College Football Picks Against The Spread Early November 4, 2017
By Mike Marteny
College Football Picks Against The Spread Early November 4, 2017
My college football pick em points were down to 32 last week. Thankfully the spread picks have been doing a little better this year! Through nine weeks, I am at 252-225 with a net total of 67 betting points. Let’s add to that!
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For those of you that are new here, I put myself out there every week. For the last six years, I have picked every single college football game. Sounds easy, right? I thought so too. So I have picked them all against the spread. That significantly increases the degree of difficulty.
I take the average of the odds from the six major Vegas casinos and round that to the nearest half point. There will be no ties here. Ties are for the other football.
Some site will sell you top ten picks for a fee. Some will even give you a couple of free picks to lure you in. This is every game picked, all for free.
I will assign a point value “bet” on each game, between one and five points. That way you can see just how confident I am in each pick. Look for those at the end of each line.
I cannot be responsible for you losing any of your worldly possessions, significant others, or limbs to a loan shark. This is for entertainment purposes only! I am a simple person. I cannot have that on my conscience.
We have the biggest week of college football so far this season. There is a full 61 game slate, all of which are FBS vs. FBS matchups! 16 of those kick off before 3:30 eastern on Saturday. Let’s get this week started right!
(7)Penn State(-9.5) at (24)Michigan State(3): Michigan State doesn’t have the offense to wear out the Penn State D like the Buckeyes did. The gauntlet continues for Penn State, but they know they still have a puncher’s chance to make it in. I think they show up ready. Give me Penn State.
(9)Wisconsin(-13.5) at Indiana(3): This looks high. The Badgers barely beat a bad Illinois team by this. Give me the Hoosiers at home.
(14)Auburn(-14.5) at Texas A&M(4): The Aggies got blown off their own field by Mississippi State last weekend. Auburn is even better than the Bulldogs are. I think this gets ugly. Give me Auburn.
Massachusetts at (16)Mississippi State(-31.5)(2): Oh man, that’s a lot of points. UMass has been playing well lately, so I’ll say they lose by four touchdowns instead of five.
Florida at Missouri(-2.5)(2): I have a feeling that Florida will play better without McElwain at the helm, but can they stop this Missouri offense? I would have said Missouri outright with at least four points before McElwain was dismissed. Now I have this feeling that Florida may show up. I’m taking Mizzou, but lowering the bet.
Kansas State at Texas Tech(-3.5)(3): The Wildcats have had more luck moving the ball without Jesse Ertz. Once again, this comes down to the Kansas State offense and their inability to consistently navigate the field. I have to go with Tech at home.
Western Kentucky at Vanderbilt(-10.5)(3): Too many. I know that the Hilltoppers have had issues moving the ball, but they can’t hold a candle to the ineptitude of Vanderbilt. This stays in single digits.
Baylor(-7.5) at Kansas(2): The loser becomes the laughingstock of the Big 12(10) if they aren’t already. I’m just not quite convinced that Kansas will lose this by more than one score at home. Give me Kansas.
Illinois at Purdue(-13.5)(1): Ouch! Is Purdue really 13 points better than anyone? If they are, it’s definitely the Illini. I’ll take the Boilers, I guess.
East Carolina at Houston(-24.5)(2): This line makes me nervous. That Houston offense isn’t elite, but the Pirates are still one of the worst defenses ever assembled. I have to go with Houston, though I don’t really trust them.
Syracuse at Florida State(-6.5)(2): The only reason FSU is favored is because they are at home. Syracuse is a pretty good team, but they are far better at home. Give me FSU.
Georgia Tech(-9.5) at Virginia(2): Wow, Virginia has really hit the skids lately. They have been outscored 72-24 over the last two games in which they were favored by six points total. I don’t see it getting any better here. Give me the Bees.
Appalachian State(-9.5) at Louisiana-Monroe(3): The Mountaineers just lost to UMass in overtime, but I tend to think that is a product of UMass finally having a decent team. I don’t really see that from Monroe this year.
Georgia State(-3.5) at Georgia Southern(1): This is the small school equivalent of the Iron Bowl. These two teams really don’t like each other. The Panthers have won this game when they shouldn’t have more times than I can count. The Eagles exact revenge at home this year. Give me Georgia Southern.
Rice at UAB(-10.5)(4): UAB is going bowling after this one. They do it in style! Blazers by closer to 20 than ten!
New Mexico State(-9.5) at Texas State(3): The Aggies offense is too good for the Bobcats to stop. I have to think they cover. Give me NMSU.
Next: ESPN College Pick em Picks Week 10
Stay tuned to Fantasy CPR for the last of the picks of the week against the spread, and our NFL DFS picks and picks for the EPL! We even have some NBA DFS picks for you!