DFS MLB Game by Game Breakdown – Wednesday, July 11

Welcome into the Wednesday edition of the DFS MLB Game by Game Breakdown! We have a larger than normal 11 game slate on hand for tonight so let’s get going!

Things got a little nervous at the end of the night because the two Dodgers we had gave us literally nothing. We hit on Enyel De Los Santos, who was dynamite in his debut and most of our expensive hitters really payed off. It goes to show that good pitching can come from anywhere. Santos scored 25 points less than Bauer but he cost $6,500 less. Sometimes it’s worth it to spend that money on the bats, although it’s not the same thing every night. Let’s get moving for tonight’s DFS MLB slate and keep the good times going!

DFS MLB – Yankees at Orioles

Yankees Probable Starter – Sonny Gray, RHP 

5.85 ERA, 1.57 WHIP and 20.0 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .272 average, .343 wOBA, 18.8 K rate, 23.3 fly ball rate and 39.5 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .284 average, .359 wOBA, 21.1 K rate, 34.3 fly ball rate and 32.1 hard hit rate

Even against a shoddy offense like the one Baltimore is trotting out there right now, you can’t pitch Sonny Gray. I’m not sure if I would try him if he was minimum price tonight. He’s had flashes of being good but is coming off back to back horrible starts and a mediocre one before that in Tampa. It’s a shame that I can’t trust him because the Orioles rank 18th or worse in average, OPS, ISO, wOBA and wRC+ and they carry a top 10 strikeout rate. Manny Machado would be my main focus from this game. He hit two bombs last night(potentially while auditioning for his new team in the other dugout) and rates well against Gray’s pitch mix. It’s not a surprise but he leads Baltimore in ISO, wRC+ and wOBA against righty pitching. Gray has also given up more home runs to righty hitters so you can throw Adam Jones and Mark Trumbo in there if you think Gray is in line for a disaster start again.

Orioles Hitters to Target

Elite Options – Manny Machado

Secondary Options – Mark Trumbo, Adam Jones

Orioles Probable Starter – Dylan Bundy, RHP 

4.08 ERA, 1.27 WHIP and 26.3 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .309 average, .374 wOBA, 21.2 K rate, 45.6 fly ball rate and 34.2 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .188 average, .278 wOBA, 31.6 K rate, 44.8 fly ball rate and 33.1 hard hit rate

The splits don’t lie here as lefties have always been the way to attack Bundy this season. I’m always a little hesitant to use hitters against Bundy in cash because when his slider is on point, he can be nearly untouchable. It just hasn’t happened very often against lefty hitters this year as they’ve worked him over. Didi Gregorius, Brett Gardner and Aaron Hicks are the best cash options and Greg Bird would be a tournament option. Bird and Hicks are about league average against the slider while Gregorius and Gardner are below average. Gregorius carries the highest ISO of the bunch so it’s a mixed bag to be sure. I have an issue paying $4,000 for Hicks and that feels a little pricey for Gregorius as well. I’d be more likely to find the $300 for Machado at that point. If you wanted to go against the grain, Aaron Judge would be tournament viable. He’s the best slider hitter in all of baseball, he’s just on the wrong side of the splits.

Yankees Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Brett Gardner, Didi Gregorius

Secondary Options – Aaron Hicks, Greg Bird, Aaron Judge(GPP only)

Home Run Pick – Manny Machado

DFS MLB – Reds at Indians

Reds Probable Starter – Tyler Mahle, RHP 

3.66 ERA, 1.39 WHIP and 22.9 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .269 average, .396 wOBA, 24.0 K rate, 44.7 fly ball rate and 46.5 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .237 average, .266 wOBA, 21.8 K rate, 27.7 fly ball rate and 37.3 hard hit rate

