Bears at Colts: Odds, trends and more

Oct 2, 2016; Chicago, IL, USA; Chicago Bears tight end Zach Miller (86) blows kisses to fans after he scores a touchdown against the Detroit Lions during the second half at Soldier Field. Mandatory Credit: Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 2, 2016; Chicago, IL, USA; Chicago Bears tight end Zach Miller (86) blows kisses to fans after he scores a touchdown against the Detroit Lions during the second half at Soldier Field. Mandatory Credit: Matt Marton-USA TODAY Sports

The Chicago Bears and Indianapolis Colts both look to keep their seasons afloat in this meeting of 1-3 teams this Sunday.

The Chicago Bears come off their first victory of the season and now make a relatively short road trip to face the Indianapolis Colts at Lucas Oil Stadium.

That may be good news for John Fox’s team, which has seemingly played better away from home as of late than at Soldier Field. Of course, we are talking about a club that is just 7-13 under its current regime – 2-8 in Chicago and 5-5 on the road.

On the other hand, the Colts may be behind the eight ball because they’re not facing one of their AFC South brethren. Dating back to the start of the 2013 season, Indianapolis owns a 16-3 vs. their three divisional rivals but are three games under .500 (15-18) vs. the rest of the NFL in 52 regular-season games contests.

Of course, both teams broke those trends in Week 4. Chicago knocked off the Detroit Lions, 17-14, while Indianapolis fell to the Jacksonville Jaguars in London, 30-27.

Thanks to the fine folks at Odds Sharks, the Colts are a 4.5-point favorite this weekend to raise their record to 2-3. Last week, Chuck Pagano’s club was a favorite overseas and lost to the Jaguars outright.

Odds

Line: Colts (-4.5)
Over/Under: 47.5

As a reminder, The Gold Sheet tells us that neither of these squad have been a good bet in 2016. Both the Bears and Colts are a mere 1-3 ATS this season, with both Chicago and Indianapolis each not covering in all three of their outright losses.

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Perhaps the wisest move here is that relatively-conservative OVER/UNDER at 47.5. It’s somewhat comforting to know in that regard that Indianapolis has allowed a whopping 125 points in four games, 30-plus points in all three of their losses.