20 things to look forward to this NBA offseason
17. Can the Trail Blazers afford to retain Jusuf Nurkic?
To describe the Portland Trail Blazers’ salary-cap situation as a crime scene would be charitable.
Without factoring in their incumbent free agents or the nonguaranteed contracts of Jake Layman, Wade Baldwin and Georgios Papagiannis, the Blazers already have nearly $110.5 million in guaranteed salary on their books for next season. The luxury-tax threshold is projected to be $123 million, which leaves Portland with roughly $12.5 million in spending room before pushing into tax territory.
With Ed Davis heading for unrestricted free agency and Shabazz Napier and Pat Connaugton set to become restricted free agents, it may be too costly for the Trail Blazers to retain fellow RFA Jusuf Nurkic.
The Bosnian Bear was a revelation for the Blazers upon his arrival in Portland at the 2017 trade deadline, but his production declined across the board this past season. Nurkic averaged more turnovers per game (2.3) than assists (1.8) in 2017-18, and he has yet to hit a single 3-pointer throughout his four-year career.
The Blazers outscored opponents by 2.5 points per 100 possessions with Nurkic on the floor this past season, but it’s fair to wonder whether they’d be better off retaining Davis or turning over the starting center gig to 2017 No. 10 overall pick Zach Collins. But depending on how the free-agent market shakes out, they may not have to make that choice quite yet.
ESPN.com’s Zach Lowe recently suggested (via Sagar Trika of Blazer’s Edge) that Nurkic may wind up taking the qualifying offer this summer since “nobody needs centers and there’s no cap room.” Given the dismal market for centers, the Blazers would be wise to make Nurkic seek out a hefty offer sheet before offering him a big-money deal.