DraftKings NBA Picks February 28: Can the Spurs stop the Brow?

NEW YORK, NY – FEBRUARY 26: Denzel Valentine #45 of the Chicago Bulls reacts in the third quarter against the Brooklyn Nets during their game at Barclays Center on February 26, 2018 in the Brooklyn borough of New York City. (Photo by Abbie Parr/Getty Images) DraftKings /

DraftKings NBA Picks February 28: Can the Spurs stop the Brow?

We have another nine games for our Wednesday DraftKings tournaments. The Timberwolves and Bulls are not on the court, so we have to look elsewhere for value. Which stud should we build around? Who is the player not priced as a stud that could produce like one? Let’s dissect this thing!

Point Guards:

Best Bets:

Russell Westbrook ($11,300): Two disappointing games in a row have dropped Westbrook’s price a little. Of course, I had him going in both of those games. The numbers added up! The bad news is that the do tonight as well. Westbrook has 186.25 DraftKings points in three games against Dallas this season. The Mavs are in the middle of the pack against the point. Westbrook has come out of the break cold, going just 11-41 from the field. It may be wise to see the slump end before investing this much on one player. On the other hand, ownership should be lower than usual.

Chris Paul ($8,300): Paul hasn’t put up a big game in a while, so his price has been on a pretty steady decline. The good news is that it is back in the range where he can hit 5x value. There are plenty of storylines against the Clippers here, and Paul is cheap enough that he is worth considering in a revenge game. The underlying issue here is that these teams are really growing to dislike each other. Where Paul lies on that remains unclear, but I think he can be worth a look tonight, especially with Westbrook struggling.

Honorable Mention:

Lou Williams ($7,900): Williams has had the Rockets’ number this season. However, Williams played an average of 39 minutes in the first two games against Houston. With the Clippers at (mostly) full strength, that likely wont happen here. However, if he gets as hot as he was in the first two meetings, the Clippers would be foolish to keep him on the bench very long. Williams is shooting 58% from beyond the arc against Houston, and has picked up 105.75 DraftKings points in two games.

Kyle Lowry ($7,500): With Lowry matching up against Orlando, Williams looks a bit overpriced. The Magic are still no better than average against the point with Payton gone, and Lowry is well above average. The possibility of a blowout takes a little of the luster off of Lowry, but this is still a great matchup and the price is very reasonable.

Eric Bledsoe ($7,400): Bledsoe continues to be a solid point for the Bucks. Better than that, he has been a value machine for those of us going back to the well in DFS. Last night marked the eighth straight game over 35 DraftKings points for Bledsoe. He is one of the more sure things lately, and is suitable for both cash games and GPP tournaments.

Dark Horses:

Dejounte Murray ($6,000): Murray played 34 minutes on Sunday, his most since January 26^th. He borders on an elite option at this price if he is going to play that many minutes. Of course, it’s a Spurs rotation so we never really know. He has a nice matchup with the Pelicans tonight, a team that he dropped 30.75 on in just 24 minutes earlier this season. There is good potential here.

Tomas Satoransky ($5,900): I’m not crazy about the matchup against Golden State, but Satoransky has proven that he can put up good fantasy numbers even if he isn’t scoring. It’s getting tougher and tougher for him to hit value as the price continues to rise, but his skills as a passer are keeping him on the court for most of the game. Satoransky is still a solid fantasy play.

Cory Joseph ($5,200): Dallas shut him down on Monday, but don’t count on Atlanta doing the same. Joseph is still a solid value play at this price with Collison out. Lost in the disappointing game against Dallas is the fact that Joseph played 38 minutes in that one. If he plays that many minutes against Atlanta, he is getting at least 6x value.

My pick: Murray(PG); Lowry(PG)

DALLAS, TX – JANUARY 24: James Harden #13 of the Houston Rockets reacts after scoring against the Dallas Mavericks at American Airlines Center on January 24, 2018 in Dallas, Texas. (Photo by Tom Pennington/Getty Images) /

Shooting Guards:

Best Bets:

James Harden ($11,200): Harden torched the Clippers for 73 DraftKings points in the first meeting. He may not get eight assists again with Paul around, but spirits are high for Harden owners right now as he pulled in a season high 11 boards against Utah. Harden is playing well enough to get you value for this price. The Beard has only been under 50 DraftKings once in the last nine games. He has a better floor than most at this price right now.

Devin Booker ($8,600): Booker put up 48.25 against Memphis in the first meeting despite a pedestrian shooting night. Memphis is still one of the worst teams defending the off guard, and that will be magnified tonight with Tyreke Evans out again. Booker could be in for a huge game here! Memphis really doesn’t have anyone that can guard him now.

Honorable Mention:

DeMar DeRozan ($8,000): DeRozan has come out of the break hot. He only played 29 minutes against Detroit because of the blowout on Monday, and he still came away with 36.25 DraftKings points. There is blowout potential here tonight as well, but if it becomes one, DeRozan will likely be why. He should still hit 5x value or be very close. His upside is down some because of the opponent though. Toronto will rest him if they can down the stretch.

