Fansided

FanDuel MLB lineup and picks for Friday, May 25

By Adam Strangis

WASHINGTON, DC - OCTOBER 12: Washington Nationals starting pitcher Max Scherzer (31) pitches in relief during game five of the NLDS between the Washington Nationals and the Chicago Cubs on October 12, 2017, at Nationals Park, in Washington D.C. Chicago Cubs defeated the Washington Nationals 9-8.(Photo by Tony Quinn/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images)
WASHINGTON, DC - OCTOBER 12: Washington Nationals starting pitcher Max Scherzer (31) pitches in relief during game five of the NLDS between the Washington Nationals and the Chicago Cubs on October 12, 2017, at Nationals Park, in Washington D.C. Chicago Cubs defeated the Washington Nationals 9-8.(Photo by Tony Quinn/Icon Sportswire via Getty Images) /
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NEW YORK, NY – MAY 19: Patrick Corbin #46 of the Arizona Diamondbacks pitches in the second inning against the New York Mets at Citi Field on May 19, 2018 in the Flushing neighborhood of the Queens borough of New York City. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images)
NEW YORK, NY – MAY 19: Patrick Corbin #46 of the Arizona Diamondbacks pitches in the second inning against the New York Mets at Citi Field on May 19, 2018 in the Flushing neighborhood of the Queens borough of New York City. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images) /

Diamondbacks at A’s

Diamondbacks Probable Starter – Patrick Corbin, LHP

2.60 ERA, 0.91 WHIP and 33.3 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .156 average, .232 wOBA, 33.3 fly ball rate and 25.9 hard contact rate

Vs RHH – .181 average, .251 wOBA, 30.1 fly ball rate and 44.7 hard contact rate

Corbin has really started to come back to Earth after his dominating start to the 2018 campaign. The A’s are missing a big bat in Khris Davis and that really hurts the construction of the lineup. If you believe in the pitch data from FanGraphs, this is not a good spot for Corbin at all, even without Davis.

The Diamondbacks starter throws his slider almost 37 percent of the time. Oakland is the best team against the slider in baseball and it’s not relatively close. Davis is actually in the negative against the pitch so they’re better without him from that perspective. I would only use the A’s in stacking options but I’m not trusting Corbin tonight at all. He needs to show me he’s got his mojo back before I trust him at this price again.

A’s Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Chad Pinder, Matt Chapman

Secondary Options -Jed Lowrie, Dustin Fowler

A’s Probable Starter – Sean Manaea, LHP

2.71 ERA, 0.86 WHIP and 19.8 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .193 average, .265 wOBA, 35.0 fly ball rate and 14.3 hard contact rate

Vs RHH – .189 average, .246 wOBA, 33.3 fly ball rate and 44.3 hard contact rate

Here’s another pitcher who has started to morph back into the pitcher he truly is. In his last four starts, Manaea hasn’t scored more than 31 points. Unless every single one of your hitters goes nuts, that score won’t get it done tonight. Manaea doesn’t have the strikeout upside to make up for any mistakes. Paul Goldschmidt finally hit a home run the other day but I won’t pay very near full price for him given how putrid he’s been all year. One very under the radar  play could be John Ryan Murphy. It’s only 31 at-bats but he’s smacked around lefty pitching so far to a .448 wOBA.

Diamondbacks Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – John Ryan Murphy, Nick Ahmed

Secondary Options – Paul Goldschmidt

Home Run Pick – Matt Chapman

OAKLAND, CA – SEPTEMBER 26: James Paxton #65 of the Seattle Mariners pitches against the Oakland Athletics in the bottom of the first inning at Oakland Alameda Coliseum on September 26, 2017 in Oakland, California. (Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images)
OAKLAND, CA – SEPTEMBER 26: James Paxton #65 of the Seattle Mariners pitches against the Oakland Athletics in the bottom of the first inning at Oakland Alameda Coliseum on September 26, 2017 in Oakland, California. (Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images) /

Twins at Mariners

Twins Probable Starter – Fernando Romero, RHP

1.66 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 24.4 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .100 average, .144 wOBA, 36.8 fly ball rate and 36.8 hard contact rate

Vs RHH – .239 average, .359 wOBA, 26.5 fly ball rate and 42.9 hard contact rate

It may not be the best matchup for the rookie for the Twins but the price is awfully tempting for a tournament lineup. Romero has been fairly impressive in his four starts to this point although he did scuffle a bit last time out. The biggest issue is the Mariners don’t strikeout a lot as a team. It’s going to depend on their lineup. They’re down Robinson Cano and Dee Gordon for sure. If they happen to be without Mitch Haniger, Romero looks even better. Haniger did make his return to the lineup and should be in unless his wrist flared up. The one player that is a core play is Jean Segura. He has a .330 wOBA against righties and for some reason is just $2,600 at a hard position to fill cheaply.

Mariners Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Jean Segura, Mitch Haniger

Secondary Options – Nelson Cruz

Mariners Probable Starter – James Paxton, LHP

3.30 ERA, 1.02 WHIP and 31.5 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .378 average, .482 wOBA, 40.0 fly ball rate and 32.0 hard contact rate

Vs RHH – .155 average, .217 wOBA, 48.4 fly ball rate and 33.3 hard contact rate

Ever since the day that “Big Maple” was gifted mystical powers from a bald eagle, he’s been aweomse on the mound. He had one hiccup in Texas, which is understandable. If you take out that start, he’s pitched 49 innings and given up 10 earned runs while striking out 62 batters. That’s also included a no hitter and two complete games. He’s basically been lights out and I’d expect that to continue tonight. His lefty splits are very weird and the don’t represent his career normal. Paxton can be deployed with some confidence tonight if you want the savings.  He should be into five digits for salary.

Twins Hitters to Target 

Elite Options -None

Secondary Options – Max Kepler, Brian Dozier

Home Run Pick – Mitch Haniger