DraftKings Main MLB Picks July 28: Can we stack Coors and use an ace?

BOSTON, MA – JUNE 07: The Fenway Park facade displays a Pride flag in honor of Pride night at Fenway Park before a game between the Detroit Tigers and the Boston Red Sox on June 07, 2018 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Adam Glanzman/Getty Images) /

DraftKings Main MLB Picks July 28: Can we stack Coors and use an ace?

The main DraftKings slate is big again for a Saturday with 11 games going on. We have three aces on the slate, but the middle tier is barren. We also have the hottest offense in the league in Coors. How should we attack this? Let’s take a look!

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There is a slight chance of rain in Fenway, but not enough that it will rain this one out. An in game delay could hurt the starting pitchers though.

The only wind of note is the customary wind out of AT&T Park. It’s a mostly calm weather day, so enjoy it!

We will provide you with several options to build your lineup here. Want to spend all your money on pitchers and play bargain bats? We will highlight who is worth the money. Want to punt arms and pay up for the big boppers? We can help you with that as well, and everything in between!

These tips are based mostly on past performance. This is a nice tool for building a lineup, but should not be the only pieces of information you use. We have plenty of writers on here who give you relevant information no matter which site you play on!

For you first time players, if you would like $20 in free DraftKings dollars, use this link for the referral bonus with your first deposit of $5 or more! Then continue reading for tips on how to turn those DraftKings dollars into more!

WASHINGTON, DC – JULY 17: Justin Verlander #35 of the Houston Astros and the American League looks on from the dugout in the second inning against the National League during the 89th MLB All-Star Game, presented by Mastercard at Nationals Park on July 17, 2018 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images) /

Top Tier:

Justin Verlander ($13,400): The Rangers are only hitting .213 with eight homers and 17 runs in 267 at bats against Verlander with 81 strikeouts. Honestly, deGrom’s numbers look better, but the Pirates offense is light years ahead of the Rangers right now. Verlander has already faced Texas four times this year. He has racked up 106.8 DraftKings points in those four starts. Another 25+ DraftKings points are pretty much a sure thing tonight.

Jacob deGrom ($12,900): Here we find a conundrum right off the bat. On one hand, the Pirates are hitting just .190 with one homer and three runs in 63 at bats against deGrom. On the other, the Pirates are one of the hottest hitting teams on the planet right now. That said, this is a pitcher’s park and deGrom has been absolutely dominant this year with a 1.71 ERA in 20 starts. That is not a typo. The Bucs stop here tonight. I wouldn’t use a single Pirate against deGrom.

Patrick Corbin ($10,700): Greinke dominated the Padres last night, and it will likely happen again tonight. Corbin has a 2.70 ERA in ten road starts, and racked up 33.7 DraftKings points in his first game against San Diego. The Padres have decent numbers against Corbin overall, but I’m going to trust the 2018 numbers and splits here. Corbin could end up scoring as much as the top tier pitchers tonight and save you a couple thousand.

Middle Tier:

Gio Gonzalez ($7,600): Some say Gio is hard to read. He really isn’t. You just have to use him when the matchup is right. It is tonight. In seven career starts at Marlins Park, Gonzalez is 4-2 with a 2.91 ERA, and most of those occurred with Stanton in the Marlins lineup. For the price, Gonzalez gives us a strong mid range option if we choose to fade the top tier entirely. However, the concerning thing with Gonzalez is the fact that he has not struck out more than five in a game since June 2nd. We have to treat him as not really having strikeout upside right now. That said, the Marlins are only hitting .231 against Gio with no homers and six runs in 108 at bats.

Max Fried ($7,100): We have an interesting thing here. Fried has dominated in his rehab starts, and has serious strikeout upside at a very low price. Let us not forget that Fried has a 2.57 ERA at home this year. Most of the Dodgers’ power comes from the left side, so there is some solid potential here. I like Fried in GPP’s for the strikeout upside.

Bargain Pitchers:

Jalen Beeks ($5,900): Beeks will be the first pitcher used after the opener Ryne Stanek tonight. We don’t know much about him except that he will be facing the Orioles, and, well, that’s enough. This offense has been a mess without Machado. That said, they have a ton of righties facing a young lefty, so this really could blow up in your face. Just look what happened to Yarbrough on Thursday. However, it is fair to keep in mind that his stats are skewed because the Rays have only used him twice this year, both times against Boston. That will make anyone’s stats look bad.

Lucas Giolito ($4,800): Don’t look now, but Giolito has registered three straight quality starts. A fourth appears imminent against Toronto. We all knew that Giolito is much better than he has pitched this year, so this is just things evening out. We stacked against him for three months. Now we get to use him for a while.

DENVER, CO – JULY 24: George Springer #4 of the Houston Astros celebrates in the dugout after scoring on a home run by teammate Alex Bregman in the first inning against the Colorado Rockies during interleague play at Coors Field on July 24, 2018 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Justin Edmonds/Getty Images) /

Houston Astros vs. Ariel Jurado:

What did this poor kid do to get summoned from AA to face the Astros? That’s cruel. The White Sox knocked around Jurado in his first major league start back in May. The same thing is going to happen here. Josh Reddick and Marwin Gonzalez are good ways to keep the cost of the stack down, but you pretty much have to have Bregman, Altuve, and either Gattis or Springer in there.

Colorado Rockies vs. Brett Anderson:

The A’s trotted out a solid lefty last night, and Colorado was held to three runs. Don’t expect a repeat for many reasons, first and foremost being Nolan Arenado. Arenado is 5-13 with a homer and four RBI off of Anderson already. Ian Desmond, Charlie Blackmon, Trevor Story, and Iannetta are all worth a look here.

