DFS MLB Game by Game Breakdown – Sunday, July 29

DFS MLB: BOSTON, MA - JUNE 09: Carlos Rodon #55 of the Chicago White Sox Pitches in the bottom of the second inning of the game against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on June 9, 2018 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Omar Rawlings/Getty Images)
DFS MLB: BOSTON, MA - JUNE 09: Carlos Rodon #55 of the Chicago White Sox Pitches in the bottom of the second inning of the game against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on June 9, 2018 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Omar Rawlings/Getty Images) /
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DFS MLB
DFS MLB: KANSAS CITY, MO – JUNE 19: Whit Merrifield #15 of the Kansas City Royals slides into third for a steal past Isiah Kiner-Falefa #9 of the Texas Rangers in the first inning at Kauffman Stadium on June 19, 2018 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Ed Zurga/Getty Images) /

Welcome into the Sunday edition of the DFS MLB Game by Game Breakdown! We have a nice 10 game slate on tap for this afternoon so let’s dig right in!

Last night, DFS MLB was pretty uneven scoring wise but we managed to crack the 120 barrier so it should have been a decent evening. We have a big slate and very limited time since it’s Sunday and we lock at 1:05 so let’s not daily dally around with Saturday night!

DFS MLB – Royals at Yankees

Royals Probable Starter – Burch Smith, RHP 

5.58 ERA, 1.46 WHIP and 23.6 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .296 average, .356 wOBA, 19.2 K rate, 38.2 fly ball rate and 40.0 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .226 average, .342 wOBA, 27.1 K rate, 47.1 fly ball rate and 47.8 hard hit rate

Looking at the fly ball rates for Smith in this spot has to be appealing from either side of the plate. Smith has been a little worse to lefties from the average standpoint and carries a little more strikeout ability to righties, but other than that it’s been about equal. I would probably skip out on Giancarlo Stanton in this spot since he’s been worse against righty pitching. To illustrate that, Aaron Hicks walks more, strikes out less, has a higher ISO and wOBA and is $900 cheaper. Smith throws his four seam over 60 percent to both sides of the plate and the highest xwOBA(.433) among regular players belongs to Miguel Andujar. I’d be willing to bet he goes overlooked in this spot but he really isn’t a bad play at all. The aforementioned Hicks is second in xwOBA with a .411. Didi Gregorius and Greg Bird both have ISO’s of at least .250 and this could be a nice relatively cheap stack in New York today.

Yankees Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Aaron Hicks, Miguel Andujar, Didi Gregorius

Secondary Options – Greg Bird, Gleyber Torres, Giancarlo Stanton

Yankees Probable Starter – J.A. Happ, LHP 

4.18 ERA, 1.18 WHIP and 27.4 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .184 average, .231 wOBA, 28.0 K rate, 23.7 fly ball rate and 27.9 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .238 average, .312 wOBA, 27.2 K rate, 43.4 fly ball rate and 31.2 hard hit rate

I think we’re down to just one hitter from the Royals to give heavy consideration to this afternoon. If we’re looking at wOBA and ISO for the Royals against lefties, it would appear that Whit Merrifield and Jorge Bonifacio would both be solid options. However, I don’t think I’ll have Bonifacio after looking at his xwOBA against lefty four seams because it’s an awful .191. Happ throws it 57 percent of the time. Even at just $2,600, it doesn’t seem like a very solid investment. Merrifield is still firmly in play because he’s carrying a .380 xwOBA against the fastball and on top of that, has an 1.018 OPS, .202 ISO and a .434 wOBA. There might be a lefty on the mound but Merrifield has 10 stolen bases against southpaw pitching and he’s swiped three bags in New York already. Happ himself is pretty interesting but you never know what you’ll get with him in his first game in pinstripes.

