DraftKings NBA Picks March 13: Will Westbrook get number 100?

PHOENIX, AZ – OCTOBER 20: Corey Brewer #3 of the Los Angeles Lakers during the NBA game against the Phoenix Suns at Talking Stick Resort Arena on October 20, 2017 in Phoenix, Arizona. The Lakers defeated the Suns 132-130. (Photo by Christian Petersen/Getty Images) /

DraftKings NBA Picks March 13: Will Westbrook get number 100?

I am back after a week away, and two full days of driving to and from Tampa, Florida. I tried to get things up on vacation, but that internet was slower than dial up. I love you guys. I really do, but even I am not dedicated enough to spend my whole vacation working. And typing while driving is generally frowned upon in most states.

Point Guards:

Best Bets:

Russell Westbrook ($11,500): Last night Russ put up his 99th career triple-double. Only three players have more. All of them are or will be Hall of Famers. Oscar Robertson leads the way with 181. Magic Johnson had 138. Jason Kidd put up 107, a number that Westbrook could hit before the end of the season. Number 100 should come tonight against the Hawks, making Westbrook just the fourth player in history to reach triple digit triple doubles. Westbrook put up 30-15-7 in the first game against Atlanta this season. That was good for 67.75 DraftKings points. Even if Westbrook misses the triple double, expect at least 5x value.

Kemba Walker ($8,000): We have seen this all season long. Walker struggles against good perimeter defenses. Luckily for him, the Pelicans can’t guard him. There are a lot of overpriced point guards under Westbrook tonight. Don’t fall for one of those traps. Walker is more likely to hit value than any of them.

Honorable Mention:

Kyle Lowry ($7,600): The Nets have been torn apart by Lowry so far this season. Lowry has 97.25 DraftKings points in two games against Brooklyn this season. Just be aware that Lowry’s minutes could take a hit if this turns into a blowout. Toronto has limited Lowry’s minutes in blowouts. That’s the only thing that may keep Lowry out of my lineups.

Lonzo Ball ($7,500): Ball put up 45.5 DraftKings points on Denver on Friday in Denver. There is no reason that Ball can’t do that tonight in L.A. as well. Poor shooting has been the only thing that has stopped Ball lately. That makes him a little bit of a risk, but the price is right to buy tonight.

Ricky Rubio ($6,800): Rubio has ramped up his shot attempts lately with mostly good results. It’s easy to forget that Rubio is only 27 and he has yet to make the playoffs. The Jazz are in line to do so this year. Rubio will be a big reason why if they do. Detroit still hasn’t shored up the points. We could see another nice game for Rubio tonight.

Dark Horses:

Jamal Murray ($6,200): Murray has 112.25 DraftKings points in three games against the Lakers this season. He put up a robust 46.75 on Friday night. Murray is the heart of the Denver offense right now. Sometimes he goes cold, but Murray’s significant upside and affordable price continue to make him a GPP favorite.

Tomas Satoransky ($5,400): Satoransky continues to fill in nicely for John Wall. He wont put up huge numbers, but he is good enough to hit 6x value against a Minnesota team that continues to struggle defending opposing point guards. Satoransky is a solid value play tonight.

Milos Teodosic ($4,900): The Bulls are still by far the worst team in the league defending the point. Even with the Clippers mostly healthy at the guard positions now, Teodosic continues to play around 30 minutes per game. Teodosic isn’t going to light up any scoreboards, but his solid contributions across the board make Teodosic a good value pick.

My pick: Westbrook(PG), Ball(G), Murray(SG); Murray(PG), Satoransky(G)

INDIANAPOLIS, IN – FEBRUARY 23: Victor Oladipo #4 of the Indiana Pacers dribbles the ball against the Atlanta Hawks during the game at Bankers Life Fieldhouse on February 23, 2018 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images) /

Shooting Guards:

Best Bets:

Victor Oladipo ($8,700): Oladipo put up 43.75 DraftKings points in Collison’s return, even against a strong Boston team on Sunday. Oladipo has been a better player off the ball this year, so the return of Collison is a welcome sight for DFS players. The Sixers have allowed 91.75 DraftKings points in two games against Oladipo this year. 5x value seems likely again tonight.

Devin Booker ($8,600): The Cavs shored up their PG defense, but they still allow quite a few points to off guards. Booker is one of the most accomplished scorers around, and has picked up the rest of his game as well. Booker is no longer just a scorer, and could have a big game against Cleveland.

Honorable Mention:

Nicolas Batum ($7,100): Batum had his best game of the season against Phoenix over the weekend. Batum can still put up some big numbers here and there, but it usually corresponds with struggles from Walker. With Walker expected to have a good night tonight, he could take a chunk out of Batum’s production.

