DFS MLB Game By Game Breakdown – Wednesday, June 27

Welcome into the Wednesday edition of the DFS MLB Game by Game Breakdown! We have an 11 game slate on tap so let’s jump into things.

I’ll stand up real quick and take the loss on the stacking Dodgers idea I was so excited about all day yesterday. While you still can’t convince me that Lester was all that great, he did hold the Dodgers to two runs and managed to ruin that DFS MLB lineup in the process. It was my lowest score of the evening and that’s why stacks are dangerous, mostly best served for GPP’s. The good news is that wasn’t my main lineup and the cash lineup smashed its way to a 181 score on the backs of Luis Severino and Alex Bregman. Everyone else chipped in considerably except for those slackers Josh Harrison and Manuel Margot but a win is always a win. Let’s go for a repeat tonight!

DSF MLB – Yankees at Phillies

Yankees Probable Starter – Luis Cessa, RHP 

3.00 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 30.4 strikeout rate(six innings)

*Career Splits*

Vs LHH – .207 average, .289 wOBA, 18.5 K rate, 34.5 fly ball rate and 35.0 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .265 average, .349 wOBA, 17.2 K rate, 37.8 fly ball rate and 29.2 hard hit rate

I’ve started to add the strikeout rate for each side of the plate(pretty soon there’s just going to be a picture of the FanGraphs page for each player). This can help identify better plays as we go along. Even at the minimum price for a pitcher, Cessa really isn’t in play because he’ll only throw about 70-80 pitches tonight. At least at this point, I don’t have the most amount of interest in the Phillies bats here. New York has a lot of good bullpen arms and they might be able to matchup with Philly deep into the games. I’d be fine with a Rhys Hoskins since he’s a good hitter in any situation and Cessa is worse against righties during his career. Hoskins should get at least two at-bats against him. I have a feeling there will be a few more appealing spots as we keep digging into the slate.

Phillies Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – None

Secondary Options – Rhys Hoskins, Odubel Herrera

Phillies Probable Starter – Zach Eflin, RHP 

3.44 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 24.6 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .247 average, .327 wOBA, 26.1 K rate, 45.8 fly ball rate and 29.5 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .232 average, .268 wOBA, 23.5 K rate, 36.7 fly ball rate and 27.2 hard hit rate

Eflin has proven himself to be better than the train wreck he appeared to be last season but facing the Yankees is going to be quite the challenge. He’s always been worse against lefties even though that ratio has gotten better this year. I’m still siding with the lefties and the number one option to me is however winds up leading off. Brett Gardner and Aaron Hicks are within $200 on FanDuel and one of them will sit at the top of the order. I very well could wind up with said player. Didi Gregorius would be up next as he’s starting to be a little more consistent. It’s still a little bit of a gamble but this is a very solid spot. A guy like Greg Bird is dirt cheap and deserves a look but the ceiling might be six or nine points the way he’s hit this year.

Yankees Hitters to Target

Elite Options – Aaron Hicks/Brett Gardner, Didi Gregorius

Secondary Options – Aaron Judge, Giancarlo Stanton, Greg Bird, Gleyber Torres

Home Run Pick –  Aaron Hicks

DFS MLB – Mariners at Orioles

Mariners Probable Starter – Wade LeBlanc, LHP 

3.26 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 19.8 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .290 average, .326 wOBA, 15.3 K rate, 42.1 fly ball rate and 27.6 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .239 average, .293 wOBA, 21.4 K rate, 42.8 fly ball rate and 31.0 hard hit rate

This seems like a good time to mention that there are a ton of very mediocre pitching options tonight and at his price point, LeBlanc is at least on the radar. The fly ball rate in Camden Yards is a little concerning but the hard contact is pretty low to go along with it. The positive correlation here is LeBlanc is better against right handers all the way around and the Orioles are righty heavy. The two main concerns here are of course Manny Machado and Danny Valencia, who took James Paxton out of the yard last night. Tim Beckham does hit lefties well and is minimum price but I’m not convinced that’s the best punt play. Valencia is only $400 more and I’d find that money. LeBlanc isn’t the safest option tonight but those are going to be in short supply tonight.