Royals Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Whit Merrifield

Secondary Options – None

Home Run Pick – Miguel Andujar

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DFS MLB: MINNEAPOLIS, MN – AUGUST 31: Jorge Polanco #11 of the Minnesota Twins hits a RBI double against the Chicago White Sox in the fifth inning during of their baseball game on August 31, 2017, at Target Field in Minneapolis, Minnesota.(Photo by Andy King/Getty Images) /

DFS MLB – Twins at Red Sox

Twins Probable Starter – Jose Berrios, RHP 

3.48 ERA, 1.00 WHIP and 25.4 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .192 average, .270 wOBA, 25.5 K rate, 43.2 fly ball rate and 36.4 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .228 average, .284 wOBA, 25.3 K rate, 35.2 fly ball rate and 31.8 hard hit rate

I wish Berrios was a little cheaper because I might be willing to take a shot at him in this matchup. Does it scare you if you pitch Berrios? Absolutely, but he brings 45+ upside whenever he pitches. The biggest issue is he has a few hitters that rate pretty well against him. Mookie Betts, Andrew Benintendi and Mitch Moreland all have an xwOBA over .485 against Berrios in their career matchups, albeit in a single digit sample size. Those three look good against the three main pitches Berrios throws, the fore seam, sinker and curveball. They’re all .430 or over and they all line up well via the ISO and wOBA metrics as well. Moreland’s average exit velocity of 93.8 catches your eye as well. I’d lean a two man mini stack if you want to play Red Sox with Betts and Moreland but I’m not sure I’ll jam them in. Berrios is capable of shutting down any lineup in baseball and he’s capable of blowing up as well. Each side is a GPP play only for me.

Red Sox Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Mookie Betts, Mitch Moreland, Andrew Benintendi

Secondary Options – J.D. Martinez, Xander Bogaerts

Red Sox Probable Starter – Nathan Eovaldi, RHP 

4.26 ERA, 0.98 WHIP and 23.7 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .247 average, .318 wOBA, 23.1 K rate, 37.5 fly ball rate and 38.4 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .203 average, .261 wOBA, 24.2 K rate, 37.1 fly ball rate and 30.3 hard hit rate

I’m not sure if anyone remembers, but the last time Eovaldi faced the Twins he hung a -13 in your lineup(I remember, fyi). I’m not willing to use him today given that and his splits to lefties. I still love Jorge Polanco since he’s been hot the past three games and he hits the main pitches for Eovaldi well. It’s a steady diet of four seamers and cutters to lefty hitters and Polanco has a .392 xwOBA. He’s also led the team in wOBA against righties since he’s returned from his suspension with a mark of .461. Eddie Rosario always catches my eye when he faces a righty with a mediocre profile so he’s a fantastic target today. His ISO is .283 and the wOBA is just a hair under .400. I have to laugh at the price jump for Miguel Sano from $2,000 to $3,000 overnight. His pitch data actually looked good and I would suggest taking a stab at him since he goose-egged so many players yesterday but $3,000 is too rich for my blood. I wouldn’t be surprised if it’s a rocky debut for Eovaldi.

Twins Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Eddie Rosario, Jorge Polanco, Logan Morrison

Secondary Options – Joe Mauer, Miguel Sano in a Twins stack

Home Run Pick – Jorge Polanco

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DFS MLB: BALTIMORE, MD – JULY 27: Ji-Man Choi #26 of the Tampa Bay Rays hits an RBI during the first inning against the Baltimore Orioles at Oriole Park at Camden Yards on July 27, 2018 in Baltimore, Maryland. (Photo by Patrick Smith/Getty Images) /

DFS MLB – Rays at Orioles

Rays Probable Starter – Yonny Chirinos, RHP 

3.78 ERA, 1.23 WHIP and 21.1 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .246 average, .300 wOBA, 19.7 K rate, 35.8 fly ball rate and 37.0 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .241 average, .295 wOBA, 22.7 K rate, 25.6 fly ball rate and 51.2 hard hit rate

I try not to say this too often, but I legitimately have no clue where to go with the Orioles offense today.

They have gone completely bananas these past two games and I can’t shake the feeling that they’re going to let me down if I start to buy in. Jonathan Schoop has been hot and his pitch data looks pretty interesting. He’s got a .489 xwOBA against the main three pitches for Chirinos and he’s got six home runs in the past eight games. Since he didn’t hit one yesterday, he has to be due today. Mark Trumbo looks interesting through that same lens with a .462 xwOBA but he’s backing that up with a .334 wOBA and .194 ISO. Trey Mancini and Joey Rickard are coming off mammoth games yesterday so if you wanted to try and ride the wave, I can’t blame you for that.