Gary Harris ($6,600): Denver does such a good job scoring from the perimeter that they can put up a lot of points in a little time. Harris’s playing time has remained solid even with Millsap back. Murray has more upside and Barton is more explosive, but Harris may be the most consistent of the three.

Zach LaVine ($6,200): LaVine can put up numbers in a hurry. The Bulls are still limiting his minutes, which in turn limits his value, but the potential of LaVine makes him an intriguing DFS play. The fact that LaVine put up 41.75 DraftKings points in the first meeting against the Clippers doesn’t hurt either. The question is whether LaVine will play 31 minutes against them again.

Dark Horses:

Kentavious Caldwell-Pope ($6,100): KCP put up 33.75 DraftKings points on Denver. Yes, Denver has still allowed the least points to shooting guards over this entire season. The upside is not big for KCP tonight, but he could be a solid play at lower ownership for those of you looking to differentiate your lineups.

Austin Rivers ($6,000): Rivers continues to play a ton of minutes for the Clippers. You don’t see a lot of spikes in numbers from Rivers, so he is probably better suited for cash games. However, anyone that plays 38 or more minutes a game at this price has suitable potential for GPP play as well.

Denzel Valentine ($4,700): Valentine has hit at least 25 DraftKings points in five of the last seven games. There is a lot of good, young talent on this Bulls team, and they are obviously tanking. That makes the rotation look a little volatile. However, Valentine has played at least 25 minutes in eight of the last nine games. He is a solid bargain play tonight.

My pick: Valentine(F); Batum(SG)

LOS ANGELES, CA – MARCH 09: LeBron James /

Small Forwards:

Best Bets:

LeBron James ($11,600): If you’re shelling out this kind of cash, you want some kind of high floor, right? Well, LeBron hasn’t been under 50 DraftKings points in nearly two months. The King may not have the highest ceiling, but you can make a case that he has the highest floor of the superstars. That makes him more valuable in cash games, but saying LeBron isn’t worth a shot in GPP formats is like saying that Secretariat wasn’t a horse. It’s just not true.

Paul George ($8,400): George has at least 35 DraftKings points in every game since the break against anyone not named Golden State. I don’t really care for the matchup against Atlanta because of the blowout potential, but George continues to put up solid numbers alongside Westbrook. If you are paying up for Westbrook instead of LeBron or just aren’t paying up for anyone, George is a suitable substitute.

Honorable Mention:

Kyle Kuzma ($6,400): Kuzma is putting up very good numbers now that he is starting again. Ingram has already been ruled out for tonight and tomorrow, so Kuzma makes a superb upside play over the next two days. Kuzma fits nicely into any lineup build tonight.

Harrison Barnes ($6,300): Barnes put up 38.25 DraftKings points in the first game against the Knicks this year. This is the type of game where Barnes has thrived this season. Barnes has mostly been consistent and better left for cash games, but he has enough upside for GPP usage against the Knicks tonight.

Nemanja Bjelica ($6,200): We saw flashes of what Bjelica could do last year. Now that injuries have given him a chance to shine again, Bjelica has become a larger part of the offense. He lit up Boston for 51.5 DraftKings points and followed that up with 34.75 against the Warriors. Despite the tougher matchup tonight, I wouldn’t shy away from Bjelica right now with the way he is playing.

Dark Horses:

Robert Covington ($5,900): Covington finally seems to be coming back around to his early season form. Maybe. We saw a brief uptick in January as well that quickly went away. Covington has 105 DraftKings points over the last three games, and has averaged 35.7 in three games against Indiana this year. Signs are looking good for Covington to keep his mini hot streak going.

Davis Bertans ($4,400): With Aldridge and Kawhi both out again tonight, Bertans should once again post between 20 and 30 DraftKings points. That makes Bertans a solid value pick, but he doesn’t have a whole lot of upside. Still, this kind of salary relief is a must if paying up for Westbrook or LeBron.

Corey Brewer ($3,900): The Thunder have finally found a suitable replacement for Andre Roberson. Brewer now has 77.75 DraftKings points in the last three games. Brewer is a great value as long as his price is this low. Forget ownership numbers here. You have to have this value or you will fall behind the pack.

My pick: Brewer(SF), Kuzma(PF); Kuzma(SF), Brewer(F)

LOS ANGELES, CA – FEBRUARY 18: Anthony Davis #23 of Team LeBron dunks during the NBA All-Star Game 2018 at Staples Center on February 18, 2018 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by Pool/Getty Images) /

Power Forwards:

Best Bets:

Anthony Davis ($11,200): Davis may not have the floor of the other guys, but the Brow has topped 70 DraftKings points in five of the last ten games. No one else can claim that. Davis is carrying the Pelicans. He could have some issues with the Howard on the inside, but I still don’t see Davis falling under 50.