Orioles Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Danny Valencia, Manny Machado

Secondary Options – Tim Beckham

Orioles Probable Starter – Alex Cobb, RHP 

6.56 ERA, 1.63 WHIP and 15.5 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .348 average, .414 wOBA, 17.4 K rate, 34.9 fly ball rate and 38.2 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .301 average, .368 wOBA, 13.9 K rate, 28.1 fly ball rate and 30.9 hard hit rate

I really wish I knew what to do with Cobb tonight. I played three Braves against him in his last outing and he trolled me with a 40 point effort because of course he did. Cobb has been all over the board in his last six starts with scores of 2, 25, 46, -1, 24 and 40 points. If Nelson Cruz is out of the lineup again, you can make the argument to play Cobb but that’s not something I have the stomach for. Your night could be over by 7:30 if things go poorly for Cobb. The trio of lefties for the Mariners are all $3,100 or under and Dee Gordon, Kyle Seager and Denard Span are all really good options tonight. I likely won’t play Cruz since he has a back issue going on. That’s not something I want to see when I pay $4,000 for a player in cash settings. Mitch Haniger would be the full on stacking option.

Mariners Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Dee Gordon, Denard Span, Kyle Seager

Secondary Options – Mitch Haniger, Nelson Cruz(GPP only)

Home Run Pick – Denard Span

DFS MLB – Diamondbacks at Marlins

Diamondbacks Probable Starter – Robbie Ray, LHP 

4.88 ERA, 1.52 WHIP and 36.3 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .217 average, .352 wOBA, 33.3 K rate, 53.8 fly ball rate and 42.9 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .241 average, .328 wOBA, 37.1 K rate, 41.3 fly ball rate and 48.9 hard hit rate

It’s been about two months since we’ve seen Ray in action but I’m waiting at least one more start before I pay for him again. He’s the third most expensive option for pitchers which seems completely crazy to me. He was supposed to make another rehab start and topped out at 66 pitches so it’s safe to assume there’s a pitch count tonight. I don’t want a Marlins hitter because if Ray is on, he’s got some of the nastiest stuff in the majors.

Derek Dietrich rates well against lefty pitching but is $3,500 on FanDuel. That’s a little too expensive given the downside. J.T. Realmuto may not be in the lineup and if he is, he’s dealing with a hand injury. That’s a pass from me as well. I’m interested to see how quickly Ray can get back to form but that doesn’t mean I’m playing him tonight.

Marlins Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – None

Secondary Options – Derek Dietrich, J.T. Realmuto

Marlins Probable Starter – Wei-Yin Chen, LHP 

6.70 ERA, 1.69 WHIP and 15.6 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .244 average, .298 wOBA, 28.6 K rate, 37.9 fly ball rate and 34.5 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .303 average, .398 wOBA, 12.7 K rate, 47.8 fly ball rate and 31.9 hard hit rate

I’m really hoping the park factors keep people off Paul Goldschmidt tonight because he’s one of the better plays of the entire slate. If this game was in Arizona with Goldy being $4,300, he’d be chalky. The Arizona slugger has had some issues this season being productive but even through them, his ISO against lefties is .403 and his wOBA is .465. He’s in a prime spot to do some damage. The other righty that could be an option if he’s in the lineup is John Ryan Murphy.

It’s a little bit of a discussion on FanDuel because Goldy and Murphy would take up the Utility and C/1B spots. However, Murphy also has smashed lefty pitching through 55 at-bats to the tune of a .397 wOBA and a .327 ISO. Both Ketel Marte and Nick Ahmed would also be fantastic options given their price points. I’m staying away from the lefty hitters since Chen has pitched much better to that side of the plate.

Diamondbacks Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Paul Goldschmidt, John Ryan Murphy, Nick Ahmed

Secondary Options – Ketel Marte

Home Run Pick – Nick Ahmed

DFS MLB — Angels at Red Sox

Angels Probable Starter – Andrew Heaney, LHP 

3.43 ERA, 1.12 WHIP and 22.5 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .189 average, .208 wOBA, 21.4 K rate, 18.4 fly ball rate and 17.1 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .236 average, .309 wOBA, 22.7 K rate, 40.8 fly ball rate and 39.6 hard hit rate

Both Mookie Betts and J.D. Martinez paid off in a big way last night with a home run each and they’re in a very similar spot tonight. They’re definitely expensive but they could be worth the price because they both just wreck lefty pitching. Heaney gives up a lot of fly balls and gobs of hard hits and being in Fenway isn’t going to help the cause either. The Red Sox offense is good but the only other hitters I’d think of would be Xander Bogaerts and Eduardo Nunez. They’re not a priority for me and lefties like Andrew Benintendi and Rafael Devers aren’t in the picture for me this evening. It’s also truly a coin flip if Betts or Martinez is the better play.