Orioles Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Jonathan Schoop, Mark Trumbo

Secondary Options – Trey Mancini, Joey Rickard

Orioles Probable Starter – Dylan Bundy, RHP 

4.57 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 25.1 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .301 average, .374 wOBA, 20.3 K rate, 47.2 fly ball rate and 36.4 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .200 average, .298 wOBA, 30.1 K rate, 46.4 fly ball rate and 33.1 hard hit rate

Whenever Bundy is on the mound, I generally go towards the lefty hitters and then get annoyed when he starts getting blasted by home runs from righties. He was getting trounced by Boston last time out but got saved by the rain. I’m finding it very hard to not running towards Jake Bauers. He’s a lefty power bat and he leads the team in ISO, wOBA and xwOBA against the four seam and slider. Since those are pitches Bundy leans on, a lot of factors really line up for Bauers today. His price tag of $3,400 is perfectly reasonable as well. Ji-Man Choi could be pretty sneaky as well. He hits lefties and is second in xwOBA to go along with a respectable .349 wOBA. At just $2,500, he’s a real salary saver that could come in handy. If you want to accept a touch more risk and chase a righty hitter, C.J. Cron is who you want. He’s the only Rays hitter other than Bauers with an ISO over .200. Bundy is not trustworthy at all and it should be noted he technically is only on three days rest. He threw 30 pitches in the rain shortened on Wednesday.

Rays Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Jake Bauers, Ji-Man Choi

Secondary Options – C.J. Cron

Home Run Pick – Ji-Man Choi

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DFS MLB: PHILADELPHIA, PA – JUNE 10: Zach Eflin #56 of the Philadelphia Phillies throws a pitch in the top of the first inning against the Milwaukee Brewers at Citizens Bank Park on June 10, 2018 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Mitchell Leff/Getty Images) /

DFS MLB – Phillies at Reds

Phillies Probable Starter – Zach Eflin, RHP 

3.41 ERA, 1.15 WHIP and 23.1 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .252 average, .337 wOBA, 22.7 K rate, 48.4 fly ball rate and 28.0 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .222 average, .269 wOBA, 22.3 K rate, 37.5 fly ball rate and 27.0 hard hit rate

You’re going to be better off chasing the lefties from this side of the game after looking at the splits. Eflin has stayed on top of the righty hitters and there’s only two lefty hitters that scare you. Jory Votto and Scooter Gennett both smack the righty fastball as well, which Eflin leans on more than 50 percent of the time. Other than that, it’s a pretty mixed bag so I’m not sure the pitch data is going point us in any one direction. He throws a variety of pitches other than the four seam. I’m playing Gennett instead of Votto until further notice because Votto is just not putting balls in the seats like you’re accustomed to. Lefty Mason Williams is in the outfield for the Phillies and is bare minimum. It would strictly be a salary saver and splits play because he only has three games at the major league level.

Reds Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Scooter Gennett

Secondary Options – Joey Votto, Mason Williams

Reds Probable Starter – Luis Castillo, RHP 

5.30 ERA, 1.36 WHIP and 21.6 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .292 average, .385 wOBA, 20.9 K rate, 38.8 fly ball rate and 44.5 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .235 average, .294 wOBA, 22.3 K rate, 29.0 fly ball rate and 34.5 hard hit rate

We always want some lefties against Castillo and today might be an exception where we play a righty as well. Rhys Hoskins is on some kind of tear right now with eight home runs in his past eighth games. He’s seeing beach ball sat the plate right now and is somewhat of a scary fade. The lefties that we need to talk about are Odubel Herrera, Carlos Santana and Nick Williams. Santana is a fine play but the numbers across the board are good but not great. $3,900 feels a little steep and I would be more likely to play Herrera and Williams. Among regular players, Herrera leads the team in xwOBA against Castillo’s main two pitches. Herrera is down at .307 but has a .205 ISO to ally some of the fears from the pitch data. Castillo has been so prone to home runs against lefties(2.02 HR/9) this year that I won’t talk you out of playing any Philly lefty with power.

