DraftKings Main MLB Picks July 25: Skaggs is worth the money
By Mike Marteny
DraftKings Main MLB Picks July 25: Skaggs is worth the money
The main DraftKings tournament is pretty small today with only four games. There are two games that are lopped off in no man’s land as an afternoon slate and the Marlins and Braves are off. Add that to the eight game early slate, and we only have four left for the main event. Pickings are slim here for pitching, but there are a couple of top options. How can we fit them with a Coors stack? Let’s find out!
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The Coors stack may be best to avoid. You heard me. Rain is likely in Colorado tonight. A late start is likely. It could be postponed if the teams don’t want to wait it out. A start around 9pm seems likely, though I think they have to wait it out for an interleague game. Baltimore has a rain chance once again, but it really isn’t much of a threat or washing this one out.
We will provide you with several options to build your lineup here. Want to spend all your money on pitchers and play bargain bats? We will highlight who is worth the money. Want to punt arms and pay up for the big boppers? We can help you with that as well, and everything in between!
These tips are based mostly on past performance. This is a nice tool for building a lineup, but should not be the only pieces of information you use. We have plenty of writers on here who give you relevant information no matter which site you play on!
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Top Tier:
Tyler Skaggs ($10,200): Skaggs may not only be the best pitcher on the slate, but he definitely has the best matchup. The fact that he is just over $10,000 is a gift from DraftKings. Bauer was over $13k on the afternoon slate, and I honestly expected Skaggs to be close to that. Skaggs has been marginally worse at home, but we aren’t going to be worried about a 3.45 home mark, especially against a strikeout prone team like the Sox.
David Price ($9,500): Price doesn’t have great numbers this year, but his best start was against these Orioles. Price racked up 35.8 DraftKings points in a complete game against the O’s earlier this year. He may not quite do that tonight, but I see 30 as a very possible total again for Price. The Orioles have a ton of righties, but most of them aren’t good. Price could wind up being the best play of the night.
Middle Tier:
Charlie Morton ($8,800): You are essentially getting an ace for a low price here. The caveat is that Morton has struggled in his last two starts. The break may have done him good, but there is still a lot of risk attached for the price. That said, with only eight pitchers to choose from, we can’t be all that critical. With the offenses on display tonight, it’s likely that one or both of our pitchers are going to get knocked around. Morton is an acceptable fade option to Price or Skaggs.
Bargain Pitchers:
James Shields ($6,000): The Angels are only hitting .227 off of Shields, but they do have seven homers and 17 runs in 132 at bats. However, Shields has turned in two good outings in a row after getting beaten senseless by the Astros on July 7th. The lower tier is an absolute disaster. The six strikeouts that Gray gets are going to be quickly erased when he gives up six runs in the first four innings and doesn’t get out of the fifth. Believe it or not, Shields is the place to gamble if you are paying down at pitcher.
Boston Red Sox vs. Dylan Bundy:
Bundy has allowed ten homers, 23 runs, and a .272 average in 184 at bats against the Red Sox. Bundy has 63.6 DraftKings points in his three starts against Boston this year, but the wheels are falling off. In Bundy’s three July starts, he has allowed 16 runs (15 earned) and five home runs. Two of those games were against Toronto and Minnesota, teams not noted for power. Mookie has three homers off of Bundy already. Martinez, Steve Pearce, Sandy Leon, Benintendi, Rafael Devers, Jackie Bradley, and Xander have all homered against Bundy as well. If you are fading Coors chalk, the Red Sox have plenty of goodies to choose from.
Oakland Athletics vs. Martin Perez:
The A’s are on fire anyway, and Perez is allowing tons of runs and home runs. Part of that is the park’s fault, but not all of it. The A’s have scored 28 runs in the first two games of this series. The Coors chalk, especially on the Astros side will be the narrative, but I think I like the Oakland stack more because the Texas bullpen has been even more dreadful than the starters. Khris Davis has two homers and six RBI off of Perez already, so any stack should center on him. Piscotty has also homered against Perez. I’m a big fan of Mark Canha again tonight, along with Semien batting leadoff and Jed Lowrie. All of them come cheaper than the big Astros bats.
Houston Astros vs. Jon Gray:
Yes, Gray is better at home. Better is a relative term. He still has a 5.02 ERA there. He did make a triumphant return to the majors before the break, but this offense is chock full of power hitters, and Gray throws hard anyway. I see a half dozen or more strikeouts for Gray, but I think he gives up about that many runs as well. You almost have to play Alex Bregman at this point. $5,200 for Springer doesn’t seem too out of line, but I’m liking the lower prices of Gurriel and Gattis. Altuve for $5,000 is a solid pick as well. Coors isn’t about with exorbitant prices tonight, which is only going to help fuel this game stack. Why pay $6k for Betts when you can have all of these guys for between $5-$5,200?
Top Tier:
Edwin Jackson looks overpriced. Sure, he has turned in four quality starts in five tries, but he has only broken double digit DraftKings points three times in five starts. Texas isn’t a great offense, but they are good enough, and this is hitting weather in Arlington. I’m more inclined to chase the power of Joey Gallo and Odor. Choo isn’t a bad play either.
James Shields hasn’t been all that horrible against the Angels. I know. It’s a ringing endorsement. The Angels are only hitting .227 against Shields, but they do have seven homers and 17 runs in 132 at bats. Trout has two homers and three of the RBI, but it has been Ian Kinsler that has done most of the damage. Kinsler has four homers, ten runs, and six RBI against Shields. Upton has the other homer, and I think I am limiting my Angels exposure to these three.
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Middle Tier:
Charlie Morton has struggled lately, so I’m laying off of him. However, there it potential for him to turn in an outing close to Cole’s last night. Due to that, if I’m chasing Rockies, it likely wont be on the high end. Garrett Hampson is an intriguing pick simply because pitchers don’t have much of a book on him yet. However, I will admit that its tough to pass on Blackmon and Arenado for $5,000 each.
Bargain Shoppers:
Jose Abreu has actually had a good road trip, so I’m inclined to use him at a bargain price with another lefty on the mound. Hey, we need to save somewhere! However, my exposure to Chicago bats will end there. This is not a good place for them.
I will say this for Baltimore: the bats are cheap. Mark Trumbo and Chris Davis both have two homers against David Price, and they both land in this tier. Mancini has homered off of Price as well. If you don’t trust Price, you can afford a bunch of Orioles with a Coors stack.
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