Jrue Holiday ($7,800): Holiday’s 38 DraftKings points against Phoenix on Monday almost felt like a letdown compared to what he has been doing, but he still hit value with that effort. I expect something similar against the Spurs tonight. Holiday definitely has upside still, but I see this game more being in the low 40’s than in the mid 50’s. Not that I’m complaining.

J.J. Barea ($5,800): Oklahoma City still has the designation of allowing the least fantasy points to shooting guards weeks after Roberson went down. That is a testament to just how good of a defensive player Roberson is. The Thunder are still solid there, but they aren’t as good as with Roberson. This seems like a good place to jump on the Barea train with the possibility of lower ownership with all of the other options out there.

Dark Horses:

Andrew Harrison ($5,700): Harrison has filled in nicely for Evans this time around. He has at least 30 DraftKings points in four of his last five starts. I love Harrison at this price point tonight and in this matchup against Phoenix. I see another 30 DraftKings point game tonight.

Tyrone Wallace ($4,700): There are a couple of things that could make this pick go sour, so keep an eye on the status of both Gallinari and Avery Bradley heading into this one. If Bradley returns, Wallace’s value goes away. The same could be true if Gallinari is back. This is a pretty good matchup for Wallace if he starts, but we will have no way of knowing by the time lineups lock. That makes Wallace a sizeable risk, but he has good upside at this price.

My pick: Booker(SG), Harrison(G), Wallace(UTIL); Harden(SG), DeRozan(G), Barea(UTIL)

OAKLAND, CA – FEBRUARY 06: Kevin Durant #35 of the Golden State Warriors shoots over Paul George #13 of the Oklahoma City Thunder during the first half of their NBA basketball game at ORACLE Arena on February 6, 2018 in Oakland, California. (Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images) /

Small Forwards:

Best Bets:

Kevin Durant ($9,700): Durant hasn’t hit value in three games since the break. He hasn’t even been closer. KD torched the Wizards earlier this season, but that was in a game that Curry missed. There is risk involved here. You know you are going to get low 40’s from Durant. It just seems like we can do much better by kicking in about a thousand more. This is a good matchup though if you trust Durant with all of the talent around him.

Paul George ($8,500): The horrid game against the Warriors did scare off ownership on Monday night. I kind of hope they stay away here too. In three games against Dallas this year, George has averaged 43.1 DraftKings points per game. There is solid value here for George. I see his numbers being very close to Durant despite the sizeable difference in price.

Honorable Mention:

Otto Porter ($6,700): Porter ripped the Warriors for 53.5 DraftKings points in just 33 minutes in the first meeting. I do have a sinking feeling that the Warriors learned their lesson and are going to put Draymond on Porter. That would really hurt his value. We may have official notice of who is guarding who by lineup lock, but I wouldn’t count on it. There is risk here, but the award could be enormous.

Harrison Barnes ($6,200): Barnes has done pretty well against the Thunder this year, putting up 109.25 DraftKings points on them in three games. That is pretty close to 6x value for this price. Barnes has a solid role in this offense, but he often is scoring reliable because of it. There is some risk involved here, but this looks like a good matchup for Barnes.

Dark Horses:

Bojan Bogdanovic ($5,400): Bogdanovic has been the one to reap the most rewards from the absence of Collison. Well, besides Joseph anyway. Bogdanovic has taken on more of a scoring role for the Pacers. He is never going to put up big numbers, but Atlanta is still the worst team in the league defending small forwards. Bogdanovic could be flirting with 7x value tonight.

Kyle Anderson ($5,100): Anderson’s ability to produce in every category should be the thing that keeps him the starter here. The Spurs have toyed with several different lineups, but one thing is clear: Anderson deserves to start. He is not an accomplished scorer most nights, so he doesn’t have a lot of upside. However, his across the board numbers give Anderson a nice fantasy floor.

Jabari Parker ($4,600): The Bucks have been great to us DFS players lately. There has been plenty of notice on what limitations Parker will face before lineups lock. There are rumbles of the Bucks sitting Parker in the second night of a back to back, but if he plays, Parker will be in my lineup again. He played 27 minutes and put up 27.75 DraftKings points last night.

My pick: Anderson(SF), Parker(F); Parker(SF

CHICAGO, IL – JANUARY 17: Kevin Durant #35 of the Golden State Warriors walks up the court against the Chicago Bulls at the United Center on January 17, 2018 in Chicago, Illinois. The Warriors defeated the Bulls 119-112. (Photo by Jonathan Daniel/Getty Images) /

Power Forwards:

Best Bets:

Anthony Davis ($11,700): Davis has turned in two 90+ DraftKings points performances in the last three games, so no, I don’t care that the Spurs are one of the best defenses in the league. Davis put up 51.75 in the first game with the Spurs. He seems to be one-upping every early season performance with Boogie out. There is still solid potential here with Davis despite the tough matchup. And I really, really don’t like Giannis against Griffin. He has struggled against Blake throughout his career.

