MLB DFS Bargain Bin Tuesday, June 12th Main Slate

MLB DFS Bargain Bin /

MLB DFS Bargain Bin: Tout Transparency Report for Monday, June 11

Before we get to today’s recommendations, we’ll look back at how Monday’s MLB DFS Bargain Bin play suggestions did in the MLB DFS Bargain Bin Tout Transparency Report.

In the interest of transparency and of tracking trends, I’ll do a quick review after each day in which I suggest value plays to see what went right, and what didn’t exactly work out as planned.

Monday, Wade LeBlanc gave us a bit of a scare early by giving up homers to Mike Trout and Albert Pujols in the first inning before impressively settling down. Unfortunately, the high pitch count he built up in that opening frame ultimately helped limit him to just five innings, but he closed out his start in sensational fashion by striking out Justin Upton with the bases loaded. It was an extension of the struggles Upton’s career struggles against LeBlanc, which I’d alluded to yesterday.

I rolled out a bit of a different format for the Bargain Bin yesterday that I’ll utilize from time to time, one that focused on three potentially vulnerable pitchers and specific metrics in their profile that appear worthwhile to target with some cheap bats. At least for one night, the numbers were by and large an accurate indicator, as the majority of suggested plays that were in their lineups enjoyed success to some degree.

Even the two alternatives I suggested on Twitter (@jcblanco22) – Jedd Gyorko and Jackie Bradley, Jr. – made contributions, with Gyorko’s belting yet another homer against his former Padres squad.

MLB DFS Bargain Bin /

MLB DFS Bargain Bin: Tout Transparency Report for Monday, June 11

MLB DFS Bargain Bin Best Value(s):

Gyorko, Chisenhall make noise–As just alluded to, Gyorko smacked a solo blast, although it came in the eighth inning of reliever Phil Hughes as opposed to starter Jordan Lyles. Meanwhile, Chisenhall delivered some very nice returns on a minuscule price, even as the Indians as a whole somewhat underwhelmed in a plum matchup against Lucas Giolito.

MLB DFS Bargain Bin Biggest Dud(s):

More from FanSided

Celebrating a no-dud night– It was one of those slates where every suggestion contributed something, as even Twitter pivot suggestion Jackie Bradley, Jr. gave the Red Sox a late insurance run in extras with a sacrifice fly to plate another suggested play, Rafael Devers.

Let’s now look at a player-by-player fantasy-point breakdown for each value play I’d suggested for Monday, June 11th:

Value Pitching MLB DFS Bargain Bin Spot to Consider

Wade LeBlanc, SEA vs. LAA- Yahoo ($35)/ FanDuel ($6,600)/ DraftKings ($6,600)/ FantasyDraft ($12,700)

Final Line: 5.0 IP, 4 H, 2 ER, 2 BB, 5 K, 1 Win

Fantasy-point return by DFS site: Yahoo (19.6)/ FanDuel (30)/ DraftKings (17.65)/ FantasyDraft (17.65)

Three Potential MLB DFS Bargain Bin Value Hitting Spots to Consider

Cardinals vs. Padres

Target: Padres SP Jordan Lyles

Metric(s) to Target: .340 wOBA allowed to right-handed hitters, including .455 on the road./ 22.0 percent line drive rate allowed to right-handed hitters/ 38.6 percent hard contact rate allowed to right-handed hitters

Cardinals MLB DFS Bargain Bin value bats to consider:

Yadier Molina– Yahoo ($14)/ FanDuel ($2,800)/ DraftKings ($3,600)/ FantasyDraft ($7,500)

Final Line: 2-for-4 (two singles)

Fantasy-point return by DFS site: Yahoo (4.2)/ FanDuel (6)/ DraftKings (6.00)/ FantasyDraft (6.00)

*Original suggestion Harrison Bader was out of the lineup Monday*

*Twitter pivot*: Jedd Gyorko- Yahoo ($7)/ FanDuel ($2,300)/ DraftKings ($3,500)/ FantasyDraft ($6,900)

Final Line: 1-for-4 (solo home run)

Fantasy-point return by DFS site: Yahoo (12.0)/ FanDuel (18.7)/ DraftKings (14.00)/ FantasyDraft (14.00)

Yairo Munoz– Yahoo ($9)/ FanDuel ($2,800)/ DraftKings ($3,700)/ FantasyDraft ($7,300)

Final Line: 2-for-4 (two singles), one stolen base

Fantasy-point return by DFS site: Yahoo (8.4)/ FanDuel (12)/ DraftKings (11.00)/ FantasyDraft (11.00)

Yahoo-only special: Tommy Pham ($15)

Final Line: 1-for-4 (single), one run

Fantasy-point return by DFS site: Yahoo (3.9)

Indians at White Sox

Target: White Sox SP Lucas Giolito

Metric(s) to Target: .433 wOBA, 5.91 BB/9, 2.06 WHIP and 8.09 xFIP allowed to right-handed hitters at home/.436 wOBA,10.80 BB/9, 2.52 WHIP and 9.92 xFIPallowed to left-handed hitters at home.

