College Football Picks Against The Spread Evening October 28, 2017
By Mike Marteny
College Football Picks Against The Spread Evening October 28, 2017
I had a little under average week in week 8 of the college football season. I am now 22 games above .500 on the season and 49 betting points to the good. I need a good week to get a better bankroll going.
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For those of you that are new here, I put myself out there every week. For the last six years, I have picked every single college football game. Sounds easy, right? I thought so too. So I have picked them all against the spread. That significantly increases the degree of difficulty.
I take the average of the odds from the six major Vegas casinos and round that to the nearest half point. There will be no ties here. Ties are for the other football.
Some sites will sell you top ten picks for a fee. Some will even give you a couple of free picks to lure you in. This is every game picked, all for free.
This contains the picks for FBS vs. FBS games only. It is too hard to get an accurate spread on games that involve 1-AA teams.
I will assign a point value “bet” on each game, between one and five points. That way you can see just how confident I am in each pick. Look for those at the end of each line. I am up 27 points after the first two weeks so far.
I cannot be responsible for you losing any of your worldly possessions, significant others, or limbs to a loan shark. This is for entertainment purposes only! I am a simple person. I cannot have that on my conscience.
We have another full 56 game week. Only Central Florida is slumming in FCS this week. We have 55 FBS vs. FBS matchups!. Seven of those take place before our Saturday extravaganza. 17 of them kick off in prime time. Let’s finish this week off right!
Missouri(-13.5) at Connecticut(3): This line makes me a tad nervous, but man, that Missouri offense has been outstanding lately. I have to take the Tigers here.
Old Dominion at North Texas(-10.5)(3): This seems high. Old Dominion is not an elite team by any stretch, but Ray Lawry is nearing 100%. That tilts this game slightly in ODU’s favor. Even if the Monarchs don’t win outright, I doubt they lose by more than one score.
Minnesota at Iowa(-6.5)(2): This line is dropping and I get why, but Iowa has two borderline elite running backs. Minnesota really has not played well lately. I have to take Iowa at home for under a touchdown.
UAB at Southern Mississippi(-12.5)(1): I don’t like this line. UAB has been solid most of the year, but Ito Smith is finally (mostly) healthy. Does that make enough of a difference for Southern Miss? I have my doubts. I’ll take the Blazers.
Mississippi State(-2.5) at Texas A&M(2): This looks backwards. The Aggies were the last team to put up any semblance of a fight against Aladamnbama this year. That should count for something. Like them winning outright against the Bulldogs at home.
Duke at (13)Virginia Tech(-16.5)(3): Duke has not played very well lately. VT has. Hokies roll!
New Mexico(-1.5) at Wyoming(4): Well, this is interesting. This opened with the Cowboys favored, and should have stayed there. What does this mean? It means that some people don’t like money. I really don’t see Wyoming dropping this one at home.
Tennessee at Kentucky(-3.5)(5): This line is hilarious! John Kelly is out for Tennessee. That means that nearly half of their offense – the same offense that hasn’t scored a touchdown in three games – is out for this game. I do think that the Tennessee offense gets in the end zone tonight, but they are still going to lose by double digits.
Nebraska at Purdue(-4.5)(2): I am on the record as saying I wouldn’t pick Nebraska again this season, but the Boilermakers have been awful for much of October. Not that Nebraska has been good, but this line is dropping fast. I like the Purdue D, and they are at home, but can this offense score enough to cover? I don’t think so. I think this is an ugly and low scoring game. Give me Nebraska, even though I think Purdue wins by three.
Georgia Tech at (7)Clemson(-14.5)(1): I really don’t like that half. Georgia Tech has been playing everyone close this year, but Clemson is still likely the class of the ACC. I think the Bees keep this within two touchdowns. Give me Tech.
Texas Tech at (10)Oklahoma(-20.5)(5): Really? I can see this being the line last year, but come on! Oklahoma’s defense is not capable of holding this offense down. Oklahoma wins, but there is no way they are covering this monster. Oklahoma has been favored by a combined 83 points since they last covered against Tulane a month ago. They have a combined margin of victory of 13 points in those four games. Betting the Sooners is a sucker bet right now.
UTSA(-15.5) at UTEP(1): So I guess the question here is: is UTEP worse than Rice? Probably. Give me UTSA.
Arkansas State(-3.5) at New Mexico State(2): This looks low. The Aggies are a decent team this year, but that Arkansas State offense is pretty good. I have to think they cover a line this low. Give me the Red Wolves.
(15)Washington State(-2.5) at Arizona(1): This is a tough one. Cal’s defense figured out how to stop Khalil Tate in the second half last week. They also dominated Washington State a couple of weeks ago. What does this mean? A real cat fight. Arizona is capable of winning this game, but they don’t have much if Wazzu can contain Tate. The Cougars may have the best defensive line in the conference. I’ll take Washington State.
UNLV at Fresno State(-21.5)(2): I was expecting something along these lines. I’ve picked against the Bulldogs the last three weeks, and they have defied me every time. Now that I pick them, this will likely lose this. I don’t like the half, but I still have to take Fresno.
Boise State(-9.5) at Utah State(2): Boise finally has a running back, and it has done wonders for this offense. Are they finally good enough to cover a double digit spread? That is the next logical progression, and I think they get it. I’ll take Boise.
(21)USC(-3.5) at Arizona State(2): USC has only covered one spread. That was in week two against Stanford. They are 1-7 against the numbers this year. The Sun Devils are 4-0-1 in the last five against the spread. Give me Sparky. They have a better chance of winning this outright than USC does winning by a touchdown.
San Diego State(-9.5) at Hawaii(2): I don’t even really know what to do with the Aztecs right now. This looks like an easy pick, but they have not played well in the last two weeks. They should do better against Hawaii, but I’m not all that sure about it. Give me SDSU.
Next: ESPN College Pick em Picks Week 9
I have 11 one point games this week, but before you accuse me of getting skittish, I still have nine four pointers and three five pointers. I also ended up with another 20 two pointers and 12 three pointers.
Stay tuned to Fantasy CPR for the last of the picks of the week against the spread, and our NFL DFS picks and picks for the EPL! We even have some NBA DFS picks for you!