DraftKings NBA picks November 29: Return of Boogie Monster

We have ten games tonight, giving us plenty of options in our DraftKings tournament. There are value plays everywhere, and a lot of starts that could put up big points. Who are the best bets? Let’s check it out!

Point Guards

Best Bets:

Russell Westbrook ($11,200): Don’t look now, but Westbrook has topped 60 DraftKings points in four straight games. This is a far cry from last year, but it makes him worth looking at again in his price range. There are ten games tonight, so we have plenty of other options, but Westbrook against a weak Orlando team on the perimeter is definitely worth a look. With injuries ravaging the position, it isn’t as deep as it usually is on a larger slate.

Stephen Curry ($9,600): Curry missed Monday’s loss to the Kings (not a typo) with a bruised hand. The consensus is that he will return tonight against the Lakers. If Curry does, this is a great place to use him. There is no way Lonzo can guard Curry.

Honorable Mention:

Chris Paul ($8,100): Yes, Paul hasn’t hit value over his last two games, but he is just 3-19 from the floor. The poor shooting will subside, and when it does, we will see that he picked up 27 assists in 62 minutes over those two games. The assists and steals are there. The minutes are getting there. The points, and value, will come. Perhaps as soon as tonight.

Spencer Dinwiddie ($6,900): I’m not touching Kemba vs.Lowry, or 1 vs. 2 in point guard defense. I will step down a bit to Dinwiddie does Dallas. His price is to the point where Dinwiddie is no longer a sleeper shot at 8x value. However, against a Dallas team that has struggled against point guards, Dinwiddie is still a threat to hit 6x. He has taken 44 shots in the last three games, so he is taking on the scoring role of Russell as well.

Jrue Holiday ($6,500): The Timberwolves are weak defending the point anyway, even with Teague in there. If he sits again, Holiday could have a field day against Tyus Jones. Holiday picked up 28.5 DraftKings points in the first matchup against Minnesota. He could have an even better game tonight.

Dark Horses:

Reggie Jackson ($5,900): Jackson’s normal November swoon is in full effect. He had a break against Boston, but Jackson still likely wont play over 30 minutes no matter how well he is playing. Ish Smith has successfully cut in on his action, but there is value to be had against the Suns. Maybe even for both of them.

Kyle Anderson ($5,300): His versatility has allowed Anderson to carve out a nice role for the Spurs, who are in need of a youth injection. Anderson has fallen short of 25 DraftKings points just once in the last nine games. He isn’t coming up short against a Memphis team that doesn’t guard the perimeter well, especially without Conley.

Tyus Jones ($4,500): The good part is that we should know by lock time whether Teague is sitting or not. If Teague sits, Jones should be in your lineup. He has over 100 DraftKings points in the three games with Teague out. We could argue that he is outplaying Teague anyway! You can’t take down a GPP wiithout him if Teague sits again.

Tomas Satoransky ($3,100): Satoransky saw more minutes than Frazier last night because the Wizards discovered that they need defense more than scoring from the point with Wall out. Oubre and Porter can pick up the scoring. I expect Satoransky to pick up more minutes than Frazier tonight against Philadelphia, especially if Simmons plays.

My pick: Westbrook(PG), Anderson(UTIL); McConnell(PG), Satoransky(G)

Shooting Guards:

Best Bets:

James Harden ($11,600): Harden has lit up both New York teams over the last two games. In the first meeting with the Pacers, Harden came up with 60.25 DraftKings points. Now the bad news: The Beard had 15 assists in that game. Harden wont do that anytime soon with CP3 back, but he still scores enough and rebounds well enough to hit value even at this price.

Klay Thompson ($7,400): This is a big step down, but I don’t trust Oladipo on a balky knee against Houston or DeRozan at less than 100% against Charlotte. Beal has been cold from the field lately, so I land on Thompson. He also has a great matchup against the Lakers in what will be a high scoring game. Thompson seems a safer bet than anyone between him and Beard.

Honorable Mention:

Jimmy Butler ($7,400): Butler picked up 36 DraftKings points in the first meeting with the Pelicans. Butler picked up a hard fought double-double last night, and was only three rebounds short of a triple double. His place in the Timberwolves offense is secure right now. Expect to see plenty of shots from Butler, and enough of them going in to keep hitting value.