Indians value bats to consider:

Yonder Alonso– Yahoo ($18)/ FanDuel ($3,400)/ DraftKings ($3,700)/ FantasyDraft ($7,700)

Final Line: 1-for-3 (single), one walk, one run

Fantasy-point return by DFS site: Yahoo (6.0)/ FanDuel (9.2)/ DraftKings (7.00)/ FantasyDraft (7.00)

Lonnie Chisenhall– Yahoo ($14)/ FanDuel ($2,300)/ DraftKings ($2,900)/ FantasyDraft ($5,900)

Final Line: 3-for-4 (two singles, one double), one RBI, one run

Fantasy-point return by DFS site: Yahoo (12.0)/ FanDuel (18.7)/ DraftKings (15.00)/ FantasyDraft (15.00)

Red Sox at Orioles

Target: Orioles SP Dylan Bundy

Metric(s) to Target: .347 average, .404 wOBA, .202 WHIP, .510 xFIP, 24.6 percent line drive rate, 35.1 percent hard contact rate allowed to left-handed hitters at home.

Red Sox value bats to consider:

*Original suggestion Brock Holt was out of the lineup Monday*

*Twitter pivot*: Jackie Bradley, Jr.- Yahoo ($10)/ FanDuel ($2,700)/ DraftKings ($3,100)/ FantasyDraft ($5,700)

Final Line: 0-for-4, one RBI from sacrifice fly

Fantasy-point return by DFS site: Yahoo (1.8)/ FanDuel (3.5)/ DraftKings (2.00)/ FantasyDraft (2.00)

Rafael Devers– Yahoo ($9)/ FanDuel ($2,900)/ DraftKings ($3,400)/ FantasyDraft ($6,400)

Final Line: 1-for-5 (one double), one run

Fantasy-point return by DFS site: Yahoo (6.0)/ FanDuel (9.2)/ DraftKings (7.00)/ FantasyDraft (7.00)

Sandy Leon– Yahoo ($9)/ FanDuel ($2,300)/ DraftKings ($3,100)/ FantasyDraft ($6,000)

*Leon was out of the lineup Monday but did log a pinch-hit at-bat in which he went hit-less*

FanDuel MLB /

With our look back now complete, time to turn our attention to finding bargains for today’s slates!

Welcome to the Tuesday edition of the MLB DFS Bargain Bin, where the goal is to provide a general overview of the night’s 15-game ledger and touch on where the weakest pitching spots might be, and by extension, where there may be some value bats to consider. Additionally, I’ll look to identify where a value arm might be intersecting with an offense that’s running cold or is otherwise inefficient against a certain handedness.

Before we go bargain hunting, a few particulars about both format and content:

The nature of the beast with value plays is at least a modest amount (and sometimes substantially more) of risk. After all, these players are usually priced where they are for a reason. Therefore, the Bargain Bin may prove to be a bit more of a roller coaster ride on some slates than your typical “tout” article!
Naturally, that doesn’t mean there isn’t upside to be had. All of these selections are therefore suitable for GPPs (and usually avoidable for cash games), and they can often help you accommodate multiple higher-priced studs into your lineup.
Typically, I’ll suggest players that are value-priced across all four major DFS sites (Yahoo, FanDuel, DraftKings and FantasyDraft). However, there are certainly occasions, particularly with Yahoo, where one site prices a player significantly lower than others. Whenever possible, I’ll typically at least note those players as a “XYZ site-only special”.
On occasions when FanDuel lists a player at a different position than the other sites, I’ll note it in the player’s entry.
This version of the Bargain Bin isn’t a position-by-position breakdown. Rather, I try to identify where there is a particular vulnerability in terms of pitchers on the slate. Naturally, the amount of pitchers I suggest to target and the corresponding amount of value hitters to target them with will vary by slate.
The goal is to recommend truly affordable players, as opposed to, say, a player priced just $300-$400 away from the highest-priced option at his position. I don’t have set-in-stone price limits in mind for each site, but I do consider legitimate affordability a very important criteria.