Oakland Athletics vs. Antonio Senzatela:

Senzatela is another anomaly. He has a 3.52 ERA in five home starts and a 7.08 ERA on the road. The savvy will try and attack this with Senzatela to try and pick up a cheap 15 DraftKings points. I’m going the other way. The A’s simply have too much power and don’t strike out enough to give Senzatela enough upside for me to chase him. Khris Davis, Matt Olson, and Matt Chapman are definitely locks here. Dustin Fowler and Nick Martini looks like great places to keep cost down.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Tyson Ross:

Ross has decent numbers, but Arizona has destroyed him this year. In two starts, Arizona has tagged Ross for nine runs in 9.2 innings. Overall, Arizona has four homers and 25 runs against Ross in only 122 at bats. Goldy has hammered Ross, going 9-27 with two homers and six RBI. Souza is 2-4 with a homer. David Peralta has five RBI against Ross. Pollock has four, despite having only two hits. If newly minted Eduardo Escobar is in the lineup, I want him too.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Felix Hernandez:

The Angels weren’t kind to King Felix the first time they faced him this year. Come to think of it, they haven’t shown him a kingly respect over the years either. The Angels are hitting .247 with 13 homers and 48 runs in 328 at bats against Felix. Trout is 30-81(.370) with seven homers, 13 runs, and 19 RBI. LOCK HIM IN! Kinsler has four homers and 20 runs against Felix. I would understand if you want to stop the stack there, but Upton, Simmons, and Luis Valbuena are worth looks as well.

MILWAUKEE, WI – JULY 23: Juan Soto #22 of the Washington Nationals strikes out in the fourth inning against the Milwaukee Brewers at Miller Park on July 23, 2018 in Milwaukee, Wisconsin. (Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images) /

Top Tier:

I don’t dislike Alex Wood enough to stack against him, but he has lived dangerously all year, and still has an ERA near 4. That is a poor combination in a hitter’s park. He will neutralize most of the lefty courtesies of SunTrust Park, but I still like Freddie Freeman here. Ozzie Albies and Ronald Acuna are on my radar as well.

Trevor Richards has pitched well lately, pitched better at home, and doesn’t have horrible numbers against the Nationals. A full stack is out, but I still want Juan Soto and maybe Bryce Harper here.

I will be leaving most of the Dodgers alone tonight, but Matt Kemp and Kike Hernandez are worth a look with young southpaw Max Fried on the hill.

Johnny Cueto hasn’t quite rounded back into form yet, but he hasn’t been bad enough to stack against. That said, I want Yelich in there, and possibly Cain or Thames as well.

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Middle Tier:

Do you trust Jalen Beeks? I don’t either. Mark Trumbo, Danny Valencia, and Adam Jones are all in play for me as nice bargain bats tonight.

Wil Myers is 9-22(.409) with a homer and eight runs against Patrick Corbin. Villanueva and Renfroe have homered off of him as well, but I’m not sure how crazy I want to get here.

For me, Jaime Barria doesn’t strike out enough batters to have me use him, even at a low price. However, I’m not going to rush to stack against him either. The WHIP is high and strikeouts low, but he has a knack for getting out of trouble. However, Mitch Haniger has hit two homers off of him in five at bats. Nelson Cruz is worth a look too.

Some people are going to use Kevin Gausman. I wont be one of them. He has just ten DraftKings points in two starts against Tampa this year. I would much rather go after him with Kiermaier, Mallex Smith, or Jake Bauers. Cron has homered off of him as well.

Jake Odorizzi is very familiar with Fenway Park and the Red Sox in general since he spent most of his career in the A.L. East. If you want to get to Odorizzi, it has been the mid tier Red Sox bats that have hit him over the years. Jackie Bradley has two of the four homers off of him despite the .190 average. Brock Holt and Steve Pearce have the others. The Red Sox have not hit the Twins well at all in this series. That may change today, but if it doesn’t, I’m not killing my lineup with Betts and Martinez again. Betts came through last night, but I think there are better places to spend the big money.

Rick Porcello is all over the place right now. I want some exposure to him in case he blows up again. Max Kepler is affordable, and has a homer and three RBI against Porcello. Grossman is the same. Brian Dozier has three homers and eight RBI, but I can’t justify that price on a slumping player. Logan Morrison is very tempting though.

The Blue Jays are starting John Axford today. Yes, that John Axford. They are stealing a page out of the Rays’ handbook in an attempt to make Jaime Garcia less terrible. It may work, but I’m damn sure playing the suddenly hot Jose Abreu because it likely wont work. Avisail Garcia looks pretty tempting as well.

If you don’t play Lourdes Gurriel Jr., you don’t like money. That’s the point we are at now. Gurriel has averaged 11.7 DraftKings points per game over his last ten games, and he is still under $4,000!

Bargain Shoppers:

It’s a small sample size, but the Mets have hit Trevor Williams pretty well. I’m not enough of a kamikaze DFS player to go after Williams, but I do like Devin Mesoraco here. The white-hot Conforto is worth a look as well, though the salary is a little off-putting now.

I will do what I have done all year when the Rangers face Verlander: start Robinson Chirinos. Chirinos is 4-14 with two homers and three RBI against Verlander so far. I wont touch anyone else in a Ranger uniform though.

Chase Anderson shut down the Giants last night, and Jhoulys Chacin may well do the same, but I don’t trust it. First off, Anderson’s numbers supported using him. The Giants have hit Chacin pretty well. Panda has three homers and five RBI against Chacin, and is dirt cheap. Posey and Hunter Pence have also taken Chacin deep, and are still in this tier. If you are looking to spend a bit more, Crawford and McCutchen are good options too, but I don’t want to stack in this park.

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