DraftKings Main MLB Picks June 13: Will Trevor Bauer outscore Cole?
By Mike Marteny
DraftKings Main MLB Picks June 13: Will Trevor Bauer outscore Cole?
We have a carved up Wednesday, but there is an all day slate with all 15 games. This will concentrate on the nine matchups that made it to the night games. There are some legit aces tonight, including the return of Strasburg. Who should we build around? Let’s check it out!
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We have a quiet weather night once again with just a little bit of wind. There is a 12 mph wind blowing out to right in Philly and a 14 mph breeze blowing out to left in Detroit. Did I mention Detroit is sending a lefty to the mound?
We will provide you with several options to build your lineup here. Want to spend all your money on pitchers and play bargain bats? We will highlight who is worth the money. Want to punt arms and pay up for the big boppers? We can help you with that as well, and everything in between!
These tips are based mostly on past performance. This is a nice tool for building a lineup, but should not be the only pieces of information you use. Stacking against a bad pitcher is always a good idea!
For you first time players, if you would like a free $10 showdown ticket for MLB or the NBA, use this link for the referral bonus with your first deposit of $5 or more! Then continue reading for tips on how to turn those DraftKings dollars into more!
Next: DraftKings Pitcher Plays
Top Tier:
Gerrit Cole ($13,200): The A’s are hitting a respectable .242 against Cole with three runs, but they have mustered only four runs in 91 at bats with a strong 30 strikeouts. It’s hard to move off of Cole with as dominant as he has been this year, but there are enough other good options to at least consider it tonight. Bauer is $1,800 cheaper, which is the difference between landing Dexter Fowler and Giancarlo Stanton. Just something to think about.
Trevor Bauer ($11,500): The White Sox are only hitting .209 against Bauer in 86 at bats with just one homer and five runs to go with a staggering 26 strikeouts. Due to the Tigers striking out less, I have to give the edge to Bauer here. On top of that, Bauer has averaged 31.1 DraftKings points per start over his last five. That kind of consistency plays well in any format. When you add in the fact that he gets the White Sox, well, I’m surprised that the price isn’t higher.
Jose Berrios ($11,200): The Tigers have actually hit Berrios pretty well so far. That was last year. This year Berrios put up 33 DraftKings points against the Tigers in his game against them. We just saw Berrios turn in a complete game in dominating the White Sox last week. Detroit doesn’t strike out a whole lot, but Berrios has the stuff to make Detroit strike out more than usual. I would be shocked if Berrios didn’t crack 30 here.
Middle Tier:
Caleb Smith ($9,100): Smith has a sparkling 2.90 ERA at home this year. There is potential for a huge game here tonight, but the only thing that has me thinking long and hard about this is that Smith has only gone more than six innings three times in ten starts. That severely limits his potential, but man, this Giants offense is bad. That makes Smith worth a look.
Luke Weaver ($7,200): Weaver turned in a strong 20.3 DraftKings points in his start against San Diego this year. If Weaver can keep his pitch count down this time around, there is no reason that he can’t flirt with 30. For this price, that makes Weaver a huge steal if he can cash in on that potential.
Nick Pivetta ($7,500): Pivetta has a stellar 2.20 ERA in seven home starts. Add in to that mix the fact that the Rockies struggle on the road, and you have a recipe for a huge game for Pivetta here. And he is just $7,500! I love Pivetta at this price. There are so many good, cheap pitchers tonight. Which is great because then we can stack that Yankees offense.
Bargain Pitchers:
Sonny Gray ($6,900): Gray has pitched well lately, giving up just one run over his last two starts combined. The Nationals are only hitting .192 off of Gray in 26 at bats with three runs and four strikeouts. Now the bad news: Gray has a ghastly 7.22 ERA at Yankee Stadium this year. However, Gray is guaranteed the four points for a win here so long as he can last five innings. I see Gray scoring in the high teens to low 20’s tonight, which is well worth this price.
Tyler Mahle ($6,700): Make way for another cheap starter! The Royals are hitting under the Mendoza line in the month of June. That’s how bad their offense has been. Sal Romano was solid last night. I expect more than solid out of Mahle here against this struggling offense.
Tyler Anderson ($6,200): Anderson’s splits are pretty tame for a pitcher that calls Coors Field home. The bad news is that his ERA is 4.81. However, Anderson pitched very well against the Reds in Cincy. He gets a similarly struggling offense in Philly. Anderson is worth a look here even though there is risk involved.
