College Football Picks Against The Spread Championship Week
By Mike Marteny
College Football Picks Against The Spread Championship Week
College football can be a fickle beast. It is still easier to pick against the spread than the NFL, but when you pick every game, it can get tough. I had a decent week last week, but am still 50 games under .500 with about 60 games to go. Will I still have hope after this week?
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In case you don’t know what I do here, I pick every college football game of the season. Against the spread. Trust me, it’s not as easy as it sounds! I take the average of the odds from all of the Vegas casinos. I then round to the nearest half. There will be no ties here. Ties are for the other football (soccer).
This contains the picks for FBS vs. FBS games only. It is too hard to get an accurate spread on games that involve 1-AA teams.
I will assign a point value “bet” on each game, between one and five points. That way you can see just how confident I am in each pick. Look for those at the end of each line.
This is for entertainment purposes only! I cannot be responsible for you losing any of your worldly possessions (or limbs) because of my picks. These are a guideline that you can use to help you with your picks. I am a simple man. I can’t have that on my conscience.
There are 16 games during championship week. Once again, the Big 12 got lucky with Bedlam deciding the conference championship for the second straight year, so they aren’t left out of the party.
Ohio vs. (17)Western Michigan(-17.5) at Detroit(4): The Broncos need to impress to make sure they stay ahead of Navy in their quest for a Cotton Bowl berth. It seems certain that one of the two is going. I have an idea: why not send both of them to the Cotton Bowl? It would be a good game! By the way, I’m taking the Broncos to run off with this all the way to Dallas.
(8)Colorado vs. (4)Washington(-8.5) at Santa Clara, CA(2): Did you see Colorado’s defense last week? Washington hasn’t had to face one like that yet. I think this stays a one score game. Give me the Ralphies.
Kansas State at TCU(-3.5)(3): I picked K-State straight up in Pick Em, and I think my reasoning is solid. It still holds true here. I’ll take the Wildcats.
Troy(-7.5) at Georgia Southern(3): This looks quite low. For the second straight year, GSU was embarrassed by in-state rival Georgia State. I think Troy takes this by at least two touchdowns.
Temple at (19)Navy(-2.5)(3): Well, both of these teams are playing great football right now. Navy has back to back 60 point games for the first time since 1917. Don’t expect a third. Temple has a good defense and a solid offense. I actually like the Owls straight up.
Louisiana Tech at Western Kentucky(-9.5)(4): Too many. I don’t care how bad the Bulldogs looked last week (and they looked really bad), this was a three point game in Reston about a month ago. Not much has changed since then. I expect the Hilltoppers to win, and the scoreboard to hold over 100 points, but it will be a one score game.
(10)Oklahoma State at (9)Oklahoma(-11.5)(3): Oklahoma destroyed the Cowboys in Stillwater last year to get to the playoff. This year will be different because our defense is different. This wont be a blowout, and there is no playoff on the horizon, but there is something else to play for. Oklahoma has never won a conference title on their own field. That is enough for me to take the Sooners. It’s enough to make me want to drive down to Norman to see it!
New Mexico State at South Alabama(-12.5)(1): This looks high because I don’t trust a team as inconsistent as the Jaguars. Jags win, but don’t cover.
Louisiana-Lafayette(-6.5) at Louisiana-Monroe(2): Lafayette is easily the better team, but this is a rivalry on the road. I’m taking the Cajuns, but I’m not very confident in it.
Baylor at (16)West Virginia(-17.5)(5): Baylor got floored by Texas Tech. No way they hang with West Virginia in Morgantown. Give me the Mountaineers. Curse be damned!
(15)Florida vs. (1)Alabama(-24.5) at Atlanta(4): Or shall I say Tuscaloosa east? This is going to be packed with Bama fans, and Florida is nowhere near Alabama’s talent level. I’m not sure anyone is this year. Tide roll.
Georgia State at Idaho(-6.5)(5): Did I read this right? This is ‘”state”, not “southern”, right? Idaho wins BIG at home.
Arkansas State(-23.5) at Texas State(5): Yes, the Red Wolves lost a game they shouldn’t have last week, but the Bobcats just don’t have the talent to keep up. Give me Arkansas State.
San Diego State(-6.5) at Wyoming(3): Okay, I get it. Wyoming got torched on the ground last week. San Diego State didn’t look too hot either. The thing is, Wyoming won this game in Laramie just two weeks ago. I doubt that there is more than a touchdown swing already. Give me Wyoming.
(3)Clemson(-10.5) vs. (23)Virginia Tech at Orlando(2): This looks like too many, though I thought the same last week and the Tigers dismantled South Carolina. I’m taking Virginia Tech. I am more worried of Clemson losing outright than winning by double digits.
(6)Wisconsin(-2.5) vs. (7)Penn State at Indianapolis(3): Hey, you guys get a consolation prize! You likely wont win the playoff, but you will be Big Ten(14) Champion! This just goes to show how huge conferences are a bad idea, and how conference championship games are nothing more than a money grab.
I am also upset that this game right here will ruin the playoff as we know it. Why? Because Ohio State is in no matter what. They have less losses than BOTH of these teams. If the CCG is nothing more than a cash grab, fine. But if the committee is so hell-bent on having conference champions in, then the conferences need to adjust. The Big 12(10)’s tiebreaker of the highest ranked team seemed harsh, but they had it right. They were using the CCG as a stepping stone to the playoff disguised as a cash grab. Oh, you came here for a pick? Penn State.
Next: ESPN College Pick Em Picks Week 14
In the abbreviated week, I went big. Not because I am trying to make up points, but because I really believe that I’m right. Sometimes it just works out there way. I have one one pointer, three two pointers, six three pointers, three four pointers, and three five pointers. Realistically, I need to hit about, oh, 16 of these to hit .500 on the year. Yeah, like that happens.