Wizards-Raptors (Series Tied 2-2)
John Wall, Kyle Lowry, and DeMar DeRozan are all guys you can comfortably take. They’ve been solid this series, with only one value miss (DeRozan in Game 1) between them. Wall still represents your best bet, even at his high salary. There are some good value players elsewhere to help balance out his high salary.
Bradley Beal is the question mark. He looked like himself in Washington, but hasn’t looked like himself in Toronto. Will his rhythm carry across the border? My gut feeling tells me yes. It’s not like Toronto was locking him up in the first two games. He was simply missing shots he typically makes. If the looks remain the same, he’s too good to keep missing them in Toronto.
Otto Porter Jr. is a good bet at his salary. He’s been over value in his last three games and his salary is right in line with his performances. The same goes for Kelly Oubre Jr. Markieff Morris, Marcin Gortat, and Mike Scott all come with a certain risk. Scott was the odd man out in Game 4, but was productive in both Toronto games. Of the three, Gortat is the most likely to at least hit value due to his low salary.
There are plenty of question marks on Toronto outside of their top two. I expect a bounce back performance by Serge Ibaka, but his games in Washington doesn’t inspire confidence. Jonas Valanciunas may not get enough minutes to hit value and that salary is too rich for him to be a miss. OG Anunoby and C.J. Miles will likely be better at home, but won’t put up huge numbers.
Delon Wright is the mystery. If Fred VanVleet doesn’t play, Wright is a good bet. But if VanVleet plays, the two may split minutes and who knows how things shake out from there.