Tobias Harris ($8,300): Harris is thriving in his new home so far. Only Denver has held Harris under 35 DraftKings points since his Clippers debut. We could see Harris put up some big numbers on the tanking Bulls tonight.

Honorable Mention:

Blake Griffin ($8,100): Griffin now has five straight games of more than 5x value. We have seen Griffin struggle a few times since his relocation to Detroit, but he may finally be coming around. The Jazz held Blake to 85.75 DraftKings points in two games this year. Even if they do it again, Griffin still hits 5x value.

Julius Randle ($8,000): Randle dominated Cleveland over the weekend, putting up 69.5 DraftKings points in that one. Even at this price, Randle continues to be a solid value play. We see that the upside is there. The only issue is that Randle was held to 31.5 DraftKIngs points by Denver on Friday.

Larry Nance Jr ($7,000): The injury to Tristan Thompson has opened up an even larger role for Nance lately. This is a great spot to roll Nance out there. Phoenix has allowed more points to the interior than any other team in the league this year. Nance should perform well above his price range tonight.

Dark Horses:

Paul Millsap ($6,400): Denver hasn’t been putting a lot on Millsap just yet, but he did put up 36 DraftKings points in 30 minutes against this same Denver team on Friday. Millsap is capable of doing a lot with this low of a salary, but it remains to be seen if Denver will play him over 30 minutes anytime soon. That leaves Millsap partially capped for now.

Dario Saric ($6,400): Saric is the stable option in this price range. Millsap has more upside, but Saric has five straight games of more than 30 DraftKings points. The choice is yours. Use whichever best fits the lineup you are trying to build.

Jonathan Isaac ($3,700): Keep an eye on the injury report heading into this one. If Gordon is forced to sit again, I love Isaac at this price. Especially when you consider how beat up the Spurs are up front. Isaac is definitely worth a look if he end up starting. Hopefully we have confirmation before the lineups lock.

My pick: N/A; Davis(PF)

CHARLOTTE, NC – MARCH 06: Joel Embiid #21 of the Philadelphia 76ers reacts against the Charlotte Hornets during their game at Spectrum Center on March 6, 2018 in Charlotte, North Carolina. (Photo by Streeter Lecka/Getty Images) /

Center:

Best Bets:

Joel Embiid ($9,300): Surprisingly, Embiid has not topped 40 DraftKings points in any of the last four games. That should change against an Indiana team that has allowed 86.75 DraftKings points in 61 minutes to Embiid this season. Embiid’s price has dropped to the point where he can blow value out of the water tonight.

Nikola Jokic ($9,000): Jokic has actually thrived with Millsap alongside him. He has 162 DraftKings points in just the last three games. The Lakers are not all that strong in the middle. There is serious potential tonight for Jokic once again.

Honorable Mention:

Dwight Howard ($8,500): I doubt that Howard tops 50 like he did in the first meeting against the Pelicans, but there is still some potential here. I still like the two above him better, and honestly, the price difference isn’t all that much. However, if you are trying to be contrarian, Howard could end up paying off.

Nikola Vucevic ($8,300): The Spurs are still beaten up on the interior, but this wont be all that easy against Gasol. Gasol is one of the few healthy Spurs, but the aging veteran is going to have problems trying to stop Vucevic here. Vucevic could end up being a strong pivot play.

DeAndre Jordan ($7,900): Jordan continues to dominate the glass. That wont change against the Bulls. His production is up across the board with Griffin out of town. There is strong potential for Jordan as well if only for his rebounding ability. His uptick in scoring is just an added bonus right now.

Dark Horses:

Enes Kanter ($6,900): If Kanter can play tonight, he should be in there against Dallas. The Mavs are still a work in progress up front. Even the return of Noel wont be able to keep Kanter out of the 30’s. The back issue does make me nervous, but with a 6:30 eastern tip, we should know whether Kanter will play or not before lock.

Jonas Valanciunas ($5,900): Find the center playing the Nets. Lock and load. Cash out. Repeat.

Nerlens Noel ($3,800): Noel has 54.25 DraftKings points over the last two games. It certainly looks like Dallas fully plans on keeping Noel as a large part of the rotation. There is very little risk in using Noel right now since Dallas is rolling with him. Noel is a strong value play tonight.

My pick: Valanciunas(C), Noel(UTIL); Valanciunas(C), Noel(UTIL)

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