College Football Picks Against The Spread Early October 14, 2017

TAMPA, FL – JANUARY 7: The National Championship Trophy during the College Football Playoff National Championship Media Day on January 7, 2017 at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Brian Blanco/Getty Images) /

College Football Picks Against The Spread Early October 14, 2017

I had a solid week again in week 4 of the college football season. I am now 17 games above .500 on the season and 48 betting points to the good. Things are looking up, but there is a lot of college football left with conference play in full swing.

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For those of you that are new here, I put myself out there every week. For the last six years, I have picked every single college football game. Sounds easy, right? I thought so too. So I have picked them all against the spread. That significantly increases the degree of difficulty.

I take the average of the odds from the six major Vegas casinos and round that to the nearest half point. There will be no ties here. Ties are for the other football.

Some sites will sell you top ten picks for a fee. Some will even give you a couple of free picks to lure you in. This is every game picked, all for free.

This contains the picks for FBS vs. FBS games only. It is too hard to get an accurate spread on games that involve 1-AA teams.

I will assign a point value “bet” on each game, between one and five points. That way you can see just how confident I am in each pick. Look for those at the end of each line. I am up 27 points after the first two weeks so far.

I cannot be responsible for you losing any of your worldly possessions, significant others, or limbs to a loan shark. This is for entertainment purposes only! I am a simple person. I cannot have that on my conscience.

There are 59 games this weekend, and none of them feature FCS teams. That makes this the biggest betting week of the season so far. We have 14 college football games that kick off early on Saturday. Let’s get to those spreads!

FORT WORTH, TX – OCTOBER 07: Sewo Olonilua #33 of the TCU Horned Frogs celebrates with Daythan Davis #38 of the TCU Horned Frogs and Cordel Iwuagwu #70 of the TCU Horned Frogs after scoring a touchdown against the West Virginia Mountaineers in the first half at Amon G. Carter Stadium on October 7, 2017 in Fort Worth, Texas. (Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images) /

(6)TCU(-6.5) at Kansas State(4): This line is being skewed by West Virginia hanging tough in Fort Worth. Let me let you in on a little secret: Kansas State’s offense isn’t all that great. Their defense is solid, and they are pretty tough at home, but this line is too low. The Wildcats haven’t really played a team like TCU yet, and they good defenses they played both beat them. Toadies by double digits!

(17)Michigan(-7.5) at Indiana(3): I don’t know what to make of Michigan right now. Of course, I can’t put too much stock into the Michigan State game. First off, it’s going to be sunny in Bloomington. Second, Indiana doesn’t have a good defense. Michigan should get to open up that offense here and win by double digits.

(20)North Carolina State(-11.5) at Pittsburgh(3): Pitt looked better without Max Browne last week, which has actually caused this line to slip a bit. I don’t think it should be. I still see the Wolfpack pulling away late. Give me NC State.

(24)Texas Tech at West Virginia(-3.5)(2): This line is falling fast, but I don’t know that it will go lower than this. This is going to be a good game, but I still like Tech straight up.

Florida State(-7.5) at Duke(2): Duke isn’t the same team that they have been for the last couple of years. They started strong, but back to back losses to Miami and Virginia have their stock falling. Falling to the point that they are two score dogs to a 1-3 team at home without its starting quarterback. This line isn’t off base though. The Seminoles played really well in a loss last week, and beat Wake in Winston-Salem the week before. I’ll take Florida State here as well.

Rutgers at Illinois(-2.5)(1): Stay away from this one. This game is for the battle of the distinction of the worst team in the Big Ten(14). Nothing to see here, nothing to see. I’ll take Illinois at home, but I have zero confidence in it.

Eastern Michigan at Army(-5.5)(2): I really like Eastern Michigan and the way they play, but this is a tough road game. Army has been able to move the ball against everyone. This wont be any different. I’ll take Army at home.

BYU at Mississippi State(-24.5)(1): This line is dangerous. BYU has been awful, and Mississippi State has played much better at home, but this is a ton of points. BYU is going to try to run the ball and shorten the game, which would decrease the chances of the Bulldogs covering. I’ll take BYU.

South Carolina at Tennessee(-3.5)(5): This line is a bunch of crap. South Carolina is getting better by the week, as shown by their thrashing of Arkansas last week. Tennessee has been awful. Switching to redshirt freshman Jarrett Guarantano at quarterback certainly wont hurt the Vols, but can he really win in his debut against a solid team? I have my doubts. Gamecocks straight up.

Kansas at Iowa State(-22.5)(2): Wow, that’s a lot of points. Iowa State’s passing game isn’t quite as good as Oklahoma made them look. Kyle Kempt added another dimension to the Cyclones, but man…..the points. That said, Kansas has not held an FBS opponent under 40 points this season. Give me Iowa State.

Connecticut at Temple(-9.5)(3): Temple just blew the doors off of a historically bad East Carolina team in Greenville. UConn may not be much better. Give me the Owls.

Boston College at Louisville(-21.5)(2): BC plays solid defense, and I really don’t like that half. Give me the Eagles, though I do have my doubts on whether they can score enough.

UNLV at Air Force(-7.5)(4): This looks really low. San Diego State had few problems running the ball on the Rebels, and all Air Force does is run. Falcons by at least two touchdowns.

Old Dominion at Marshall(-15.5)(1): Are the Monarchs this bad? Without Ray Lawry, maybe. Give me Marshall, I guess.

Next: ESPN College Pick em Picks Week 7

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