I want to keep tabs on Mahle moving forward because he’s actually been pitching pretty well lately. He hasn’t given up more than three earned since the start of June with a couple of games of seven or more strikeouts. Tonight would not be a solid bet on that streak continuing as his splits don’t look good against lefty pitching. Cleveland could put six or seven in the lineup and you have to start at the top. Jose Ramirez and Francisco Lindor are both excellent plays against tonight, even though they both hit a home run last night. I’d lean ever so slightly to Lindor tonight because he’s the top slider hitter in the league and Mahle throws that pitch about 20 percent of the time. In addition, Reds catcher Tucker Barnhart is probably due for a day off and that would help the steal upside of Lindor. It’s just like Mookie Betts and J.D. Martinez in Boston – it’s hard to pick between them every night. Yonder Alonso and Jason Kipnis are very good mid-range options as well. The fly ball and hard hit rate to lefties realistically puts any of them in play in this lineup.

Indians Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Francisco Lindor, Jose Ramirez, Yonder Alonso, Jason Kipnis

Secondary Options – Any cheap lefty towards the bottom of the order

Indians Probable Starter – Carlos Carrasco, RHP 

4.28 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 25.9 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .252 average, .319 wOBA, 27.3 K rate, 36.4 fly ball rate and 35.1 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .246 average, .289 wOBA, 24.9 K rate, 35.5 fly ball rate and 37.2 hard hit rate

This is a dangerous spot for Carrasco. I won’t have a single share while he’s over $10,000 on FanDuel and there’s a chance he gets roughed up tonight. He’s worse against lefty hitters and he’s throwing the slider over 27 percent this year. Joey Votto and Scooter Gennett are lefties and are in the top 11 in baseball against the pitch this season. They don’t have the prototypical power that you’re hunting for but they’re viable in all formats. It wouldn’t be that surprising to see them have big games even without a home run. On the cheaper end, Jess Winker has the third highest wOBA of any lefty on the team and rates very well against the fastball/slider combo that Carrasco leans on most. He’s a very solid play and an integral part of a Reds stat with Votto and Gennett. You could even look to Eugenio Suarez since he’s the best fastball hitter and rates above average on the slider as well. This stack could do some damage in GPP’s tonight because most people will be focused elsewhere.

Reds Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Joey Votto, Scooter Gennett, Jesse Winker

Secondary Options – Scott Schebler, Eugenio Suarez

Home Run Pick – Francisco Lindor and Joey Votto

DFS MLB – Brewers at Marlins

Brewers Probable Starter – Freddy Peralta, RHP 

2.14 ERA, 0.89 WHIP and 36.2 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .200 average, .287 wOBA, 31.4 K rate, 39.5 fly ball rate and 34.2 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .058 average, .120 wOBA, 42.1 K rate, 55.6 fly ball rate and 39.3 hard hit rate

This might be one of the chalkier pitchers of the evening because he’s almost $4,000 cheaper than the aces on the mound tonight and you’re going to want that money to buy some offense later. Peralta has been incredible since he’s been in the big leagues, throwing only one poor start against the Twins and then one bad inning in Cincinnati before slamming the door on the Reds. The Marlins shouldn’t mount a huge challenge here, especially if J.T. Realmuto is still on paternity leave. The Miami offense should have at least four or five righties in the lineup not counting the pitcher spot and righties haven’t been able to do squat with Peralta yet. The young righty has thrown his fastball a ton in the bigs, almost an 80 percent clip. The two best lefty hitters are Derek Dietrich and Justin Bour, although I would lean towards Bour as a cheap play because he has tangible upside of a home run. I almost never get pitchers against the Marlins right but I might try my luck again this evening.

Marlins Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – None

Secondary Options – Justin Bour, Derek Dietrich

Marlins Probable Starter – Dan Straily, RHP 

4.55 ERA, 1.38 WHIP and 18.7 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .254 average, .357 wOBA, 20.3 K rate, 34.3 fly ball rate and 44.1 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .211 average, .303 wOBA, 16.7 K rate, 42.2 fly ball rate and 46.2 hard hit rate

This has the potential to be a real short trip for Straily this evening. His HR/9 is spiked at over 1.70 and the Brewers aren’t the team you want to pitch to when you can’t keep the ball in the yard. We’re looking more towards the power lefties tonight which means we’re making a play for Eric Thames and Travis Shaw. Thames is $500 more expensive but he also carries a ginormous .333 ISO against righty pitching. I don’t expect the ball park in Miami to hold Thames down and he’s definitely in the running tonight. Shaw is better against he fastball while Thames is better against the slider. These two are the focus tonight but Jesus Aguilar can’t be ignored as he leads the Brewers lineup in wOBA against righty pitching. The fly ball and hard hit rates to righty hitters look like something Aguilar and the Brewers can take advantage of.