With those housekeeping items out of the way, let’s take a look at where there’s cash to be saved on Tuesday’s MLB Slate!:

MLB DFS Bargain Bin /

Value Pitching Spot to Consider

Jaime Garcia, TOR at TAM- Yahoo ($30)/ FanDuel ($6,200)/ DraftKings ($6,100)/ FantasyDraft ($11,900)

True value pitchers can be a roll of the dice sometimes, but we’ve had solid success so far with the likes of Hector Santiago, Eric Lauer, Danny Duffy, Clayton Richard and Wade LeBlanc. The one common denominator among them is their handedness, as team batting metrics against southpaws have largely proven out so far.

We’ll therefore go back to the well with Garcia tonight against a Rays team that’s generated a paltry .191 average, .239 wOBA and 52 wRC+ versus lefties at home over the last month of play (193 plate appearances). Moreover, they’re ranked in the bottom 10 in flyball rate (29.7 percent) versus southpaws at the Trop over that span as well, certainly a help to Garcia, who does tend to struggle with the long ball.

Make no mistake, there’s risk here, especially considering Garcia has been much better in his home park. However, he’s helped by the fact that Tropicana Field ranks in the bottom 10 in park factor as well (0.897) and bottom five in home-run rate (.0812). What’s more, Garcia does have a quality start on the road in his recent past (May 26 against the Phillies) and he also stymied the Orioles in his home park the last time out over six innings, giving him two strong outings in his last three trips to the mound.

Yahoo/FanDuel-only special:

Jaime Barria– LAA at SEA- Yahoo ($33)/ FanDuel ($6,800)

Four Potential Value Hitting Spots to Consider

Reds at Royals

Target: Royals SP Ian Kennedy and Royals bullpen

Metric(s) to Target:

Kennedy: .384 wOBA allowed to left-handed hitters, including .414 at home/ .318 BAA and 5.42 xFIP allowed to left-handed hitters at home/ 41.9 percent hard contact rate allowed to left-handed hitters overall.

Royals bullpen: MLB-high 8.80 ERA allowed to left-handed hitters at home over last month of play/ MLB-high 36.0 percent line drive rate allowed to left-handed hitters at home over last month of play/ AL-high .393 wOBA allowed to left-handed hitters at home over last month of play.

Reds value bats to consider:

Scott Schebler– Yahoo ($19)/ FanDuel ($3,400)/ DraftKings ($4,200)/ FantasyDraft ($8,400)

Billy Hamilton– Yahoo ($9)/ FanDuel ($2,700)/ DraftKings ($3,000)/ FantasyDraft ($5,600)

Reds at Royals

Target: Reds SP Sal Romano

Metric(s) to Target:

.400 wOBA allowed to left-handed hitters, including .420 on the road/.383 BAA, 2.35 WHIP and 5.66 xFIP allowed to left-handed hitters on the road/ 32.1 percent line drive rate and 39.6 percent hard contact rate allowed to left-handed hitters on the road.

Royals value bats to consider:

Alex Gordon– Yahoo ($12)/ FanDuel ($2,600)/ DraftKings ($3,100)/ FantasyDraft ($5,500)

Ryan Goins– Yahoo ($9)/ FanDuel ($2,000)/ DraftKings ($2,600)/ FantasyDraft ($5,100)

Yahoo/FantasyDraft-only special:

Mike Moustakas– Yahoo ($15)/ FantasyDraft ($8,200) *Note: Still worth considering on FanDuel and DraftKings, but higher-priced there relative to top players at his position.*

Angels at Mariners

Target: Mariners SP Mike Leake

Metric(s) to Target:

.363 wOBA (including eight homers) allowed to right-handed hitters/ 2.05 HR/9 allowed to right-handed hitters at home/ 23.5 percent line drive rate allowed to right-handed hitters at home and 39.5 percent hard contact rate allowed to right-handed hitters overall.

Angels value bats to consider:

Albert Pujols– Yahoo ($12)/ FanDuel ($3,100)/ DraftKings ($3,500)/ FantasyDraft ($6,900)

Martin Maldonado– Yahoo ($12)/ FanDuel ($2,200)/ DraftKings ($2,800)/ FantasyDraft ($5,400)

Zack Cozart– Yahoo ($11)/ FanDuel ($3,100)/ DraftKings ($3,300)/ FantasyDraft ($6,600)

Cubs at Brewers

Target: Cubs SP Tyler Chatwood

Metric(s) to Target:

.362 wOBA allowed to left-handed hitters/ 5.86 xFIP allowed to left-handed hitters, including 6.51 on the road/ 44.0 percent hard contact rate allowed to left-handed hitters on the road.

Brewers value bat to consider:

Yahoo-only special:

Eric Thames– ($16)

Next: FanDuel MLB Daily Lineups

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