DraftKings MLB Picks August 13: deGrom or Severino?

NEW YORK, NY – JUNE 29: A Metropolitan Transportation Authority (MTA) subway station stands in Manhattan on June 29, 2017 in New York City. Following a series of breakdowns, delays and political fingerpointing, New York Gov. Andrew M. Cuomo has declared a state of emergency for the subway system on Thursday and said he would sign an executive order to accelerate efforts to improve service. (Photo by Spencer Platt/Getty Images) /

DraftKings MLB Picks August 13: deGrom or Severino?

We have ten games here on Monday for the main DraftKings tournament. The Braves and Marlins are double dipping, so watch for changed pitchers and resting players in the nightcap. Other than that, we have a pretty well staggered pitching slate. Who is worth the price? Let’s check it out!

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There is a good chance for a delayed start to the Subway series, but the game should get played without an issue. There is a rain chance in KC, but it wont be enough to rain it out. The delay chance is mostly in-game, and neither starter projects to go deep in this game anyway.

The only rain is the usual one blowing out to right in Oakland.

We will provide you with several options to build your lineup here. Want to spend all your money on pitchers and play bargain bats? We will highlight who is worth the money. Want to punt arms and pay up for the big boppers? We can help you with that as well, and everything in between!

These tips are based mostly on past performance. This is a nice tool for building a lineup, but should not be the only pieces of information you use. We have plenty of writers on here who give you relevant information no matter which site you play on!

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NEW YORK, NY – AUGUST 03: Jacob deGrom #48 of the New York Mets pitches in the first inning against the Atlanta Braves at Citi Field on August 3, 2018 in the Flushing neighborhood of the Queens borough of New York City. (Photo by Mike Stobe/Getty Images) /

Top Tier:

Jacob deGrom ($12,300): With all due respect to Max, deGrom has been the best pitcher in the National League this year. He doesn’t have great career stats against the Yankees, but deGrom racked up 26.4 DraftKings points against a Yankee lineup with Aaron Judge earlier this year. However, that was at home. deGrom has a 8.03 ERA in two career starts at Yankee Stadium, so there is ample risk here.

Luis Severino ($11,800): Severino got back on track last week against the White Sox. Maybe. He played such a bad team that we just don’t know. We won’t find out tonight either. The Mets are equally bad, and Severino has dominated at home. He has a 2.31 ERA in 11 home starts this season. I expect a pitcher’s duel in Yankee Stadium. Severino probably has more upside since there is a better offense behind him and deGrom’s Yankee Stadium woes. I’m certainly not going to say playing deGrom is a bad idea though.

Mike Foltynewicz ($10,500): I haven’t used Folty a lot lately, and the price has an awful lot to do with it. He has held the Marlins to a .207 average in 58 at bats with one homer, four runs, and 12 strikeouts. Foltynewicz only pitched five innings against the Marlins in his first meeting against them, but that resulted in 20.3 DraftKings points. Folty’s issue has been going deep into games. There is a lot of potential here provided that he can last six innings or more.

Middle Tier:

Clayton Kershaw ($10,000): The Giants are only hitting .226 in 389 at bats against Kershaw with six homers, 22 runs, and 82 strikeouts. The bad news is that Kershaw only has 27.8 DraftKings points in two starts against the Giants this year. The ironic part is that Kershaw has a 1.39 ERA against the Giants this year. This hasn’t really been a Kershaw type year, but it’s hard to ignore him against the Giants.

Andrew Heaney ($8,400): It’s hard to trust Heaney considering he has given up nine runs in his last two starts against two questionable offenses in Detroit and Tampa. San Diego could be worse than both. However, the Padres have a ton of right handed power. That makes this a big risk, but there could be a handsome reward waiting if you take the chance.

Marco Gonzales ($7,600): Gonzales has faced Oakland twice this year and come away with 34.6 DraftKings points. I think ownership is going to be lower on Gonzales after he got pounded at Texas last week. While it is true that Gonzales has a much worse ERA on the road, Oakland is a pitcher’s park. I could still see Gonzales having a solid game here. The A’s are only hitting .217 off of Gonzales in 46 at bats with no homers, four runs, and 14 strikeouts.

Bargain Pitchers:

Reynaldo Lopez ($6,300): Lopez has held the Tigers to a .218 average in 55 at bats, however, he has allowed as many runs as strikeouts. Lopez has faced the Tigers three times already, and racked up 42 DraftKings points. That’s a solid total for the price range, but the lack of strikeout upside really limits the upside of Lopez here. Still, he is a sure thing at a reasonable price.