Phillies Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Odubel Herrera, Nick Williams, Rhys Hoskins

Secondary Options – Carlos Santana, Cesar Hernandez

Home Run Pick – Odubel Herrera

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DFS MLB: CLEVELAND, OH – APRIL 25: Jason Kipnis #22 celebrates with Francisco Lindor #12 of the Cleveland Indians after Lindor scored on an error during the eighth inning against the Chicago Cubs at Progressive Field on April 25, 2018 in Cleveland, Ohio. (Photo by Jason Miller/Getty Images) /

DFS MLB – Indians at Tigers

Indians Probable Starter – Corey Kluber, RHP 

2.88 ERA, 0.95 WHIP and 25.1 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .208 average, .265 wOBA, 27.1 K rate, 32.7 fly ball rate and 35.3 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .230 average, .272 wOBA, 23.3 K rate, 35.9 fly ball rate and 38.0 hard hit rate

Man, Kluber has not been very good lately. He hasn’t been over 34 points in over a month and his strikeout rate continues to plummet and the ERA is creeping up. He’s owned Detroit through his career and this should be a bounce back spot for him by all the numbers. Detroit is not good at all against righty pitching and the $10.600 for Kluber is tempting me. Even though he might not be the ace we all though at the beginning of the season, he’s still a very good pitcher. I don’t want to play any Tigers hitters and Kluber is firmly in play for me. If he can’t get it done today, it’s time to raise some serious red flags.

Tigers Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – None

Secondary Options -None

Tigers Probable Starter – Jordan Zimmermann, RHP 

3.97 ERA, 1.16 WHIP and 23.1 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .235 average, .299 wOBA, 24.1 K rate, 40.8 fly ball rate and 34.7 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .263 average, .311 wOBA, 22.1 K rate, 48.1 fly ball rate and 34.0 hard hit rate

Zimmermann has continued to be just good enough that he might frustrate your offensive players against him but not good enough to play him. He does have some concerning xwOBA numbers against three Cleveland batters. In order, Yonder Alonso(.930), Jose Ramirez(.614) and Jason Kipnis(.548) have crushed Zimmermann through their careers. The fly balls are scary against the Indians. There appears to be a good amount of smoke and mirrors with Zimmermann and the Indians might be the one to break through. Cleveland has four hitters with an ISO over .200 and Ramirez is far over .300. They appear to be one of the better offensive injuries on the board today.

Indians Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Jose Ramirez, Yonder Alonso, Jason Kipnis

Secondary Options – Francisco Lindor, Edwin Encarnacion

Home Run Pick – Yonder Alonso

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DFS MLB: PHOENIX, AZ – MAY 13: Bryce Harper #34 of the Washington Nationals is congratulated by Matt Adams #15 after hitting a solo home run in the third inning of the MLB game against the Arizona Diamondbacks at Chase Field on May 13, 2018 in Phoenix, Arizona. (Photo by Jennifer Stewart/Getty Images) /

DFS MLB – Nationals at Marlins

Nationals Probable Starter – Jeremy Hellickson, RHP 

3.44 ERA, 1.09 WHIP and 19.0 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .248 average, .330 wOBA, 18.7 K rate, 28.4 fly ball rate and 29.5 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .226 average, .262 wOBA, 19.3 K rate, 32.2 fly ball rate and 28.3 hard hit rate

As is the case most of the time, I’m really only looking at the two main threats on the Marlins offense. Justin Bour is on the right side of the splits and the home run upside is palpable at just $2,500. He also has the second highest ISO against righties on the team behind J.T. Realmuto. He’s fresh off a walk-off hit last night and has been smoking righty pitching all season. H leads the squad in OPS, ISO and wOBA this year and is under 17 percent for his strikeout rate. I’d put my chips on Realmuto in that matchup. I can’t get on board with playing Hellickson because he’s almost guaranteed to not get to the six inning mark and doesn’t have a crazy high strikeout rate. There’s no real upside in that and the floor for Hellickson is dangerously low.