Brewers Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Eric Thames, Travis Shaw

Secondary Options – Jesus Aguilar, Lorenzo Cain, Brad Miller

Home Run Pick – Travis Shaw goes back to back days

DFS MLB – Phillies at Mets

Phillies Probable Starter – Vince Velasquez, RHP 

4.69 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 28.5 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .252 average, .355 wOBA, 27.3 K rate, 44.3 fly ball rate and 34.5 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .221 average, .283 wOBA, 29.8 K rate, 40.0 fly ball rate and 31.9 hard hit rate

I’m awfully tempted to use Velasquez in tournaments tonight even though he’s fresh off the disabled list. It also doesn’t help that he doesn’t have a great chance at a win. He took a liner off the elbow, which isn’t that big of a deal as far as trusting him. That’s also really easy for me to say, pecking away at a laptop in the cool air conditioning hanging out with my wife and dog. I didn’t have to get drilled by a baseball but Velasquez is tougher than I am. Anyways, the weakness for the Philly righty is lefty hitters. The only two that really present a serious challenge from that side of the plate are Brandon Nimmo and Asdrubal Cabrera. Nimmo has been cold lately but remains scary as he’s the best fastball hitter on the Mets and Velasquez whips that sucker in there at a 63.5 percent clip. If he can get by those two hitters Velasquez has some serious upside here because the Mets offense just isn’t that good.

Mets Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Brandon Nimmo

Secondary Options – Asdrubal Cabrera

Mets Probable Starter – Jacob deGrom, RHP

1.79 ERA, 0.99 WHIP and 31.2 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .229 average, .280 wOBA, 29.4 K rate, 29.5 fly ball rate and 28.0 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .175 average, .215 wOBA, 33.0 K rate, 28.1 fly ball rate and 32.4 hard hit rate

We could get a ceiling game here from deGrom and he’s one of the best pitching options on the slate, regardless of the high price. Maybe I’m wrong but the Philly offense seems to carry the perception of a good offense. However, they rank no better than middle of the pack in average, OPS, wOBA and wRC+ against righty pitching. They also strikeout at the highest percentage in baseball and deGrom is striking out over 31 percent of the hitters he faces. He’s in a total smash spot and the only hitter I might consider as a large tournament option is Odubel Herrera.

Phillies Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – None

Secondary Options – Odubel Herrera

Home Run Pick – Michael Conforto

DFS MLB – Rangers at Red Sox

Rangers Probable Starter – Bartolo Colon, RHP 

4.65 ERA, 1.17 WHIP and 14.2 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .263 average, .319 wOBA, 13.4 K rate, 33.3 fly ball rate and 39.3 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .255 average, .338 wOBA, 14.8 K rate, 33.2 fly ball rate and 46.3 hard hit rate

I think we can all agree that Boston is once again in one of the premier spots of the night when they face off against everyone’s favorite pudgy pitcher, Bartolo Colon. It would be very expensive and might be tough to pull off, but a three-man stack of Mookie Betts, J.D. Martinez and Xander Bogaerts could pay off handsomely. They’re all righty hitteres, they all have an ISO of at least .264 and a wOBA of .383 against righty pitching and Colon has lobbed 17 homers to righty hitters so far. That’s been good for a 2.67 HR/9 to the handedness and that is…not good. I honestly don’t mind Andrew Benintendi again either. Most players will gravitate to the righties but the youngster can take Colon out or steal a base or two if he stays in the yard. All aboard the Boston Bash Brothers Express tonight.

