Thunder-Jazz (Series Tied 1-1)
You know what you’re getting from Russell Westbrook and you pretty much know what you’re getting from Paul George in this series. Westbrook is going to be over value in every game because he puts up numbers in all categories. And George’s role on the team lends itself to producing. Even when both guys are struggling with their shot, they make up value with playmaking, rebounding, and defensive plays.
Carmelo Anthony has been over value in both games. He gets his shots, but hasn’t shot well all season and that’s unlikely to change now. Still, he collects rebounds and can come up with a defensive play or two. And there’s always a chance he finds his rhythm. Corey Brewer is a nice option at a low salary if you’re looking for a contributing role player. And Jerami Grant played big minutes in Game 2. Part of that was due to Steven Adams being in foul trouble. But Grant is also the most likely to contribute off the Thunder bench.
Utah got plenty of production out of their starters in Game 2. Donovan Mitchell is a stud and there are no concerns about him stepping up and being a big-time playoff performer. Ricky Rubio was hot in Game 2 and if the Thunder leave him as open as they did on Wednesday, he’ll be over value once again. Rudy Gobert and Derrick Favors were able to post big rebounding numbers thanks to Adams spending more time on the bench. There’s no guarantee that will happen in Game 3, which is why I’m not as high on them on Saturday.
Joe Ingles and Jae Crowder are the two most interesting options. Using the “role players shoot better at home” theory, those are two players who can make a big impact in Game 3. Ingles is more of a risk at his salary, but Crowder could make for a good low cost option.