Marlins Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – None

Secondary Options – J.T. Realmuto, Justin Bour

Marlins Probable Starter – Jose Urena, RHP 

4.63 ERA, 1.25 WHIP and 19.8 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .268 average, .328 wOBA, 17.3 K rate, 30.5 fly ball rate and 44.7 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .248 average, .299 wOBA, 22.4 K rate, 27.1 fly ball rate and 38.6 hard hit rate

Urena is basically average across the board and doesn’t have a weakness that really sticks out here. He’s slightly worse against lefties but the thing that could wind up hurting him is how much he throws his four seamer. It’s over 55 percent of the time to either side of the plate and you have to take notice of Juan Soto. The youngster has a ridiculous xwOBA of .518 against righty fastballs in his short career. Urena has given up eight homers to lefties so far and that would be where I concentrated on for the Nationals. If Matt Adams is in the lineup, he’s a great option. He leads Washington everyday players in ISO and wOBA and has an xwOBA over .400 against righty four seamers. I doubt too many people would look his way this afternoon. The offense for the Nationals doesn’t always come up big in these spots, but they’re set up for success.

Nationals Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Matt Adams, Juan Soto, Bryce Harper

Secondary Options – Trea Turner, Daniel Murphy

Home Run Pick – Matt Adams

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DFS MLB: LOS ANGELES, CA – JULY 01: Matt Kemp #27 of the Los Angeles Dodgers celebrates a solo home run against the Colorado Rockies in the eighth inning at Dodger Stadium on July 1, 2018 in Los Angeles, California. (Photo by John McCoy/Getty Images) /

DFS MLB – Dodgers at Braves

Dodgers Probable Starter – Ross Stripling, RHP 

2.43 ERA, 1.10 WHIP and 28.2 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .235 average, .266 wOBA, 30.9 K rate, 31.8 fly ball rate and 25.7 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .258 average, .312 wOBA, 25.3 K rate, 36.2 fly ball rate and 35.0 hard hit rate

The last start for Stripling was one of his worst of the season and there’s a chance that he could get roughed up by this Atlanta offense. However, Stripling has been tougher on lefties which is a positive when facing the Braves. He should face at least four, five if Ozzie Albies makes his return after sitting out last night. I like his chances to pitch well in this game and I wouldn’t go nuts with Atlanta hitters. My favorite two plays would be Freddie Freeman just because he’s capable of a monster game regardless of who’s on the mound and an against the grain Ronald Acuna. I have a feeling that many players will go towards Braves lefties if the play Atlanta. Acuna is up to a .244 ISO against righties and ranks second behind only Freeman in xwOBA against the main pitches for Stripling. This is a stack it or forget it game for me. I think Stripling is a fine tournament play but would withhold him in cash.

Braves Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Freddie Freeman, Ronald Acuna

Secondary Options – Nick Markakis, Johan Camargo, Ozzie Albies

Braves Probable Starter – Sean Newcomb, LHP 

3.41 ERA, 1.28 WHIP and 22.1 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .192 average, .327 wOBA, 23.8 K rate, 37.7 fly ball rate and 39.6 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .216 average, .285 wOBA, 21.7 K rate, 33.9 fly ball rate and 31.9 hard hit rate

Seeing as how he’s had exactly one good start in the past month and a half, you can’t really consider Newcomb un anything other than a big tournament. I’d be against even that as it doesn’t look good for Newcomb via the pitch data. Matt Kemp has to be one of the better options on the entire slate. The OPS is over 1.000, ISO is a team-leading .327 and his .423 wOBA is good for second behind lefty Max Muncy. If that isn’t enough, Kemp as an enormous .722 again lefty four seamers. Sounds like it could be a good day to deploy Kemp. Chris Taylor, Kiki Hernadez and Yasiel Puig would be about as far as I could go with other hitters. Newcomb hasn’t been good for a while and the Dodgers could pay off immediately.

Dodgers Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Matt Kemp, Chris Taylor

Secondary Options – Kike Hernandez, Yasiel Puig, Max Muncy

Home Run Pick – Matt Kemp

DFS MLB
DFS MLB: NEW YORK, NY – JULY 14: Zack Wheeler #45 of the New York Mets pitches in the sixth inning against the Washington Nationals at Citi Field on July 14, 2018 in the Flushing neighborhood of the Queens borough of New York City. (Photo by Jim McIsaac/Getty Images) /