Red Sox Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Mookie Betts, J.D. Martinez

Secondary Options – Eduardo Nunez, Xander Bogaerts

Red Sox Probable Starter – Rick Porcello, RHP 

3.44 ERA, 1.10 WHIP ad 22.7 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .219 average, .294 wOBA, 26.0 K rate, 42.0 fly ball rate and 38.5 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .234 average, .267 wOBA, 20.1 K rate, 28.1 fly ball rate and 22.8 hard hit rate

The metrics don’t quite look like it but the weakness in Porcello’s game is lefty power. Seeing how righty heavy this Angels squad is, Porcello is firmly in play tonight but I’m not sure I want to spend the second most money on a pitcher on him. Regardless of where we land on Porcello, I’m really leaning towards playing Kole Calhoun. He’s a lefty who can put one over the wall and he’s looked like a different player since returning from the disabled list. There’s some risk here given the strikeout rate to lefties but he’s just $2,500 on FanDuel and lets us get to some other bats that we might like. The Angels lefty is one of my favorite value plays tonight. I don’t really play righties against Porcello and tonight won’t be much different. There’s just no reason to chase what appears to be very little upside with 10 other games to choose from.

Angels Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Kole Calhoun

Secondary Options – Luis Valbuena, Mike Trout

Home Run Pick – Kole Calhoun

A’s at Tigers

A’s Probable Starter – Sean Manaea, LHP 

3.40 ERA, 0.96 WHIP and 18.5 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .210 average, .270 wOBA, 21.1 K rate, 31.6 fly ball rate and 22.6 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .204 average, .271 wOBA, 17.7 K rate, 35.8 fly ball rate and 42.4 hard hit rate

I have some respect for Manaea and what he’s done this year but he has a very difficult task in front of him tonight. The Tigers rake lefty pitching this season, ranking third in average, sixth in OPS, ninth in ISO, seventh in wOBA and fifth in wRC+. That’s a long winded way to prove the Tigers are among the toughest matchups possible for Manaea tonight. I can’t really decide where I want to go in this game because the range of outcomes is pretty wide. My favorite play is at third base in Jeimer Candelario. He has a .394 wOBA which is basically second behind Nicholas Castellanos. The difference between these two players is Candelario has an ISO that is 102 pints higher and he’s $700 cheaper on FanDuel. I don’t mind a Detroit stack but understand there’s risk here as Manaea is a very good pitcher.

Tigers Hittes to Target 

Elite Options – Nicholas Castellanos, Jeimer Candelario

Secondary Options – John Hicks, Jose Iglesias, James McCann

Tigers Probable Starter – Mike Fiers, RHP 

4.29 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 17.3 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .258 average, .346 wOBA, 17.2 K rate, 43.8 fly ball rate and 34.2 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .284 average, .351 wOBA, 17.4 K rate, 44.6 fly ball rate and 36.4 hard hit rate

This spot is one where I want the A’s that are already putting the ball in the air and the two main players to focus on are Khris Davis and Matt Olson. Both these players are priced up as they should be but they both hit fly balls over 46 percent of the time. That’s a pretty high rate and it might just be a matter of how their salary fits in if we would play them or not. Through a small sample size among regular players, Franklin Barreto leads the A’s in fly ball rate at 63.6 percent of the time. He’s just $2,600 and would be a major risk/reward option. I’m leaning towards the righty hitters if you want a big piece of Oakland. There’s not statistical reason for it but I think Fiers has a troll job start on the way tonight.

A’s Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Khris Davis, Matt Olson

Secondary Options –Jed Lowrie, Franklin Barreto

Home Run Pick – Jeimer Candelario

DFS MLB – Pirates at Mets

Pirates Probable Starter – Ivan Nova, RHP

3.98 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 19.2 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .289 average, .332 wOBA, 12.1 K rate, 36.6 fly ball rate and 33.1 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .230 average, .293 wOBA, 26.5 K rate, 25.7 fly ball rate and 36.2 hard hit rate

For the third straight night, I’m really hoping that Brandon Nimmo is in the lineup tonight. He’s the best hitter the Mets have by a long shot and he’s a lefty, which is the side of the plate that Nova really struggles with. If he’s not in, Nova could be an option as the Mets offense just isn’t very good. Nova has actually been a lot better since he’s been back from the disabled list, topping 33 FanDuel points in all three games. The only two options in my book would be Michael Conforto and Asdrubal Cabrera. They’ll both hit lefty and have a chance to do some damage against nova tonight.

