College Football Picks Against The Spread Late October 7, 2017

TAMPA, FL – JANUARY 7: The National Championship Trophy during the College Football Playoff National Championship Media Day on January 7, 2017 at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Brian Blanco/Getty Images) /

College Football Picks Against The Spread Late October 7, 2017

I had a solid week again in week 4 of the college football season. I am now 17 games above .500 on the season and 48 betting points to the good. Things are looking up, but there is a lot of college football left with conference play in full swing.

More from College Football Odds

For those of you that are new here, I put myself out there every week. For the last six years, I have picked every single college football game. Sounds easy, right? I thought so too. So I have picked them all against the spread. That significantly increases the degree of difficulty.

I take the average of the odds from the six major Vegas casinos and round that to the nearest half point. There will be no ties here. Ties are for the other football.

Some sites will sell you top ten picks for a fee. Some will even give you a couple of free picks to lure you in. This is every game picked, all for free.

This contains the picks for FBS vs. FBS games only. It is too hard to get an accurate spread on games that involve 1-AA teams.

I will assign a point value “bet” on each game, between one and five points. That way you can see just how confident I am in each pick. Look for those at the end of each line. I am up 27 points after the first two weeks so far.

I cannot be responsible for you losing any of your worldly possessions, significant others, or limbs to a loan shark. This is for entertainment purposes only! I am a simple person. I cannot have that on my conscience.

There are 58 games this weekend with only Indiana stepping out of the FBS ranks this weekend. That leaves me 57 games to pick, the most of the season so far. 17 games finish off our college football extravaganza on Saturday, and there are some big ones!

SAN DIEGO, CA – SEPTEMBER 16: Juwan Washington #29 of the San Diego State Aztecs runs upfield during the second half of a game against the Stanford Cardinal at Qualcomm Stadium on September 16, 2017 in San Diego, California. (Photo by Sean M. Haffey/Getty Images) /

SMU at Houston(-6.5)(3): This looks low. SMU has a good offense, but that defense leaves something to be desired. The Cougars aren’t what they were last year, but they still have a strong defense and a capable offense. Give me Houston.

Kansas State at Texas(-5.5)(2): The Kansas State offense doesn’t look very good right now, and Texas is starting to look like a scary team. Especially on the defensive side of the ball. I’ll take Bevo at home.

Southern Mississippi at UTSA(-12.5)(2): The Roadrunners took out Baylor in Waco and arch-rival Texas State in San Marcos. Southern Miss could be in trouble here after getting beaten handily by North Texas when they were more than a touchdown favorite. I’ll go with the Roadrunners at home.

(1)Alabama(-26.5) at Texas A&M(2): Alabama is playing like someone pimped out their mothers. They are playing mad. Did they feel slighted by the press after allowing Colorado State to hang around? Who knows. At any rate, they have dominated their first two SEC foes. Texas A&M is likely better than both Vandy and Ole Miss, but come on. Bama outscored them 125-3. In what is supposed to be the best conference top to bottom, Bama pulls that! This line looks a touch high to me, but betting against Bama right now is ill-advised at best and outright crazy at worst. I wouldn’t touch this, but if I had to pick, I’ll take A&M to not get covered. I bet they still lose by 20 though.

(16)Virginia Tech(-16.5) at Boston College(2): The Hokies are trying to recover from a beating at the hands of Clemson. Going to Chestnut Hill is never easy, especially coming off of a loss like that. I think Tech wins, but the Eagles are going to make them for for it. Give me BC.

Michigan State at (7)Michigan(-10.5)(3): Rivalry games are crazy. If Wilton Speight were starting, I would pick Sparty outright. However, John O’Korn adds another dimension to this offense. My only question is whether Michigan is physical enough to put up with that Sparty defense. Michigan is an excellent run stopping team, and I don’t think the Spartans can throw to win. This could get ugly when they get down double digits. Michigan is a contender with anyone but Speight under center. I’ve said it all season. Give me Michigan.

Missouri at Kentucky(-9.5)(4): What does Vegas know that I don’t? This line is down 5.5 points already. Missouri has been an absolute mess. Kentucky has a better change of blowing them out than losing. Give me the Wildcats.

Fresno State(-16.5) at San Jose State(1): Really? Can Fresno really cover this? I have my doubts, but you couldn’t pay me to bet this game. This is a trap game from both sides. Give me Fresno only because I remain committed to my craft.

(9)Wisconsin(-10.5) at Nebraska(5): It has been a soggy week in Nebraska, but it is supposed to be dry by game time. Nebraska’s faithful are riding high after a convincing win in Champaign. However, I am not wearing blinders. Nebraska simply has not played a team with a good defensive line since the loss to Northern Illinois. The Badgers are created from defense. Nebraska fans may be fooled, but Vegas still is not. Nebraska would be a dog in every game left on their schedule. This line is down three points, and I would have bet it with four at the opening line. This is going to get ugly. Trust me on this. Wisconsin by closer to 21 than 11.

(11)Washington State(-2.5) at Oregon(5): Okay, I get the fact that this looks like a trap game. However, Justin Herbert is out. The fact that this line has barely moved despite that just blows my mind. The Cougars are for real. Oregon still can’t stop anyone. Cougars by double digits.

(25)Central Florida(-16.5) at Cincinnati(4): Honestly, this looks low considering Marshall just trampled the Bearcats into their own field. I have heard several questions about the validity of UCF being ranked. I will say that they deserve to be ranked about as much as Cincy deserved to be an FBS team right now. UCF rolls here.

Western Kentucky(-17.5) at UTEP(2): This should be an easy pick, but it’s hard to rely on the Western Kentucky offense this year. I’ll take the Hilltoppers, but I am lowering my bet just in case.

Arizona at Colorado(-6.5)(3): This looks low. I was not impressed with Colorado at all against UCLA. However, Arizona’s offense has struggled against everyone but UTEP. I’ll take the Ralphies.

Stanford(-3.5) at (20)Utah(3): Utah is going to struggle without Brett Huntley. The only thing that could derail the Cardinal here is the quarterback controversy. I still take Stanford because of the absence of Huntley.

Hawaii(-3.5) at Nevada(1): Don’t trust this one. Hawaii got bombarded at home by Colorado State, and usually isn’t good in contiguous states. Nevada straight up.

California at (6)Washington(-28.5)(1): I love Washington’s offense, but I hate that half. Cal isn’t that bad of a team. Gimme the Bears, maybe by that half.

(19)San Diego State(-9.5) at UNLV(4): This looks low. UNLV has woken up since that loss to Howard, but they haven’t faced an offense like this. SDSU wins pretty big.

Next: ESPN College Pick em Picks Week 6

Of the 57 games this week, I have 11 one pointers, the most of the season so far, topping last week by one. I do have 17 two pointers and 16 three pointers, so my betting success will likely be decided there. I have ten four pointers for the first time this year, but my five pointers were down to just three. I haven’t gone perfect in five point picks yet this year. I need to, and this could be the week!

Stay tuned to Fantasy CPR for the last of the picks of the week against the spread, and our NFL DFS picks and picks for the EPL! We even have some NBA preseason DFS picks for you!