I’m done picking games that involve the Atlanta Falcons. We’ll move on and get some more of these right. Here are the five best bets in NFL in Week 11.
It only took me 10 weeks, but I’ve finally figured it out. I’m done picking games that involve my hometown Atlanta Falcons. When I think they are going to do well, they don’t. Should I pick against them, well, Adrian Clayborn ends up with six sacks on Dak Prescott because Chaz Green cannot play left tackle at the professional level.
So yes, that game was what swung potentially another winning week for me to a losing one. Going with the Indianapolis Colts getting 10.5 against a disinterested Pittsburgh Steelers was the best call I had in Week 10. Though it was frightening, the Cincinnati Bengals covered the five-point spread to only lose to the Tennessee Titans by four.
Coming up short for me was Josh McCown and the New York Jets and John Fox and the Chicago Bears. I clearly put too much stuck in a McCown revenge game. Maybe he wasn’t that bitter over how things ended in Tampa? His Jets lost by five when they were getting 1.5. Then Fox decided to challenge a play that cost the Bears a touchdown. Pylon incompetence cost me dearly, as the Bears could not swallow the three points and lost by a touchdown to the rival Green Bay Packers.
So I’m 27-21-2 on the year. Not where I’d like to be, but that’s just the way it goes. Now that I’m done picking games involving the Falcons, I think I’ll do better going forward. Here are the five best bets against the spread. heading into Week 11. All lines are by OddShark.
Arizona Cardinals (-1) at Houston Texans
Though you may not want to watch this dumpster fire of a game, you might be good to put something on the line in this one. It will be the quarterback battle nobody wanted, as Blaine Gabbert and the Arizona Cardinals will take on Tom Savage and the Houston Texans.
Swallow the one point that Gabbert’s Cardinals are laying because no offense grows in the Savage Garden. If Savage’s inability to find the end zone wasn’t enough, a certain goal-line botch job is to be expected out of Texans head coach Bill O’Brien.
Though picking Gabbert to lay a point is a scary concept, hear me out on this. Gabbert has the arm talent to make the throws head coach Bruce Arians will want from the quarterback position. His ability to make plays with his legs certainly set Gabbert apart from Savage in the bad backup quarterback bonanza.
If Arians develops a game plan where he tells Gabbert to do his best Alex Smith impersonation, Arizona can win on the road in Houston very easily. It will help to have Adrian Peterson to hand the ball off to, as well as a Cardinals secondary that will love to prey on Texans who are Truly, Madly, Deeply screwed at quarterback now that rookie Deshaun Watson is out for the year.