Mets Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Michael Conforto

Secondary Options – Brandon Nimmo, Asdrubal Cabrera

Mets Probable Starter – Zack Wheeler, RHP 

4.85 ERA, 1.37 WHIP and 22.3 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .246 average, .325 wOBA, 25.7 K rate, 41.3 fly ball rate and 44.2 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .258 average, .299 wOBA, 19.8 K rate, 34.5 fly ball rate and 22.6 hard hit rate

I can’t find too much that I really love in this side of the game. There’s nothing there that would make me want to play Wheeler as he’s simply just average in about every face. The Pirates don’t strikeout enough to have some value there and about the only way I could be talked into a Pirates hitter would be a cheap punt option. Colin Moran fills that bill as he’s only $2,500 and has a .333 wOBA against righty pitching. This game as a whole carries very little value in my eyes unless you’re taking a run at Nova without Nimmo.

Pirates Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – None

Secondary Options – Colin Moran, Austin Meadows, Josh Harrison, Starling Marte

Home Run Pick –  Asdrubal Cabrera

DFS MLB – Padres at Rangers

Padres Probable Starter – Clayton Richard, LHP 

4.23 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 19.5 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .216 average, .265 wOBA, 21.9 K rate, 7.7 fly ball rate and 28.4 hard contact rate

Vs RHH – .241 average, .311 wOBA, 18.8 K rate, 24.7 fly ball rate and 42.4 hard contact rate

If there was ever a signal that this slate is not great for pitching, Richard is the fifth highest salary for starters tonight. That’s definitely a little ugly but this profiles as potentially a good spot for the Padres lefty. He has owned lefty hitting this year and the majority of Rangers hitters hit from the left side of the plate. The only hitters you can really consider are Adrian Beltre, Elvis Andrus, Delino DeShields and Jurickson Profar. I’m not too sure I want to go very heavy on the Rangers because Richard generates so many ground balls. I would imagine the full Rangers stack would be fairly low owned and this isn’t a great spot for me.

Rangers Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Delino DeShields

Secondary Options – Adrian Belte, Elvis Andrus, Jurickson Profar

Rangers Probable Starter – Mike Minor, LHP 

5.06 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 19.6 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .236 average, .301 wOBA, 16.1 K rate, 31.8 fly ball rate and 34.8 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .267 average, .353 wOBA, 20.4 K rate, 46.4 fly ball rate and 43.6 hard hit rate

Maybe I’m just a sucker but I’m going back to the well for Christian Villanueva tonight on this slate. He remains very cheap and even though he’s been mostly cold, he’s still one of the best hitters in baseball against lefty pitching. Villanueva got smoked against Madison Bumgarner last time we played him but Minor isn’t Bumgarner. I suspect Hunter Renfroe will be the chalk of the night and as much as I hate the Padres, I really can’t blame you if you finish this stack off with Manuel Margot and Wil Myers. That’s how poor Minor has been this year and the hitters ball park will help the cause for San Diego.  Minor is not in play at all and Villanueva and Renfroe are far and away my favorite plays fro the Padres.

Padres Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Christian Villanueva, Hunter Renfroe

Secondary Options – Manuel Margot, Wil Myers

Home Run Pick – Villanueva and Renfroe both go deep

DFS MLB – Twins at White Sox

Twins Probable Starter – Kyle Gibson, RHP 

3.25 ERA, 1.21 WHIP and 23.3 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .220 average, .282 wOBA, 23.3 K rate, 35.3 fly ball rate and 40.4 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .199 average, .286 wOBA,  23.3 K rate, 27.9 fly ball rate and 36.5 hard hit rate

I’m going to take a deep breath and say something that could look very stupid at the end of the night – Gibson is the best pitching play on the slate. He doesn’t have any major plaits we need to chase and the White Sox strikeout at absurd rates which should help Gibson a lot. He’s faced Chicago once this year and scored 39 points. I would be overjoyed at that result tonight. The only hitter that I would think about here is Yoan Moncada. Anytime he draws a righty, Moncada is a fine play due to his speed and power combo. I don’t want to chase the White Sox at all in the spot.