Tim Hardaway Jr. ($6,500): Portland and Houston held Hardaway to just 10-30 shooting. I can tell you right now that Miami wont be able to do that. Hardaway’s foot seems better, and that likely had something to do with poor shooting as well. I am expecting a strong game from Hardaway with potentially low ownership.

Dion Waiters ($6,400): Waiters lit up his former team last night and he gets one of the few teams tonight that is worse than Cleveland in fantasy points allowed to shooting guards. Waiters is a streaky shooter who got hot last night. His chances of staying that way in the second night of a back to back against a similarly weak defensive team are very good.

Dark Horses:

Jeremy Lamb ($5,500): There is risk involved in playing Lamb now with Batum back, but Batum has scored just seven points in the last two games combined. Charlotte relies on the outside for a bulk of their scoring. If Batum isn’t getting it done, Lamb can still pour in points by the bushel. That makes him a pretty nice value play because I don’t see Batum getting hot anytime soon.

Jonathon Simmons ($4,500): Simmons turned in a nice performance as a starter against the Pacers on Monday. That has earned him the starting role going forward. This has been a long time coming. Simmons is way too cheap for his potential right now, so I wouldn’t worry about poor matchup against the Thunder. He only needs 22.5 DraftKings points to hit value. Simmons will easily to that playing more than 30 minutes a game.

Lance Stephenson ($4,300): Stephenson returned to the bench against Orlando, and still put up a staggering 38.5 DraftKings points in only 24 minutes. He is on fire right now, and even decreased minutes can’t slow him down. Stephenson has at least 5x value in seven of the last eight games.

My pick: Stephenson(SG); N/A

Small Forwards:

Best Bets:

Paul George ($8,600): Calling Ben Simmons questionable seems to be a stretch. Signs are pointing towards Durant returning tonight, but the Lakers are strong against small forwards. So for me George looks like the best option at the position tonight. His lower price definitely helps. George isn’t going to go 1-12 from the field again tonight like he did on Saturday. I see George bouncing back strong against Orlando.

T.J. Warren ($7,100): Warren had a nice night on a night when Devin Booker lit it up. He is proving to be the perfect compliment to Booker. Warren is the more consistent of the two, and his matchup a small forward with Stanley Johnson is much better than Booker’s against Avery Bradley tonight.

Honorable Mention:

Otto Porter ($6,700): While Beal has picked up higher volume with John Wall out, it has been Porter who has really picked up most of the scoring slack with Wall out. Beal took a lot of shots anyway, but Porter’s rates have gone up across the board making him a value play even at this price with Wall out.

Tobias Harris ($6,500): Harris is enough of an athlete to run with the Suns. He put up a big line against Boston on Monday. Look for that to continue against Phoenix tonight. I don’t necessarily expect him to drop another 40 since the Suns aren’t great defending the wings, but 5x value is likely.

Robert Covington ($6,200): The poor Wizards were gouged for 46.25 DraftKings points by Covington earlier this season. If Ben Simmons sits, which looks likely, look for Covington to help pick up the scoring load. Covington was awful against the King on Monday. Look for him to bounce back in a big way tonight.

Dark Horses:

Harrison Barnes ($6,100): Barnes is a well rounded scorer and rebounder for Dallas this year. The Nets are weak at nearly every position, which is going to amount to big numbers for Barnes and some of his teammates. Barnes has at least 5x value in eight of the last ten games. He is rolling right now!

Larry Nance Jr. ($5,400): Nance dominated the minutes over Kuzma in his return. This trend will likely continue, so I definitely like Nance more than Kuzma anyway. Then when you add in the fact that Nance is $600 cheaper, it’s really a no brainer.

Kelly Oubre ($4,200): Oubre is becoming an accomplished bench scorer for the Wizards. With Philadelphia perhaps a bit beat up tonight, I like Oubre to keep up his hot shooting from last night. Oubre picked up 14 shots and extended run with Wall out. Expect that trend to continue as well.

Norman Powell ($4,000): It is unusual to put someone in here who has lost a starting job. Or is it? That seems to be a staple for struggling Kings youngsters. The Raptors have tried the same approach with Powell, and he has responded with three straight 20+ DraftKings points games off the bench. He lacks the upside that he did as a starter, but Powell is a pretty strong punt play at this point.

