Cavaliers-Pacers (Cavaliers Lead 3-2)
The Kings stays the King. He’s as sure as they come and will be over value once again.
And everyone else around him simply exist. Kyle Korver remains my favorite option due to his consistency throughout his career and the trust James has in him. You never know what you’re going to get J.R. Smith, but the boom potential is there. Kevin Love should be taken only if you think this is finally the game he regains his shooting form. Don’t bother giving anyone else on the Cavaliers a second look unless a psychic gave you a good feeling earlier in the day.
Victor Oladipo continues to struggle with his shot and at this point it may never come around. Still, he’s hitting value thanks to his contributions in other categories. He’s a good bet to at least give you value, and if he can find his rhythm, he may explode for 50-plus fantasy points.
Darren Collison was outplayed by Cory Joseph in Game 5, but there are no guarantees that will happen again. Collison is more likely to have a bounce back game than Joseph playing well again. Bojan Bogdanovic may have that “role player who plays better at home” game.
Thaddeus Young will at least hit value. Domantas Sabonis has outplayed Myles Turner in the last two games. Maybe Turner has a bounce back performance at home, but given his season long inconsistencies, he’s a tough sell even at a reduced price. Lance Stephenson will get minutes and plenty of opportunities to produce, which makes him a solid play in Game 6.
There’s more to like amongst the Pacers, but a lot of their guys come with big warning signs given how this series has taken shape.