Red Sox Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Mookie Betts, J.D. Martinez, Andrew Benintendi, Xander Bogaerts

Secondary Options –Mitch Moreland, Rafael Devers

Red Sox Probable Pitcher – Chris Sale, LHP 

2.36 ERA, 0.89 WHIP and 36.8 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .164 average, .201 wOBA, 38.0 K rate, 26.8 fly ball rate and 23.3 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .183 average, .251 wOBA, 36.6 K rate, 39.6 fly ball rate and 28.2 hard hit rate

Sale is the highest priced player on the night and if there’s one thing that can really make me think about not loading up on Coors, I think we might be looking at it. Sure, other offenses have a great chance at success tonight and are fine tournament options. Since June 8th, Sale has been a different animal even by his standards. He’s averaging 11 strikeouts a start in that time period while giving up a combined five earned runs over the course of 41 innings pitched. His lowest score in that time period has been 52 points while hitting as high as 70 against the Mariners. I’m going to pass on any Rangers hitters tonight.

Rangers Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – None

Secondary Options – None

Home Run Pick – The Killer B’s of Betts, Benintendi and Bogaerts all leave the yard

DFS MLB – Blue Jays at Braves

Blue Jays Probable Starter – Sam Gaviglio, RHP 

3.81 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 23.2 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .247 average, .299 wOBA, 15.8 K rate, 35.1 fly ball rate and 31.1 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .223 average, .318 wOBA, 28.8 K rate, 33.8 fly ball rate and 27.6 hard hit rate

As is normally the case with the Braves, I’m much more interested in the lefty hitters than anything else. Gaviglio hasn’t shown an ability to miss a lot of bats to lefties yet in his short career and you don’t want hitters like Freddie Freeman or Ozzie Albies making contact very often. I’d be looking to use them in GPP’s more than cash games just due to their price tag. They rank first and second on the team against slider and Gaviglio throws it over 25 percent of the time. Ender Inciarte is always in play for stolen upside but that pace has slowed down a little bit. You can add in Nick Markakis for a relatively safe floor but the Braves aren’t my favorite tonight. That’s a rare thing for me and I’m going to be annoyed if I miss Atlanta explosion tonight.

Braves Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Freddie Freeman, Ozzie Albies(GPP)

Secondary Options – Nick Markakis, Ender Inciarte

Braves Probable Starter – Mike Foltynewicz, RHP 

2.37 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 29.4 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .175 average, .282 wOBA, 28.4 K rate, 38.1 fly ball rate and 32.7 hard hit rate

Vs RHH -.201 average, .251 wOBA, 30.5 K rate, 32.8 fly ball rate and 35.0 hard hit rate

I’m leaning towards playing Foltynewicz over a player like Peralta tonight because he live and dies by his fastball. Toronto is just outside of the top 10 in strikeout rate against righty  pitching and nobody of any concern ranks that well. Curtis Granderson leads the pack but strikes out a ton and hits lefty. All active hitters have a wOBA under .365 which set up well for Foltynewicz tonight as well. This flat-out isn’t a spot that I want to attack on a slate this big. I really think it’s a full pass for me with the Blue Jays tonight and I’d be very interested in playing Foltynewicz for the strikeout upside, which is quite substantial. .

Blue Jays Hitters to target 

Elite Options -None

Secondary Options – Justin Smoak

Home Run Pick – Ozzie Albies

DFS MLB – A’s at Astros

A’s Probable Starter – Chris Bassitt, RHP 

3.00 ERA, 1.33 WHIP and 20.0 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .229 average, .255 wOBA, 20.8 K rate, 37.8 fly ball rate and 37.8 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .237 average, .300 wOBA, 19.4 K rate, 30.4 fly ball rate and 41.3 hard hit rate

You could probably tell me he had to face vintage Clayton Kershaw tonight and I’d still have interest in Alex Bregman. That’s how hot he is right now and there’s no signs of slowing down. His .368 wOBA and .212 ISO will probably be even higher after things get updated to reflect his two home runs last night. Until he shows that the streak is coming to an end, feel free to keep playing him. Bregman is also the team’s best hitter against the slider which is the second most popular pitch he throws. Jose Altuve also comes into play because he doesn’t trail Bregman but much in hitting the slider well. Both hitters work over the fastball and Houston definitely has a lot of potential tonight with Bassitt being a slightly reverse splits pitcher. Most of the Astros hitters are righty.