White Sox Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – None

Secondary Options – Yoan Moncada, Jose Abreu

White Sox Probable Starter – James Shields, RHP 

4.59 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 16.0 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .198 average, .288 wOBA, 16.8 K rate, 41.8 fly ball rate and 29.3 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .260 average, .318 wOBA, 15.3 K rate, 44.5 fly ball rate and 36.5 hard hit rate

We’ll see what wins out, but this spot doesn’t appear to be awful for Shields. He’s been better against lefties this year, which some have been slow to adjust for. In the past, lefties against Shields was one of the surest things on the slate and I’m guessing players will head to that again tonight. I won’t go as crazy as others will but I do want plenty of Eddie Rosario and Eduardo Escobar. They’re both just good hitters and they’ve gotten to pitchers better than Shields this season. The last time Shields saw the Twins, he got totally destroyed and gave up seven earned runs. That could be the case again tonight but I probably won’t go with a full Twins stack tonight.

Twins Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Eddie Rosario, Eduardo Escobar

Secondary Options – Max Kepler, Logan Morrison, Brian Dozier

Home Run Pick – Eddie Rosario

DFS MLB – Indinas at Cardinals

Indians Probable Starter – Shane Bieber, RHP 

2.45 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 29.0 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .341 average, .413 wOBA, 25.5 K rate,  40.6 fly ball rate and 53.1 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .241 average, .212 wOBA, 34.5 K rate,15.8 fly ball rate and 31.6 hard hit rate

The youngster from the Indians has pitched fairly well in his three starts at the major league level and has held right handed pitching in check so far. He’s in the running to be a GPP option but I’d prefer to find the money to spend up and get a Gibson tonight. The real truth is we don’t have a good idea what we’ll get from Bieber tonight. He also gets Matt Carpenters at the top of the lineup, a lefty that can single handedly wreck his start. Carpenter went 5-5 with two homers yesterday so I guess he’s kind of due for a down game. Still, the risk level is too high for Bieber to roll in cash games. I’d look at Carpenter and Kolten Wong because I don’t want to play righties with the splits we’re seeing so far.

Cardinals Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Matt Carpenter

Secondary Options – Kolten Wong

Cardinals Probable Starter – Jack Flaherty, RHP 

2.50 ERA, 1.0 1 WHIP and 29.4 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .210 average, .273 wOBA, 23.4 K rate, 35.1 fly ball rate and 36.5 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .261 average, .263 wOBA, 35.0 K rate, 40.3 fly ball rate and 35.3 hard hit rate

Flaherty was utterly dominate the last time we saw him, striking out 13 Brewers and not giving up a hit until the seventh inning. Cleveland doesn’t strike out enough as a team to chase that kind of outlier performance and I’ll let the box score watchers take the chance here. The Indians can make any pitcher look silly and Flaherty hasn’t earned my trust to navigate a lineup with Francisco Lindor, Jose Ramirez, Michael Brantley and Edwin Encarnacion in it. The flip side is I’m probably not paying the premium for those players when other players are cheaper and in better matchups. This is a game I’m pretending doesn’t exist for cash game purposes.

Indians Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Jose Ramirez

Secondary Options – Francisco Lindor, Michael Brantley

Home Run Pick – Matt Carpenter continues to be white hot

DFS MLB – Cubs at Dodgers

Cubs Probable Starter – Kyle Hendricks, RHP 

3.73 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 18.9 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .189 average, .286 wOBA, 20.0 K rate, 39.8 fly ball rate and 30.6 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .255 average, .306 wOBA, 18.1 K rate, 27.0 fly ball rate and 32.3 hard hit rate

I can almost guarantee that the Dodgers are going to post a crooked number tonight. Brian and myself spent all day yesterday talking smack on Jon Lester only to see the Dodgers score two runs off of him. While he didn’t pitch extremely well, the Dodgers also came up very small for me. I’m not going to be on them again tonight because Hendricks can get the same type of resultLester did last night. If he goes five innings and only gives up a run or two, the Dodgers are likely not going to be worth playing again. There is no metric that points me towards Dodgers tonight for really any reason other than the game theory of low ownership.

