pricing spectrum frankly seem over priced relative to their recent form and match up. With no clear-cut match up to target, dropping down at starting pitcher will allow you to roll out a stud lineup across all formats.

Jeff Samardzija ($8,100)Ā may be a risky pick, but the match up art home against the San Diego Padres is one I feel he can exploit for a big time DFS score!

Samardzija comes into this game as one of the largest favorites on the board (-230) putting him in line for the 12 point FanDuel win but has also flashed the upside to contend with higher priced arms.

Samardzija was not effective in his last start against San Diego, but in his previous two starts he was able to capture 50 and 57 FanDuel points which reflects the kind of upside he has in this spot.

The Giants RHP is typically a better pitcher at home and although he is one of the riskier options on the slate, I would feel comfortable using him as a top GPP option.

Next: Top Hitting Options

FanDuel MLB
September 7, 2016; Los Angeles, CA, USA; Arizona Diamondbacks first baseman Paul Goldschmidt (44) reacts after striking out in the fifth inning against Los Angeles Dodgers at Dodger Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Richard Mackson-USA TODAY Sport

Arizona at home versus LHP Tyler Anderson:Ā Anytime the Diamondbacks are at home they make for one of the best offenses to target, and with a left-hander on the hill for the visiting Rockies we should be able to stack the right-handed heavy Arizona bats.

Paul Goldschmidt ($3,700)Ā at home against a lefty is DFS 101 and frankly I was shocked his price sat below $4k in this spot. Anderson has been able to limit hard contact to RHB so far this season but Arizona is one of the best offenses against LHP and I will happily take the price discount from FanDuel here.

Goldschmidt,Ā Welington Castillo ($2,900) & Yasmany Tomas ($2,700)Ā all have .400 wOBA and .580+ slugging percentages against LHP this season and make for a surprisingly cost-effective stack in this spot.

In the same game, do not over look the Colorado Rockies left-handed bats against Shelby Miller who has given up a 40% hard contact rate to LHB with a .415 wOBA.

Carlos Gonzalez ($4,000) & Charlie Blackmon ($4,200)Ā are the top two targets and with Miller’s inability to limit damage to left-handed bats I intend to make them by top two hitting targets that will hopefully go overlooked outside of Coors!

Next: Top FanDuel Lineup

FanDUel MLB
Sep 11, 2016; San Diego, CA, USA; Colorado Rockies center fielder Charlie Blackmon (19) hits an RBI single during the fifth inning against the San Diego Padres at Petco Park. Mandatory Credit: Jake Roth-USA TODAY Sports

Below you will find my initial lineup for Monday’sĀ Main FanDuel MLB slate including notes/comments on my roster construction.

Pitcher:

More from FanSided

  • Catcher:Ā Welington Castillo ($2,900)Ā 
  • First Base: Paul Goldschmidt ($3,700)
  • Second Base:Ā Jose Altuve ($3,700)Ā Altuve at home against a lefty – do not overthink this one
  • Third Base:Ā Jose Reyes ($2,900)Ā Reyes has been a steady DFS contributor racking up pointsĀ in multiple ways at a reasonable price point for the Mets
  • Shortstop:Ā Troy Tulowitzki ($3,000)
  • Outfield:Ā Rickie Weeks Jr. ($2,400)Ā Weeks is one of my favorite value plays on the night assuming he is batting cleanup for Arizona and with his elite wOBA against RHP should be able to far exceed value at this price point
  • Outfield:Ā Carlos Gonzalez ($4,000)
  • Outfield:Ā Charlie Blackmon ($4,200)
  • Next: DFS Strategy - Take Your Game to the Next Level

    Best of luck tonight gamers!