My pick: Covington(SG), Powell(G), Oubre(F); Powell(SG), Porter(SF), Barnes(UTIL)

Power Forwards

Best Bet:

Anthony Davis ($10,800): Taj Gibson couldn’t handle Davis in the first meeting. Davis came up with 54 DraftKings points, or exactly 5x value. Nothing much has changed here. Brow is good for at least 5x value again tonight. There is no one in that frontcourt than can handle either of these behemoths.

Kristaps Porzingis ($8,200): The back appears to be fine (finally). Porzingis is a strong play against Miami. James Johnson is undersized if he ends up on him, and Whiteside is a beast blocking shots, but not for much else. Enjoy the savings that the back injury provided. Porzingis should be back up to his old tricks tonight.

Honorable Mention:

LaMarcus Aldridge ($8,100): Aldridge was dominant on Monday against Dallas. The Grizzlies actually rank below Dallas in fantasy points allowed to power forwards. This could be yet another big game for LMA with Kawhi Leonard still out. We know the Spurs need it.

Draymond Green ($7,300): Green remains a strong force for the Warriors, though he isn’t always for your DraftKings lineups. Green has not hit 5x value since November 13th against Orlando, but he has not been under 27 DraftKings points in that span either. You know exactly what you are getting from Green.

Dark Horses:

Trevor Booker ($4,900): We saw what Aldridge did to the Mavs on Monday. Booker will get his chance tonight. Even if Hollis-Jefferson gives it a go, I’m not sure that he will be 100%. I would consider Booker even if he doesn’t start. If he does, Booker is nearly a must play against this front!

Dirk Nowitzki ($4,800): Dirk and Dallas just had an all around miserable night on Monday. Prior to that, Nowitzki had six straight games of at least 6x value. I am thinking that he comes back to that form against the Nets, especially if Rondae Hollis-Jefferson remains out.

Pascal Siakam ($3,800): Siakam has been outplaying Ibaka for much of the season. He has not taken over the starting job just yet, but it has assured Siakam a large share of minutes. He has turned that into more than 5x value in five straight games. Four of those went north of 7x value. Siakam will be a preferred value play tonight, but it may be worth it even with high ownership.

My pick: Siakam(PF); Aldridge(PF), Porzingis(F)

Center:

Best Bets:

DeMarcus Cousins ($11,000): The defensive shortcomings of Towns are much publicized, so Cousins is a strong play against him. The two towers dominated the Timberwolves the first time around. There is no reason that it wont happen again. Things haven’t really changed. Actually, domination isn’t the word for what Boogie did the first time. What do you call putting up 73.75 DraftKings points on a team? Suggestions? How about Boogie Monster?

Joel Embiid ($9,800): I’m never going to sit here and tell you not to play Embiid. We all know what he is capable of. Embiid only put up 40.25 DraftKings points in the first meeting with Washington, but he also only played 26 minutes in that one. Embiid is now playing right around 30 minutes per game, so it stands to reason that that number should increase. Embiid has a solid floor with nice upside once again.

Honorable Mention:

Andre Drummond ($9,200): There are a lot of strong plays at center tonight, so Drummond may got a bit unnoticed. He dominated Boston with 24 points and 22 rebounds en route to 70.5 DraftKings points. The Suns are really weak on the interior, so there is a chance that Drummond can put in another punishing performance tonight.

Clint Capela ($7,400): Capela put up 45.25 DraftKings points in just 31 minutes against the Pacers in the first meeting. Capela wont play any more minutes than that, but if we get that kind of production again, I doubt any of us will complain. Especially with the lack of middle tier options at the position.

Nikola Vucevic ($7,300): After a rough stretch in mid November, Vucevic is back on track with five straight games of more than 36 DraftKings points. He could have some trouble up front with the Thunder tonight because Adams is a strong defender. If you are willing to incur some risk though, you may be able to cash in with low ownership as well.

Dark Horses:

Steven Adams ($5,500): Vucevic may be polished on offense, but he is still a work in progress on defense. While Adams is the fourth offensive option on this team, he can still put up some strong defensive numbers. He lacks true upside against a weaker defensive center. It would serve the Thunder well to attack the interior. Whether they do it with Adams or not will determine whether this is a good play or not.

Serge Ibaka ($4,700): The matchup is definitely here for Ibaka. It’s a good one. That hasn’t mattered lately. The veteran is being outplayed by Siakam (among others), and though he is still strong on the defensive end, he is offensively lost in this system. The matchup is right, but I don’t know that Ibaka is.

My pick: Cousins(C), Drummond(C)

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