Astros Hitters to Target

Elite Options – Jose Altuve, Alex Bregman, Evan Gattis, Yuli Gurriel

Secondary Options – George Springer, Josh Reddick, Kyle Tucker

Astros Probable Starter – Lance McCullers, RHP 

3.41 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 27.1 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .168 average, .251 wOBA, 30.6 K rate, 28.1 fly ball rate and 31.0 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .250 average, .308 wOBA, 23.4 K rate, 24.7 fly ball rate and 34.9 hard hit rate

When a pitcher with this level of talent is pitching well, it’s usually a smart idea to try and ride with him while he’s hot. McCullers certainly is that right now, having gone five straight starts with at least 40 FanDuel points. He throws his curveball more than his fastball and he has multiple variations of it so it’s harder to quantify than others. Nobody on the A’s ranks well against the pitch and I’m hard pressed to see where I’d play any A’s hitters tonight. McCullers is too good to try and pick on him on this slate.

A’s Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – None

Secondary Options – Khris Davis

Home Run Pick – George Springer

DFS MLB – Cardinals at White Sox

Cardinals Probable Starter – Luke Weaver, RHP

4.92 ERA, 1.35 WHIP and 21.2 strikeout rate

vs LHH – .281 average, .356 wOBA, 18.4 K rate, 38.7 fly ball rate and 36.6 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .225 average, .282 wOBA, 24.2 K rate, 36.5 fly ball rate and 34.0 hard hit rate

Some of the White sox might fit in as some value plays on a slate where we’re going to need it with a super expensive offense still left on the board. The issue becomes the one I would be willing to play has seen his price shoot up to $3,000 and that seems dicey at best. Daniel Palka and his .244 ISO is worth a look but that’s a fairly risky play. I don’t think Weaver is going to magically become good tonight and I won’t be surprised if he gets waxed. I just have a really hard time trusting the White Sox offense to do anything for me tonight. Jose Abreu is super cheap and but he has been putrid for almost two months now. There’s a reason he’s under $3,00.

White Sox Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – None

Secondary Options – Yoan Moncada, Daniel Palka, Jose Abreu, Yolmer Sanchez

White Sox Probable Starter – Carlos Rodon, LHP 

4.29 ERA, 1.29 WHIP and 18.2 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .226 average, .299 wOBA, 24.2 K rate, 34.8 fly ball rate and 47.8 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .229 average, .327 wOBA, 16.5 K rate, 54.1 fly ball rate and 24.7 hard hit rate

I could see Rodon being super sneaky tonight because the Cards are a mixed bag against lefties. What really stands out is the strikeout rate, which is the fifth highest in the league at 23.9 percent. Jedd Gyorko is always someone I like against a lefty because he carries a .301 ISO and .450 wOBA against lefty pitching this season. He’s also under $3,000 on FanDuel which helps us fit other things in. The strikeout rate against righty hitters does concern me a little bit with Rodon and I think no matter how much you want to like him, Jose Martinez might be a great option. He’s the best hitter against the fastball and he’s always hit lefties well. His price likely won’t get much cheaper than $2,600.