DFS MLB – Mets at Pirates

Mets Probable Starter – Zack Wheeler, RHP 

4.33 ERA, 1.30 WHIP and 22.5 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .264 average, .332 wOBA, 23.3 K rate, 38.1 fly ball rate and 34.5 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .232 average, .271 wOBA, 21.9 K rate, 33.0 fly ball rate and 21.3 hard hit rate

The splits seem to favor the lefty hitters in this spot but I’m still finding myself wanting to take a chance with one righty in Francisco Cervelli. He leads the Pirates in wOBA against righties and crushes the four seam fastball to the tune of a .445 xwOBA. Colin Moran has one that’s even higher at .465 and could be a cheap way to get access to the Pirates lefties. Gregory Polanco also is a good lefty to pick from although it would cost significantly more than Cervelli. It’s really a shame that the Pirates lost Corey Dickerson to a hamstring injury earlier in the season. Wheeler is a GPP option.

Pirates Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Colin Moran, Gregory Polanco

Secondary Options – Francisco Cervelli.

Pirates Probable Starter – Joe Musgrove, RHP 

3.90 ERA, 1.32 WHIP and 20.0 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .283 average, .343 wOBA, 16.9 K rate, 28.9 fly ball rate and 34.8 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .240 average, .293 wOBA, 22.8 K rate, 39.8 fly ball rate and 31.9 hard hit rate

We know the drill when it comes to picking hitters against their pitchers and that’s find some lefties worth playing for some power upside. At this point with the Mets lineup, that leaves us with Brandon Nimmo and Michael Conforto. Musgrove throws five different pitches at least 10 percent of the time looking at pitch data isn’t going to help here. Nimmo continues to fall back to the normal and Conforto is just a player. Nimmo still does have a .250 ISO even though he’s been scuffling for a little bit now. I actually like Musgrove here quite a bit. He’s been on a pretty good roll lately and is plenty cheap enough. If it wasn’t for Clint Hurdle yanking him early, he would have at least four straight games of 30+ points.

Mets Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – None

Secondary Options –Brandon Nimmo, Michael Conforto

Home Run Pick – Gregory Polanco

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DFS MLB: DENVER, CO – JULY 24: George Springer #4 of the Houston Astros celebrates in the dugout after scoring on a home run by teammate Alex Bregman in the first inning against the Colorado Rockies during interleague play at Coors Field on July 24, 2018 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Justin Edmonds/Getty Images) /

DFS MLB – Rangers at Astros

Rangers Probable Starter – Mike Minor, LHP 

4.83 ERA, 1.22 WHIP and 19.2 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .224 average, .284 wOBA, 22.1 K rate, 33.3 fly ball rate and 35.6 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .258 average, .347 wOBA, 18.6 K rate, 46.9 fly ball rate and 42.2 hard hit rate

Will the Astros offense actually show up today? They haven’t the past two for the most part and they draw a third straight favorable matchup against lefty Mike Minor this afternoon. It might seem crazy to say this for a player that’s $4,200, but that price is way too cheap for Alex Bregman. He checks all the boxes a he’s a flat out monster against lefty pitching, rocking a .433 wOBA, a stone cold .316 ISO and a 1.035 OPS. In addition, the xwOBA is monstrous at .448 against the main two offerings from Minor. George Springer is never going to be a bad pick against a lefty and his pitch data backs that up as well. A nice salary saver is Max Stassi, who’s about due to pay off for us. His xwOBA, ISO and wOBA are too good for a player that I haven’t been getting right lately. These Astro righties should be able to get to Minor today.

Astros Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – George Springer, Alex Bregman

Secondary Options – Evan Gattis, Max Stassi

Astros Probable Starter – Lance McCullers, RHP 

4.01 ERA, 1.20 WHIP and 25.3 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .175 average, .260 wOBA, 29.4 K rate, 27.9 fly ball rate and 30.7 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .253 average, .328 wOBA, 21.5 K rate, 25.7 fly ball rate and 35.1 hard hit rate

It’s not the fairest thing ever because there was the All-Star break in the middle, but the last two starts for McCullers have not been good. He’s given up 11 runs total and it hasn’t been pretty. The good news is the Rangers strikeout out at the third highest clip in baseball. Since McCullers is tougher on lefties, it’s a steer clear spot for me. I would full blown stack against McCullers because if he does struggle again, it’ll be tough to know where it’s going to come from. I’d rather pitch McCullers, but this whole side of the game seems kind of boring. It’s also a dangerous matchup for both sides which is why I’m genuinely using McCullers in GPP and that’s about it.

