FanDuel Lineup and Picks for Monday, May 28
Nationals at Orioles
Nationals Probable Starter – Gio Gonzalez, LHP
2.38 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 23.2 strikeout rate
Vs LHH – .167 average, .186 wOBA, 36.1 fly ball rate and 19.4 hard contact rate
Vs RHH – .244 average, .318 wOBA, 29.8 fly ball rate and 31.1 hard contact rate
I don’t think I’m going to be heavily invested on this side of the game. Gonzalez is a great real life pitcher but he can be uneven for fantasy. His strikeouts just aren’t trustworthy every time out and Baltimore ranks 11th in strikeout percentage against lefties. The Orioles can throw out nine righties if they choose to do so and that is a clear disadvantage for Gonzalez. Could Baltimore beat Gonzalez up a little bit? They sure could but I think there’s only two hitters that I’d really chase and that’s Manny Machado and Danny Valencia. Gonzalez isn’t a terrible play but it’s tough to pony up $9,200 for him in a difficult matchup in a bad park.
Orioles Hitters to Target
Elite Options – Manny Machado
Secondary Options – Danny Valencia
Orioles Probable Starter – Alex Cobb, RHP
7.32 ERA, 1.93 WHIP and 11.6 strikeout rate
Vs LHH – .440 average, .506 wOBA, 28.1 fly ball rate and 38.5 hard contact rate
Vs RHH – .327 average, .394 wOBA, 28.3 fly ball rate and 35.9 hard contact rate
The metrics look just terrible for Cobb and the Nationals are surely going to be a popular option on this slate. Here’s the thing players might not notice – before his disaster against the White Sox his last time out, Cobb had thrown a quality start in three of four starts. It’s not like he’s a great pitcher but there’s at least a chance is he won’t be a total gas can like most expect. It’s still a little dangerous to not have any Nationals hitters in cash.
Finding a cheaper option from the Nationals is not really going to happen today. Wilmer Difo is the cheapest at $2,900 but there may not be a ton of upside there. Bryce Harper might just be one of the best hitters on the slate when not talking about price point. I’d love to play Juan Soto but $3,700 is rich to be sure. As far as the high end offenses go, I think I’d prefer Houston to Washington. There’s a bigger chance of Cobb being serviceable than German for the Yankees.
Nationals Hitters to Target
Elite Options – Bryce Harper, Matt Adams, Trea Turner
Secondary Options – Juan Soto, Wilmer Difo, Anthony Rendon
Home Run Pick – Matt Adams