MLB DFS Picks – Standouts: August 2nd

MLB DFS Picks: SAN DIEGO, CA – JULY 31: Brandon Crawford #35 of the San Francisco Giants hits an RBI single during the tenth inning of a baseball game against the San Diego Padres PETCO Park on July 31, 2018 in San Diego, California. (Photo by Denis Poroy/Getty Images) /

MLB DFS Picks – Standouts: August 2nd

Tonight’s MLB DFS Picks slate features nine games with, Texas (5.9), Washington (5.1), Boston (5.1), Philadelphia (5), and New York (5), holding the best projected team totals. With high-priced pitchers like, Max Scherzer, Clayton Kershaw, and Zack Greinke available, finding value will be critical for success tonight. We’ll be aiming to highlight MLB DFS picks from the perspective of batted ball data, batter splits, line movement, and stolen base upside.

MLB DFS Picks: Batted Ball Stats

Brandon Crawford – DK $3300, FD $2900

To say that Brandon Crawford has struggled of late, is putting it lightly. Crawford has been abysmal as far as fantasy production is concern, however, his batted ball stats would indicate that he’s been fairly “unlucky”. In the last 15 days, his batted ball distance is up 10 feet, his exit velocity has remained the same, and his hard hit percentage is down only 5%, over his yearly average. Crawford was priced well into the mid $4000’s last month, so it may be worth buying low, on a player that should see positive regression.

Batter Splits

Nick Williams – DK $4100, FD $2500

Nick Williams will draw an advantageous matchup tonight, as he faces the righty, Pablo Lopez. Williams is much better against right-handed pitching, with a .351 wOBA split (.034 better than when facing a lefty) and a .224 ISO split (.141 better than when facing a lefty). Williams is a much more viable on FanDuel, as he only costs $2500.

Matt Adams – DK $4400, FD $2900

Matt Adams is another lefty that is in a positive matchup tonight. Adams will face the righty, Tyler Mahle. Adams is much better against right-handed pitching, with a .378 wOBA split (.097 better than when facing a lefty) and a .281 ISO split (.138 better than when facing a lefty).

Line Movement

MLB DFS Picks: MIAMI, FL – JULY 26: Bryce Harper #34 and Trea Turner #7 of the Washington Nationals celebrate beating the Miami Marlins at Marlins Park on July 26, 2018 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Mark Brown/Getty Images) /

Washington Batters

Washington will host the visiting Cincinnati Reds, in a game in which the Nationals opened as -280 favorites. There hasn’t been significant movement on the side, but that’s not the same case for the total. The game total opened at 7.5 runs, but is now up a half of a run, to 8. As mentioned, the Nationals will face Tyler Mahle, who has really struggled in his last three appearances. His recent batted ball stats confirm his struggles, as his opposing batted ball distance is up 14 feet, his exit velocity is up 3 MPH, and his hard hit percentage is up 12%, over his yearly average. It should also be noted the wind looks like it will be blowing out to left center field, at around 12 MPH.

Stolen Base Upside

Atlanta Runners

There aren’t any standout matchups from a base running perceptive tonight, but one to consider, would be Atlanta base runners against the lefty, Jason Vargas. While he is a lefty, he has allowed four stolen bases over just 42 innings pitched. This could benefit batters like Ender Inciarte, who has stolen 23 bases this year, tied for 7th most.

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