Cardinals Hitters to Target 

Elite Options –Jedd Gyorko, Jose Martinez

Secondary Options – Marcell Ozuna, Tommy Pham

Home Run Pick – Jose Martinez

DFS MLB – Diamondbacks at Rockies

Diamondbacks Probable Starter – Shelby Miller, RHP 

9.00 ERA, 1.79 WHIP and 26.9 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .226 average, .352 wOBA, 28.6 K rate, 45.0 fly ball rate and 66.7 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .419 average, .485 wOBA, 25.0 K rate, 21.7 fly ball rate and 56.5 hard hit rate

Now we’ve come to the chalky part of the evening. We weren’t on Coors Field last night and that mostly paid off. Not having some exposure this evening would be a very bad mistake on the first look. Miller has been getting crushed so far and I’m basically locking in Charlie Blackmon. He’s got a poor righty at home and that’s all I really need to know. He hasn’t even been himself this year and he still has an ISO over .250 and a wOBA over .360. The price tag for this scenario doesn’t get any lower at $4,400. I’m not going to blame you if you stack up Nolan Arenado with Blackmon tonight and really, any Colorado hitter is viable with how bad Miller has been so far this season.

Rockies Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Charlie Blackmon, Nolan Arenado, Carlos Gonzalez

Secondary Options – Top of the order hitters

Rockies Probable Starter – German Marquez, RHP 

4.92 ERA, 1.40 WHIP and 23.0 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .288 average, .354 wOBA, 17.8 K rate, 38.2 fly ball rate and 32.8 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .229 average, .313 wOBA, 29.2 K rate, 25.4 fly ball rate and 35.9 hard hit rate

How many D-Bakcs lefties can we jam in with everything else we want to do? That’s not of the biggest questions on this slate because Marquez gets crushed to dust by lefties. He’s already given up 11 HR to the handedness and hitters like Jon Jay, Daniel Descalso, Jake Lamb and Davis Peralta are all fantastic plays. They’re relatively cheap for the matchup and ball park and I’m going to try my best to jam in three of the Arizona lefties here. Lamb’s numbers aren’t terribly impressive at this point but he’s a power hitter in a good matchup so the risk is worth it. Descalso and Peralta are my other favorites with ISO’s over .215. I’ll likely leave Paul Goldschmidt out unless it’s a full four person stack.

Diamondbacks Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – All the lefty bats

Secondary Options – Paul Goldschmidt

Home Run Pick – Jake Lamb

DFS MLB – Mariners at Angels

Mariners Probable Starter – Marco Gonzales, LHP

3.64 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 21.6 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .254 average, .293 wOBA, 16.9 K rate, 28.3 fly ball rate and 41.8 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .267 average, .313 wOBA, 22.5 K rate, 27.9 fly ball rate and 33.6 hard hit rate

Other than two bad starts against the Yankees and Red Sox, Gonzales has been a pretty solid pitcher this season. I don’t think I’ll have too many Angels but a hitter like Mike Trout can go over looked tonight behind Coors Field. There’s a super cheap punt play in Jefry Marte who has a .265 ISO against lefties and is minimum price, if he’s in the lineup. He usually bats towards the bottom of the lineup and he can get pinch-hit for towards the end of the game. I actually wouldn’t mind pitching Gonzales in a GPP format because the Angels rank 20th or worse in average, OPS, ISO, wOBA and wRC+. That’s poor enough to justify taking a shot.

Angels Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Mike Trout

Secondary Options –Jefry Marte, Andrelton Simmons

Angels Probable Starter – Jaime Barria, RHP 

3.39 ERA, 1.23 wOBA and 18.7 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .210 average, .252 wOBA, 21.6 K rate, 35.2 fly ball rate and 35.9 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .279 average, .387 wOBA, 15.8 K rate, 46.7 fly ball rate and 42.2 hard hit rate

I have no issues if you want to use some of the Seattle righties in a GPP to try to negate everyone else loading up at Coors. Nelson Cruz and Mitch Haniger are elite plays tonight in any format but they would be dangerous if they can’t keep up with the Coors bats. They both have ISO’s over .235 even against righty pitching and Barria gives up so much hard contact that ends up in the air, things should go out for him against this Mariners lineup. Perhaps one of the sneakiest plays on the slate is a $2,500 Ryon Healy with his .331 wOBA and .243 ISO. He’s got just as good a  chance to go deep as the bigger names. If you go with the Seattle stack, include righty Jean Segura for some runs and stolen base upside.