Rangers Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – None

Secondary Options – Stack with Andrus and Beltre, go fro there.

Home Run Pick – Alex Bregman

DFS MLB
DFS MLB: BOSTON, MA – JULY 12: Teoscar Hernandez #37 of the Toronto Blue Jays celebrates after hitting a two run home run against the Boston Red Sox during the first inning at Fenway Park on July 12, 2018 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images) /

DFS MLB – Blue Jays at White Sox

Blue Jays Probable Starter – Ryan Borucki, LHP 

2.79 ERA, 1.48 WHIP and 18.0 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .250 average, .246 wOBA, 18.2 K rate, 30.8 fly ball rate and 30.8 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .291 average, .335 wOBA, 17.9 K rate, 30.4 fly ball rate and 34.8 hard hit rate

I always like playing Tim Anderson at my shortstop slot when there’s lefty on the mound. The xwOBA looks good(.386), to go along with solid wOBA and a good ISO as well. It helps he’s only $2,800 on top of all the factors that line up as well. Jose Abreu is a good option because he’s stronger against lefty hitters but the price jumped to $3,600 and that seems like too much. A double dong game sure helped get that right back high to borderline unplayable levels. I think I might just target Anderson as Borucki hasn’t given up a home run to either side of the plate.

White Sox Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – Jose Abreu, Time Anderson

Secondary Options – Matt Davidson, Avisail Garcia

White Sox Probable Starter – Carlos Rodon, LHP

3.38 ERA, 1.11 WHIP and 20.6 strikeout rate

Vs LHH – .211 average, .306 wOBA, 20.9 K rate, 31.0 fly ball rate and 41.4 hard hit rate

Vs RHH – .189 average, .270 wOBA, 20.5 K rate, 45.6 fly ball rate and 23.7 hard hit rate

With the exception of ISO, the Blue Jays rank 19th or worse in average, OPS, wOBA, and wRC+. This could be another Carlos Rodon day. We’ve seen his talent the past two starts as he scored 50+ against St. Louis and at Anaheim. I might take a shot at Teoscar Hernandez with his .304 ISO but that might be it. Rodon is a very good pitcher when things are good and the health holds out for him. I think Rodon scores another 40+ today and won’t have any Blue Jays on my final squad.

Blue Jays Hitters to Target 

Elite Options – None

Secondary Options – Tesocar Hernandez

Home Run Pick – Matt Davidson

DFS MLB
DFS MLB: BOSTON, MA – JUNE 09: Carlos Rodon #55 of the Chicago White Sox pitches in the bottom of the first inning of the game against the Boston Red Sox at Fenway Park on June 9, 2018 in Boston, Massachusetts. (Photo by Omar Rawlings/Getty Images) /

DFS MLB – FanDuel Sample Lineup

P – Carlos Rodon

C/1B – Mitch Moreland

2B – Whit Merrifield

3B – Alex Bregman

SS – Tim Anderson 

OF – Nick Williams, Brett Gardner, Mallex Smith 

Utility – Jake Bauers 

I’m not really crazy about the high end of starting pitcher today so I’m plenty happy to drop back and redistribute that extra money. We have a mini stack of Tampa lefties against Bundy, which makes a lot of sense on paper. After that, it’s one off city today. Everyone stands out in their individual matchup and is primed for success. I’m sure lineup cards will have something to say about that.

The Core – Alex Bregman, Jake Bauers, Mallex Smith

Pitching to Consider  

High End – Corey Kluber, Ross Stripling

Mid-Range – J.A. Happ, Zach Eflin, Carlos Rodon

Punts – Joe Musgrove

Stacks to Consider – New York Yankees, Cleveland Indians, Boston Red Sox, Philadelphia Phillies, Los Angeles Dodgers, Houston Astros

Next. MLB DFS Bargain Bin. dark

As always, may fortune be on your side and make sure to follow me on Twitter @bucn4life as MLB allows late swap. If there’s a late scratch and/or lineup cards aren’t put in for the late games, this article will always be updated on Twitter ASAP.