College Football Picks Against The Spread Early November 18, 2017

TAMPA, FL – JANUARY 7: The National Championship Trophy during the College Football Playoff National Championship Media Day on January 7, 2017 at Amalie Arena in Tampa, Florida. (Photo by Brian Blanco/Getty Images) /

College Football Picks Against The Spread Early November 18, 2017

Thankfully the spread picks have been doing a little better this year! Through 11 weeks, I am at 318-279 with a net total of 103 betting points. I am edging closer to my goal of 55%! Let’s add to that!

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For those of you that are new here, I put myself out there every week. For the last six years, I have picked every single college football game. Sounds easy, right? I thought so too. So I have picked them all against the spread. That significantly increases the degree of difficulty.

I take the average of the odds from the six major Vegas casinos and round that to the nearest half point. There will be no ties here. Ties are for the other football.

Some site will sell you top ten picks for a fee. Some will even give you a couple of free picks to lure you in. This is every game picked, all for free.

I will assign a point value “bet” on each game, between one and five points. That way you can see just how confident I am in each pick. Look for those at the end of each line.

I cannot be responsible for you losing any of your worldly possessions, significant others, or limbs to a loan shark. This is for entertainment purposes only! I am a simple person. I cannot have that on my conscience.

We have a huge week of college football this week! There are 65 games this week, but Alabama, Florida State, Clemson, South Carolina, and North Carolina are slumming in FCS this week. That still leaves 60 FBS vs. FBS matchups. 15 of them kick off between noon and two eastern. Let’s check those out!

ANN ARBOR, MI – NOVEMBER 04: Sean McKeon #84 of the Michigan Wolverines scores a first quarter touchdown against the Minnesota Golden Gophers during a college football game at Michigan Stadium on November 4, 2017 in Ann Arbor, Michigan. (Photo by Dave Reginek/Getty Images) /

Virginia at (3)Miami(FL)(-19.5)(2): This looks a little high. Miami just got done with two very tough games in a row. Their goal of making the playoffs is now well within reach. I’m not saying they slack off here, but I think they are a little flat and Virginia hangs within two touchdowns. Give me the Hoos.

(24)Michigan at (5)Wisconsin(-7.5)(4): This looks high. Michigan’s defense is easily the best unit Wisconsin has faced this year. Their offense is much better with Brandon Peters leading it in no small part because he isn’t making mistakes. You can’t say the same for Hornibrook. I still like Michigan straight up.

Louisiana-Monroe at (6)Auburn(-36.5)(1): That’s a ton of points. Auburn is notorious for not covering these. History is on my side! Give me ULM.

(12)TCU(-6.5) at Texas Tech(3): Kenny Hill is out, so this line opened at -6 and hasn’t budged. I feel pretty confident giving the half here. TCU’s defense is plenty good enough to solve that Texas Tech offense. I’ll take the Toadies.

(15)Central Florida(-13.5) at Temple(3): UCF is getting virtually no credit here. Why? For not covering crazy 30 and 40 point spreads? The only way that UCF doesn’t cover is if the team is in disarray with all of the Scott Frost rumors flying about. That’s the only reason Iowered the bet. Give me UCF.

(16)Mississippi State(-13.5) at Arkansas(5): Sure, I need some free money. A team that stayed closer to Bama than LSU did only favored by two touchdowns right after LSU wiped the field with them. Mississippi State hasn’t played all that well on the road, but they are at least two touchdowns better than Arkansas anywhere. Give me the Bulldogs.

SMU at (21)Memphis(-12.5)(3): This looks high. SMU has been hanging around with everyone lately. Memphis doesn’t have the defense to stop the Mustangs. I feel good about taking the over on 69.5. I think this is a high scoring, one score game. Give me the Ponies.

Minnesota at (23)Northwestern(-6.5)(4): I’m taking that half back here. This line opened at -7 and hasn’t moved. It wont either. That said, still like Northwestern right at 7. Minnesota is getting too much credit for bulldozing a below average Nebraska team. They wont be able to run like that on Northwestern, and they wont be able to pass to win. I’ll take the Wildcats.

Cincinnati(-3.5) at East Carolina(4): The Pirates have played better football lately, but they are 2-8 for a reason. I don’t think that Cincinnati is a lot better, but they are at least a touchdown better. Give me the Bearcats.

Texas at West Virginia(-3.5)(3): I picked the Longhorns to win in pick em, so I better stick with it I am nervous about it though.

Rutgers at Indiana(-11.5)(3): I know that Indiana is good enough to cover this, especially back at full strength. Ramsey will likely start, which leans even more to Indiana’s favor. Give me the Hoosiers.

Pittsburgh at Virginia Tech(-15.5)(2): This line is falling, and it should be. The Hokies have not played very well lately and Pitt has. I have to think Pitt can hang within ten or so. Give me Pitt.

Rice at Old Dominion(-7.5)(4): This line is still as high as 9 in some places. It doesn’t matter to me. Anything under 10, I’m taking the Monarchs. Ray Lawry is back to his full workload, and Rice wont be able to stop him. Old Dominion by a couple of touchdowns or so.

Fresno State(-2.5) at Wyoming(3): Josh Allen is questionable, but even if he sits, I don’t see the Bulldogs winning this in Laramie. If Allen plays, I’m upping this bet to a five. Cowboys straight up.

Iowa State(-8.5) at Baylor(2): The Bears are playing pretty well right now, especially at home. That said, Iowa State’s defense is still good enough to shut them down. The Cyclones get back on the winning track here with a double digit victory.

Next: ESPN College Pick em Picks Week 12

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