LaMarcus Aldridge ($8,100): Like Davis, the Spurs’ playoff hopes mostly land on the shoulders of Aldridge. Unlike Davis, he wont be allowed to take over this game. The Spurs have more veteran talent around him than the Pelicans have around Davis. The Spurs also have a coach notorious for deep rotations. And there is the dirty little detail that Aldridge could barely get a hand on the ball, let alone a rebound, in the first meeting.

Honorable Mention:

NIkola Mirotic ($6,500): Hey Aldridge, get out there and cover that guy! Don’t worry……we’ll wait. Okay, so maybe that is an overdramatization, but it’s going to be hard for the Spurs’ bigs to get a hand in Mirotic’s face in this one. There is solid potential here. Of course, Mirotic could stay cold and come nowhere near where he needs to be.

Dwight Powell ($5,600): Powell continues to be quietly solid as a starter for the Mavericks. The issue here is what the return of Nerlens Noel will mean for Powell. That could happen as early as tonight, and for cash games I would err on the side of caution. Powell could be worth a look in GPP formats, but this is not a great matchup either. There is a lot of risk and the potential reward isn’t huge.

JaMychal Green ($5,400): The slow start for Green is getting farther and farther in the past. Green put up 28.5 DraftKings points in the first meeting against Phoenix, and he only played 26 minutes. Green has played more than that in every game since the break. The Grizzlies appear ready to give Green the minutes again with very positive results so far.

Dark Horses:

Mario Hezonja ($4,600): I’m not wild about this matchup, but Hezonja at this price as a starter against anyone is a steal. Aaron Gordon has a sore hip again, which automatically makes me think that the Magic are going to hold Gordon out. They have no reason to push him. If Hezonja starts, I see no reason not to use him. Even against Toronto.

Montrezl Harrell ($4,300): Harrell continues to put on a show on the second unit for the Clippers. It isn’t broke, so the Clippers aren’t fixing it, but they are tweaking it to allow Harrell a few more minutes. Harrell is playing 25 minutes per game now, and is an absolute steal at this price. Harrell has cleared 6x value in each of the last two games.

Dragan Bender ($4,000): That’s what we were waiting for. The official designation that Tyson Chandler is out indefinitely. Alex Len would assume to take that job, but he was pushed around by Davis so much that the Suns removed him from the situation on Monday. It wont get any easier against Memphis. Bender picked up the slack on Monday, and matches up better against the monsters in Memphis as well. It looks like Bender will need to do more tonight as well.

My pick: Davis(PF); Harrell(PF), Hezonja(F), Bender(C)

Center:

Best Bets:

Andre Drummond ($9,600): Blake Griffin has been cold from the floor lately, and Drummond has easily picked up the slack. He had a big night against the Raptors on Monday, and could have a massive game against the Bucks. Milwaukee has allowed 152.75 DraftKings points to him in three games. This is another very favorable matchup for Drummond.

Nikola Vucevic ($7,600): We saw Toronto get abused by Drummond on Monday. Vucevic isn’t quite the player Drummond is, but there is still optimism here that Vucevic can do some damage at a reasonable price. Vucevic has 108.5 DraftKings points in three games since his return at the break. That makes him a solid pick with some upside tonight.

DeAndre Jordan ($7,600): I don’t know how Jordan is still this cheap. He has not been under 5x value even at this price since February 9th. Jordan has soaked up some of the interior production that Griffin took to Detroit. Add that to his top-notch rebounding, and you have a double-double machine capable of putting up some big numbers.

Honorable Mention:

Myles Turner ($7,300): Turner put on a show against Dallas on Monday, and could get a chance to against an undersized Atlanta front tonight. However, as any of us who have ever used Turner in DFS can attest, he isn’t the most consistent guy around. He has laid eggs in great matchups. Turner has come up big against dominant teams. We really don’t know what to expect. However, there is plenty of upside there tonight. Take that for what it’s worth.

Jonas Valanciunas ($5,800): Drummond dominated Valanciunas on Monday in every facet of the game. That isn’t something that Vucevic can duplicate. I can see Vucevic having a really good offensive games, but he will give up quite a bit to Valanciunas as well. There is potential here if you need to go cheaper at center.

Dark Horses:

Marquese Chriss ($3,800): Well, what do you know? Chandler is out and the Suns’ frontcourt situation is still a DFS disaster. Len was awful against Drummond. Against a guy like Gasol, it seems as though Chriss is the better guy to pit against him. However, all of this is a massive dart throw without late swap. This Suns mess is exactly what late swap needs to be put back in all classic tournaments regardless of sport.

Emeka Okafor ($3,600): With Pau Gasol out, this opens up a lot of value in the Spurs’ frontcourt. I want no part of any of that! If pushed, Joffrey Lauvergne is the best dart throw, but I will attack this from the angle of the other team by starting Okafor against whomever the Spurs throw out there. There is decent upside for Okafor tonight.

My pick: Okafor(C); N/A

Next: FanDuel and FantasyDraft NBA Picks and Pivots

Stay tuned for our FanDuel/FantasyDraft picks! We even have some EPL and PGS picks coming your way! And don’t forget about NHL DFS and the Euro League! We have all of your daily fantasy needs covered.