MLB DFS Picks – Standouts: May 14th

DENVER, CO – MAY 11: Manny Pena #9 and Hernan Perez #14 of the Milwaukee Brewers celebrate Pina’s 2 RBI home run to tie the game in the ninth inning against the Colorado Rockies at Coors Field on May 11, 2018 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Matthew Stockman/Getty Images) /

MLB DFS Picks – Standouts: May 14th

Tonight’s slate features eight games, with Cleveland (5.2), Boston (5), Seattle (4.8), and Minnesota (4.8), holding the best projected team totals. Given the smaller slate, saving salary won’t be as imperative, however, finding players in optimal matchups will. We’ll be aiming to highlight MLB DFS picks from the perspective of batted ball data, line movement, and batter splits.

MLB DFS Picks – Standouts: Batted Balls Stats

Hernan Perez – DK $3000, FD $2300

Hernan Perez could draw a spot in the six hole tonight, as the Brewers face the lefty, Patrick Corbin. Perez has hit the ball well in his limited, recent starts. In the last 15 days, his batted ball distance is up 22 feet, his exit velocity is up 2 MPH, and his hard hit percentage is up 13%. Perez is also relatively cheap on both sites and could be a nice low owned player for tournaments.

Batter Splits

Matt Olson – DK $3500, FD $2800

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Matt Olson draws an enticing matchup with the righty, Rick Porcello. Olson is much better against right-handed pitching with a .419 wOBA split (.132 better than when facing a lefty) and a .355 ISO split (.192 better than when facing a lefty).

Lorenzo Cain – DK $3900, FD $3400

Lorenzo Cain is another batter in advantageous spot tonight, as he’ll be on the good side of a righty vs. lefty split. Cain is much better against left-handed pitching, with a .398 wOBA split (.068 better than when facing a righty) and a .250 ISO split (.130 better than when facing a righty). Corbin isn’t necessarily the easiest pitcher to steal bases on, however, Cain does offer stolen base upside. He has stolen eight bags this year.

Line Movement:

Jesus Aguilar – DK $3200, FD $2900 – Ryan Braun – DK $3700, FD $2900

Patrick Corbin may be the most expensive pitcher on the slate, however, Milwaukee has seen some betting attention since the opening line. Arizona opened as a -155 favorite, but now currently sit as only a -135 favorite. The total has also seen upward movement in some shops, as it opened at eight runs, and is now listed around 8.5 runs, in some locations. From an earned run perspective, Corbin doesn’t stand out as a pitcher you would want to attack, however, his recent batted ball stats may indicate that he’s due for regression. In the last 15 days, his opposing batted ball distance is up 25 feet, his exit velocity is up 2 MPH and his hard hit percentage is up 18%, over his yearly average.

Next: MLB DFS Picks and Pivots

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