Mariners Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Nelson Cruz, Mitch Haniger, Ryon Healy, Jean Segura(all GPP)

Secondary Options – Dee Gordon, Kyle Seager

Home Run Pick – Ryon Healy

DFS MLB – Dodgers at Padres

Dodgers Probable Starter – Kenta Maeda, RHP

3.24 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 287 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .255 average, .315 wOBA, 24.7 K rate, 33.9 fly ball rate and 39.6 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .200 average, .266 wOBA, 32.8 K rate, 36.5 fly ball rate and 34.3 hard hit rate

Even with the knowledge that Maeda carries some injury risk, he’s likely the safest option behind the super expensive aces tonight. He’s had the strikeouts working the past three starts, with exactly nine in each. There’s a legitimate chance that tonight could cross the double digits. Depending on what day you look, it’s either these Padres or the Phillies that has the highest strikeout rate against righty pitching in baseball. I’m going to pass on every single Padre hitter with the potential exception of Wil Myers. The odds aren’t good that he’ll hit a home run tonight because he’s hit six in his past four games. Crazier things have happened in baseball than Myers hitting another bomb tonight.

Padres Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – None

Secondary Options – Wil Myers

Padres Probable Starter – Joey Lucchesi, LHP 

3.27 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 25.0 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .208 average, .263 wOBA, 28.6 K rate, 12.5 fly ball rate and 31.3 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .222 average, .314 wOBA, 24.0 K rate, 35.8 fly ball rate and 43.4 hard hit rate

I’m going to start having trust issues with the Dodgers offense at this rate. I almost missed cashing last night because Chris Taylor and Matt Kemp combined to give me a big fat zero. The Dodgers got owned by Eric Lauer, which I certainly did not see coming. In tournaments, you want to go right back to the righty hitter. Kemp, Taylor, Kike Hernandez and especially Justin Turner are all great plays. Kemp and Turner have wOBA’s over .410 and Hernandez and Taylor are both sitting above .330. It would be really surprising to see Los Angeles get shut down again, especially looking at the hard hit rate given up by Lucchesi to right-handed hitting. Turner is probably my favorite play of the group. I’ll potentially have a lineup with a Coors third baseman and Turner in it this evening.

Dodgers Hitters to Target 

Elite Options –Justin Turner, Matt Kemp

Secondary Options – Chris Taylor, Kike Hernandez

Home Run Pick – Justin Turner

DFS MLB – FanDuel Sample Lineup

P – Marco Gonzales 

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C/1B – Jose Martinez 

2B – Daniel Descalso 

3B – Jake Lamb 

SS – Brad Miller 

OF – Charlie Blackmon, David Peralta, Carlos Gonzalez 

Utility – Marcell Ozuna 

I’m pretty happy with the majority of this lineup, especially for cash. If I miss the line while loaded up on Coors Field with two very average pitchers on the mound, it just wasn’t my night. Gonzales is risky but this whole endeavor is risky. If we knew we were going to win every night, daily fantasy sports wouldn’t work out very well. I’ll take a Cardinals mini-stack even though I do like Rodon for the most part. Miller has been fairly quiet lately but Straily hasn’t found his way this year so hopefully Miller has something for him. This is a pretty self-explanatory lineup. Any Coors bat we can fit and a pitcher we’re comfortable with is the name of the game.

The Core –  Charlie Blackmon, David Peralta, Jose Martinez

Pitching to Consider 

High-End – Jacob deGrom, Chris Sale, Lance McCullers

Mid-Range – Marco Gonzalez, Mike Foltynewicz, Freddy Peralta

Punts – Carlos Rodon

Stacks to Consider – Coors Game Stack, Boston Red Sox, Cleveland Indians/Cincinnati Reds Game Stack, Atlanta Braves, New York Yankees

Next: Today's MLB DFS DRAFT Rankings and Slate Strategy

As always, may fortune be on your side and make sure to follow me on Twitter @bucn4life as MLB allows late swap. If there’s a late scratch and/or lineup cards aren’t put in for the late games, this article will always be updated on Twitter ASAP.