Panthers at Falcons: Odds, trends and more

Dec 27, 2015; Atlanta, GA, USA; Carolina Panthers middle linebacker Luke Kuechly (59) yells at the line of scrimmage against the Atlanta Falcons in the third quarter at the Georgia Dome. Mandatory Credit: Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports
Dec 27, 2015; Atlanta, GA, USA; Carolina Panthers middle linebacker Luke Kuechly (59) yells at the line of scrimmage against the Atlanta Falcons in the third quarter at the Georgia Dome. Mandatory Credit: Jason Getz-USA TODAY Sports

The Atlanta Falcons host their NFC South rival in the Carolina Panthers in Week 4 on Sunday. Here are the odds and betting trends to know for this game.

The Atlanta Falcons (2-1) will host an NFC South division rival in the Carolina Panthers (1-2) on Sunday afternoon in Week 4. Kickoff from the Georgia Dome will be at 1:00 PM ET. The game will be televised on FOX.

Atlanta has won its last two games on the road to move to 2-1 on the year after dropping its home opener to the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Week 1. The Falcons enter October as atop the NFC South standings.

Carolina has had two tough losses this season to two of the best teams in football. The Denver Broncos beat the Panthers in Week 1. Carolina fell at home last Sunday to the Minnesota Vikings in Week 3. The Panthers’ lone win has come against Chip Kelly’s San Francisco 49ers in Week 2.

According to OddsShark.com, the Falcons are a three-point underdog at home to the Panthers in this Week 4 matchup. The moneylines in this rivalry game are Atlanta +154 and Carolina -182. The over/under in this game has quickly jumped up to 50 combined points.

Odds

Point Spread: Atlanta +3

Moneylines: Atlanta +154, Carolina -182

Over/Under: 50

This will be the 43rd meeting between these two NFC South teams. The I-85 Rivalry as it is known regionally has the Falcons leading the all-time series, 25-17. The home teams won last season in this biannual series. In the last 10 head-to-head games, both teams have five wins.

Here are a few trends to keep in mind with the visiting Panthers: 1.) Carolina has gone 2-6 against the spread and straight up on the road against Atlanta. 2.) The Panthers have gone under in five of their last six road games against the Falcons. 3.) Carolina is 5-2 straight up in its last seven games against the Falcons. 4.) The Panthers are 1-2 against the spread this season.

For the Falcons, here are the trends to keep in mind for this game: 1.) Atlanta has gone 6-2 against the spread and straight up against the Panthers in their last eight home games. 2.) The I-85 rivalry has gone under in five of the last six games. 3.) Atlanta is 2-6 against the spread in its last eight games against the Panthers. 4.) The Falcons are 2-1 against the spread this season.

Carolina needs this win desperately, but haven’t had great success recently in Atlanta. Take the points Atlanta is getting at home. The over/under continues to climb because of Atlanta’s NFL best offense.

Do realize that this is the best defense Atlanta will have played this season. On the other side of the coin, this is best offense Carolina will go up against. Crowd noise favors the Falcons. Desperation favors the Panthers.

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Probably go with the over because Atlanta will put up points regardless of what Carolina throws at the defensively and the Falcons defense is varying shades of terrible.