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MLB DFS Picks – Standouts: May 1st

By Matt McGarvey

MILWAUKEE, WI - APRIL 17: Adam Duvall #23 of the Cincinnati Reds swings at a pitch during the first inning against the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park on April 17, 2018 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images)
MILWAUKEE, WI - APRIL 17: Adam Duvall #23 of the Cincinnati Reds swings at a pitch during the first inning against the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park on April 17, 2018 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images) /
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MILWAUKEE, WI – APRIL 17: Adam Duvall #23 of the Cincinnati Reds swings at a pitch during the first inning against the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park on April 17, 2018 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images) MLB DFS Picks
MILWAUKEE, WI – APRIL 17: Adam Duvall #23 of the Cincinnati Reds swings at a pitch during the first inning against the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park on April 17, 2018 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Stacy Revere/Getty Images) MLB DFS Picks /

MLB DFS Picks –  Standouts: May 1st

Tonight’s slate features 14 games, with Chicago (6.2), St. Louis (5.5), Boston (5.2), Los Angeles (5.2), and Milwaukee (5), holding the best projected team totals. With high-priced pitchers available, like, Max Scherzer, Chris Sale, Clayton Kershaw, and Justin Verlander, finding ways to save salary will be crucial with tonight’s MLB DFS picks. We’ll be aiming to highlight MLB DFS standouts from the perspective of batted ball data, line movement, batter splits, and stolen base upside.

MLB DFS Picks –  Standouts: Batted Balls Stats

Adam Duvall – DK $3700, FD $3000

Cincinnati will host the visiting Milwaukee Brewers, and outfielder, Adam Duvall, will face of against the righty, Chase Anderson. While the matchup isn’t the best, Duvall has been hitting the ball well of late. In the last 15 days, his batted ball distance is up 24 feet, his exit velocity is up 2 MPH, and his hard hit percentage is up 16%, over his yearly averages.

Batter Splits

Didi Gregorius – DK $4600, FD $4600

If you have the salary to spend up, and would like a batter in an advantageous matchup, consider Didi Gregorius tonight. Didi will face off against the righty, Justin Verlander. Didi is much better against right-handed pitching. He currently holds a .381 wOBA split (.102 better than when facing a lefty) and a .269 ISO split (.181 better than when facing a lefty).

Jesse Winker – DK $3300, FD $3000

Jesse Winker should be leading off for the Reds tonight and will be a viable play in all formats. Winker will draw a matchup with the righty, Chase Anderson. Winker is much better against righties, as he holds a .402 wOBA split (.177 better than when facing a lefty) and a .200 ISO split (.120 better than when facing a lefty).

Line Movement

Andrew Benintendi – DK $4500, FD $4000 – J.D. Martinez – DK $4800, FD $4300

Boston’s offensive success may carry over from last night, as they face off against Jake Junis tonight at Fenway. Boston opened as a -290 favorite, the largest favorite on the slate, and while there hasn’t been much movement on the side, the total has drawn some attention. The total opened at 7.5 runs, but has moved up a full run, to 8.5 runs in some locations. Junis is coming off a rough outing against the White Soxs, where he gave up six earned runs, including five home runs.

Stolen Base Upside

Dee Gordon – DK $3900, FD $3700

Dee Gordon draws an enticing matchup on the base path tonight, as he’ll face the righty, Andrew Triggs. Triggs allowed 15 stolen bases last year (23rd most) and a stolen base percentage of 79%. So far this season, he’s allowed four stolen bases over the course of 23 innings pitched. Gordon has already record 10 stolen bases and may be able to add to his total tonight.

Next: MLB DFS Picks and Pivots

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