Rockets-Timberwolves (Rockets Lead 2-1)
Minnesota turned into three-point specialists in Game 3. I have my doubts that’ll continue in Game 4. But just in case it does, the four starters not named Taj Gibson should deliver are all in a good position to deliver. I still really like Andrew Wiggins at his salary. At worst he’s going to hit value for you and if he plays as well as he did in Game 3, he can be around 40 fantasy points.
The bigger question marks are Jimmy Butler and Karl-Anthony Towns. Game 3 was the first good game Butler has had against the Rockets all season. And for Towns, it was a return to form after being invisible in the first two games. Is Butler healthier and playing with more confidence or were things just coming up Minnesota. Towns should be able to rebound and score given his size and skill, but it hasn’t been there until Game 3.
Jeff Teague has done well against the Rockets all season and that’s continued for the most part in this series. He had a rough Game 2, but everyone on Minnesota had a rough Game 2. Like Wiggins, he’s a consistent performer with a high ceiling.
The concern with the Rockets is that they are once again “Playoff Rockets.” I’m not buying it. I’m leaning on the side of Minnesota feeding off the energy and the Rockets just being overwhelmed. They’ve been too good all season to think Minnesota will hang with them from deep like they did in Game 3.
James Harden and Chris Paul remain strong options, although Harden is still the better play. Those are the two guys who will have to step up because their role players have not been great in this series. I have less concerns about Harden than I do Paul.
Clint Capela has been a non-factor in the last two games, which makes him tough to trust in Game 4. He’s still an impact player with Harden is dictating the game. He could make for a nice bounce back option if you don’t want to eat your cap with Towns or Rudy Gobert.
The Rockets role players are the guys that are tough to figure out. I’m still a fan of Gerald Green simply because he’s been a solid option since signing with the Rockets. Even at his salary, Eric Gordon just isn’t producing. Ryan Anderson makes for a decent punt option.
Trevor Ariza has more upside than P.J. Tucker, but neither look all that strong at the moment.