Dylan Covey ($5,500): I don’t usually like using my pitchers against each other, but I could make an exception here. The Indians are hitting just .214 with two runs and five strikeouts in 28 at bats against Covey. Covey struggled a bit against the Indians in Cleveland earlier this year, but that is the only start in which Covey has allowed more than one run in his four 2018 starts. Covey may not match his recent dominance or his microscopic 0.75 home ERA, but I still expect a good game here, which would make it a great game for the price.
New York Yankees vs. Erick Fedde:
This just isn’t fair. It’s like the Globetrotters vs. the Washington Generals. Fedde had a 4.76 ERA at AAA this year, and a 4.77 ERA in one major league start this year. That number is going up. Gregorius is the top target against a righty after homering twice last night. Judge and Stanton are likely worth the money as well. I’m not sure I want to pay full price for a struggling Gary Sanchez, but Gleyber Torres and Miguel Andujar look good as well. Every Yankee is in play tonight. Use whatever fits your budget!
Minnesota Twins vs. Matthew Boyd:
The Twins didn’t hit Hardy very hard last night, but they are hitting .273 off of Boyd with eight homers and 23 runs in only 139 at bats. Brian Dozier is struggling lately, but his track record against lefties speaks for itself and makes him worth a look. It doesn’t hurt that Dozier has three homers and five RBI against Boyd already. Both Eduardo Escobar and Robbie Grossman have homered twice against Boyd. Ehire Adrianza hit a grand slam last night, and is 4-7 in his career against Boyd. The only one I would avoid here is Sano, who is struggling lately.
Cincinnati Reds vs. Jason Hammel:
Hammel has decent career numbers against the Reds from his time with the Cubs, but Hammel has been mostly awful this year. Joey Votto is the only current Red to homer against Hammel so far, but I would bet that Suarez and/or Gennett can join Votto tonight. I like Jose Peraza and Tucker Barnhart here as well. Maybe even Billy Hamilton if you’re feeling brave.
St Louis Cardinals vs Eric Lauer:
How long with the Padres let Lauer keep getting hammered? He has a 6.64 ERA in nine starts. One of his worst was against this very same Cardinals team. The Cards smacked Lauer for six runs in just 2.1 innings pitched and a pathetic -11.6 DraftKings points. Gyorko, Marcell Ozuna, and Bader all homered in that game. So did Paul DeJong, but he is still hurt. Sub him with Jose Martinez and you have a stack that has all of the potential of a Yankee stack at around 65% of the price.
Houston Astros vs. Paul Blackburn:
The Astros got to Mengden some last night. They should do the same to Blackburn. Correa and Altuve start my stack off right. Add in George Springer, Evan Gattis, and Josh Reddick for some huge power potential.
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cole Hamels:
The Dodgers are hitting .321 off of Hamels, and they have the best wOBA in the majors since Memorial Day. This team clobbers lefties anyway, so this looks to be a tough one for Hamels. Matt Kemp starts the stack, and he is 9-23(.348) with three RBI off of Hamels so far. Kike Hernandez is going to be a very popular pick as well. So will Puig with his well known reverse splits. Add Justin Turner and Yasmani Grandal. Maybe even Max Muncy for a stack with a ton of potential.
Next: Other notes for 6-14
Top Tier:
Trea Turner has driven in two of the three runs for the Nationals off of Gray. I don’t know that I trust any Nationals hitter here since Gray has reverse splits going for him. Gray has shut down lefties so far this year, which should neutralize Soto and the dinged up Bryce Harper.
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Middle Tier:
I will let it be known that I don’t trust Kenta Maeda at all. I don’t trust the Rangers offense that much either. However, I will gladly use the power potential of Joey Gallo at a depressed price. Choo and Mazara look solid as well.
Andrew Suarez could have a good night here. So could the Marlins offense. I’m going to avoid all of this. If I were to go after a Marlin, it would likely be Castro or Realmuto, but only if it fits the flow of my offense. I don’t expect much good one way or the other here, if that’s even possible.
Nick Castellanos is 5-10 with a homer and four RBI in his career against Jose Berrios. If you are looking really cheap, James McCann is 5-11 with two homers and a staggering seven RBI off of Berrios already.
If you want to roll with Andrew McCutchen again with a lefty on the mound, I’m not going to disagree.
Bargain Shoppers:
Maikel Franco is 3-7 with a homer and three RBI in his career against Tyler Anderson, but he is about the only Phillie I would consider here. This offense in a mess right now.
Next: DFS MLB Game by Game Breakdowns
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