College Football Picks Against The Spread Early October 28, 2017
By Mike Marteny
College Football Picks Against The Spread Early October 28, 2017
I had a little under average week in week 8 of the college football season. I am now 22 games above .500 on the season and 49 betting points to the good. I need a good week to get a better bankroll going.
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For those of you that are new here, I put myself out there every week. For the last six years, I have picked every single college football game. Sounds easy, right? I thought so too. So I have picked them all against the spread. That significantly increases the degree of difficulty.
I take the average of the odds from the six major Vegas casinos and round that to the nearest half point. There will be no ties here. Ties are for the other football.
Some sites will sell you top ten picks for a fee. Some will even give you a couple of free picks to lure you in. This is every game picked, all for free.
This contains the picks for FBS vs. FBS games only. It is too hard to get an accurate spread on games that involve 1-AA teams.
I will assign a point value “bet” on each game, between one and five points. That way you can see just how confident I am in each pick. Look for those at the end of each line. I am up 27 points after the first two weeks so far.
I cannot be responsible for you losing any of your worldly possessions, significant others, or limbs to a loan shark. This is for entertainment purposes only! I am a simple person. I cannot have that on my conscience.
We have another full 56 game week. Only Central Florida is slumming in FCS this week. We have 55 FBS vs. FBS matchups!. Seven of those take place before our Saturday extravaganza. 14 of them kick off between noon and 3pm eastern on Saturday. Let’s check those picks!
Buffalo at Akron(-4.5)(3): Buffalo looked terrible last week. Not that Akron looked great, but they definitely have more going for them this year. This looks low. Give me Akron.
(5)Wisconsin(-26.5) at Illinois(1): We have seen just how bad Wisconsin can be when they are struggling to throw the ball. Let’s face it: the Badgers don’t rely on style points. They go out there to win, and if they have to rest players, so be it. Give me Illinois to not get buried by halftime. If the Illini are only down 14, they can stay within this.
(8)Miami(FL)(-20.5) at North Carolina(3): Miami has scuffled the last couple of games, but this Tarheel defense is just horrendous. Miami by a lot. Like at least 30.
(11)Oklahoma State(-7.5) at (22)West Virginia(4): The Pokes have really hurt me the last couple of weeks, but they get back on my good side here. This line is skewed by Texas’s very good defense shutting down the Cowboys. West Virginia didn’t play defense at all in the fourth against Baylor. Cowboys by at least two touchdowns.
Rutgers at Michigan(-23.5)(4): Really? Did Tom Brady re-enroll at Michigan? Their offense is nowhere good enough to cover this line. Michigan wins easily, but it will be more like 17-3 instead of by 24.
Arkansas at Mississippi(-3.5)(3): Arkansas might be the worst team in the SEC, and yes, I realize that Tennessee is still a member. There is no way they keep it this close on the road. Ole Miss by double digits, even without Shea Patterson.
Texas(-8.5) at Baylor(4): I know that the Texas offense has had problems moving the ball, but that defense wont fall asleep the way West Virginia and Oklahoma did against the Bears. I’m taking Texas to cover this.
Louisville(-2.5) at Wake Forest(3): This line opened at -6, and has dropped drastically. I’m not sure why. Georgia Tech ran the Deacons ragged, and while Louisville isn’t quite as good running the ball, Lamar Jackson sure is. Jackson carries the Cards to victory here.
Virginia at Pittsburgh(-3.5)(2): The Hoos got blasted by Boston College last week, and I think that is skewing the line. Pitt has been much better without Max Browne though, so I am lowering the bet. I still like Virginia straight up.
California at Colorado(-3.5)(4): What? No. The best team that the Ralphies have beaten is Oregon State, who might be the worst team in the Pac 12. Cal straight up.
Florida international at Marshall(-16.5)(1): FIU has been pretty solid lately. This is quite a few points. I’m not all that sure Marshall can cover this. However, the Herd are 6-1 against the spread this year. Give me Marshall.
Kansas State(-24.5) at Kansas(3): You know, Kansas may be bad, but this is still a rivalry game. That and the Kansas State offense is not exactly a well oiled machine. I have to think Kansas keeps this close at home. Give me the Jayhawks.
Air Force at Colorado State(-10.5)(3): The Rams have won the last two games by a total of five points. Now they are facing a team with an option offense that specializes on keeping games close. Oh, and it’s a rivalry game. I think this stays close. Give me Air Force.
San Jose State at BYU(-12.5)(1): Both teams are flat out lousy. BYU just lost to East Carolina, who has statistically the worst college defense in the world. And they lost! I kind of doubt they cover this. This game is going to be really ugly. Give me SJSU, I guess.
Next: ESPN College Pick em Picks Week 9
Stay tuned to Fantasy CPR for the last of the picks of the week against the spread, and our NFL DFS picks and picks for the EPL! We even have some NBA DFS picks for you!