Dodgers Hitters to Target

Elite Options – None

Secondary Options –Cody Bellinger, Max Muncy, Joc Pederson, Matt Kemp

Dodgers Probable Starter – Alex Wood, LHP

4.13 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 22.3 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .250 average, .244 wOBA, 27.5 K rate, 19.6 fly ball rate and 27.6 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .246 average, .304 wOBA, 20.6 K rate, 35.2 fly ball rate and 38.5 hard hit rate

It’s a shame Kris Bryant is hurt because he would have been in a great spot this evening. I think my last roster spot might come down to Kole Calhoun or Albert Almora tonight. Almora is a lefty specialist and should lead off with his .380 wOBA against southpaw pitching. At $2,300, he smells like chalk in cash games. It might be a better game theory to play Almora in cash and save Calhoun in tournaments. Addison Russell is also going to be attractive at the shortstop position if you’re not paying up for a hitter like Didi Gregorius. I’m not going to totally load up on Cubs tonight and it makes senes to be a bit more judicious with our picks. Wood isn’t the worst pitcher on the slate and he could give the Cubs some issues.

Cubs Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Albert Almora, Addison Russell

Secondary Options – Willson Contreras

Home Run Pick – Addison Russell

DFS MLB – Rockies at Giants

Rockies Probable Starter – Kyle Freeland, LHP 

3.55 ERA, 1.26 WHIP and 20.4 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .239 average, .293 wOBA, 32.0 K rate, 33.9 fly ball rate and 31.6 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .245 average, .312 wOBA, 16.4 K rate, 34.1 fly ball rate and 30.8 hard hit rate

I definitely only want to deal with the righty hitters in this game and there’s enough of them that I won’t play Freeland, even though he sees one of the best possible park shifts in baseball. Andrew McCutchen has to lead the charge with his .352 wOBA and .194 ISO against lefties so far this year. One of the quietest plays on the entire slate might be Nick Hundley if he plays. His .345 wOBA has to standout regardless of the park he’s in and Freeland has given up nine home runs to righties, four of which came on the road. If you played last night, you know that the late night goes go very low owned. After the 8PM  round of games wrapped up, I think the cash lines moved by a total of five or six points. This game is definitely the late night hammer on this slate.

Giants Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Andrew McCutchen, Nick Hundley

Secondary Options –Buster Posey, Gorkys Hernandez

Giants Probable Starter – Madison Bumgarner, LHP 

3.20 ERA, 1.14 WHIP and 16.2 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .071 average, .150 WHIP, 25.0 K rate, 22.2 fly ball rate and 20.0 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .250 average, .322 WHIP, 14.6 K rate, 38.6 fly ball rate and 46.5 hard hit rate

This side of the game is a total steer clear spot for me unless you think Bumgarner’s last start was a Padres-fueld mirage. He looked awesome but if I could throw a ball 60 feet, 6 inches, I’d probably look good against the Padres and their sad sack offense as well. Strictly from a pricing standpoint, Charlie Blackmon is all the way down to $4,000 and we never see him that low. I’m not playing him but if he has a good game he’s a difference maker. You’re sticking to Nolan Arenado, Trevor Story and Ian Desmond here. The only way I’d play any of them is a three man stack and you hope Bumgarner gets knocked around. I really want to see if he’s back or not before making judgements and burning entry fees.

Rockies Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – None

Secondary Options – Three stack of Arenado, Story and Desmond

Home Run Pick – Nick Hundley

DFS MLB Sample FanDuel Lineup

P – Kyle Gibson 

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C/1B – Paul Goldschmidt

2B – Dee Gordon

3B – Christian Villanueva

SS – Didi Gregorius 

OF – Aaron Hicks, Hunter Renfroe, Eddie Rosario

Utility – Kole Calhoun 

I’d be lying if I said I’m totally comfortable with Gibson as my pitcher but thus is life on this slate. I’m taking the chance that the White Sox strikeout enough that Gibson gets right around that 35 point mark this evening. Gordon should be able to find his way on base against Alex Cobb and that means stolen bases might not be far behind. Villanueva has been awful lately but Mike Minor doesn’t scare me at all. We have two lefties rom New York and going from Hicks to Gardner is a super easy pivot since Gardner is cheaper. Renfroe might be one of, if not the highest owned players on this slate. Calhoun could be the edge player and I’ll eat some more chalk with Rosario and hope Shields doesn’t have a gas can start so a Twins stack fails.

The Core – Paul Goldschmidt, Hunter Renfroe, Eddie Rosario

Stacks to Consider – New York Yankees, Detroit Tigers, San Diego Padres, Colorado Rockies, Minnesota Twins

Next: MLB DFS Picks and Pivots

As always, may fortune be on your side and make sure to follow me on Twitter @bucn4life as MLB allows late swap. If there’s a late scratch and/or lineup cards aren’t put in for the late games, this article will always be updated on Twitter ASAP.