Sean Reid-Foley ($4,400): Foley brings a good AAA strikeout rate to the majors against a pretty bad Royals team. Not a bad place to make a major league debut. Since the Royals have scored the least runs in the majors this year, taking a shot on Foley is actually not a bad idea.

CLEVELAND, OH – AUGUST 04: Jose Ramirez #11and Francisco Lindor #12 of the Cleveland Indians celebrate after Lindor scored against against the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim during the sixth inning at Progressive Field on August 4, 2018 in Cleveland, Ohio. The Indians defeated the Angels 3-0. (Photo by David Maxwell/Getty Images) /

Cleveland Indians vs. Homer Bailey:

Bailey got thumped in New York his last time out. Understandable, right? Not when it’s the Mets doing the thumping. It was bound to happen at some point, but that may be the rule rather than the exception. Cleveland has a ton of power in a hitter’s park. Lindor and Jose Ramirez are the elite plays. Michael Brantley is a notch below. The real sleeper here could be Yonder Alonso with Edwin out. Jason Kipnis or Greg Allen are good ways to finish off the stack.

Atlanta Braves vs. Merandy Gonzalez:

The only thing that we think we know for sure is that Freddie Freeman is playing. Beyond that, it’s anyone’s guess. This will be a wait and see who’s playing stack. Gonzalez hasn’t been horrible this year, but he has never played in Atlanta either. Atlanta inflates the ERA of right handed pitchers. Ozzie Albies and Camargo would seem to be locks to play as well. Fill in around these three with middle of the order hitters, preferably from the left side.

St. Louis Cardinals vs. Tom Milone:

Don’t believe in Milone? You’re not alone. The wheels finally fell off against Atlanta. It could happen here as well. St Louis has quite a few right handed bats to throw at Milone. Jedd Gyorko hasn’t had a great year, but he kills lefties. Harrison Bader, Marcell Ozuna, Yadier Molina, Paul DeJong, and Jose Martinez are all worth a look. Carpenter even hits lefties well enough to throw in there if you are willing to pay up.

Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Bartolo Colon:

Colon has had a solid year, but he is still allowing homers at an alarming rate. He has given up four in just 86 at bats against Arizona. Alex Avila has two of those in nine at bats. Pollock and Jay have the others, but I’m not sure that any of them are who I’m after here. Goldy, Souza, and Nick Ahmed may be the most dangerous as Colon allows more homers to righties than lefties. That said, you can’t rule out David Peralta and his hot streak either.

Los Angeles Angels vs. Clayton Richard:

Yes, Richard is struggling, but the Angels are without Trout and possibly Andrelton Simmons. What does this mean? A cheaper stack! Pujols and Jefry Marte are going to be popular against a lefty, as will whoever starts at catcher. Ohtani and Kole Calhoun hit lefties well enough to consider here as well.

WASHINGTON, DC – AUGUST 07: Bryce Harper #34 and Juan Soto #22 of the Washington Nationals celebrate after scoring on a double by Ryan Zimmerman #11 (not pictured) in the sixth inning against the Atlanta Braves at Nationals Park on August 7, 2018 in Washington, DC. (Photo by Patrick McDermott/Getty Images) /

Top Tier:

Miles Mikolas has earned the right to not be stacked against. His numbers this year speak for themselves. However, I’m not using him against the lefty bats of the Nats. Juan Soto and Bryce Harper would be how I choose to attack this. Matt Adams and Adam Eaton are worth a look as well, but I don’t know that I would use more than two Nationals here.

By no means will I be attacking deGrom, but Giancarlo Stanton is definitely worth a look. He is 9-25(.360) with four homers and eight RBI against deGrom. Brett Gardner is the only other Yankee to homer off of deGrom.

I wont stack against Sean Manaea, but I can give reasons why it’s not a horrible idea. That said, there are better stacking options. Regardless of what you choose, Nelson Cruz is a late night hammer. Cruz is 7-18(.389) with three homers and eight RBI against Manaea. Ryon Healy is worth a look as well, but Cruz is the only one that I’m really excited about.

I can’t in good conscious recommend a White Sox stack, but if there were ever a time to do it, it’s against Artie Lewicki. Jose Abreu is my favorite Sox player, but Moncada and Palka are probably better as lefties. If you want to go with a full stack, Avi Garcia, Tim Anderson, and Matt Davidson are worth a look.

Hunter Renfroe is on fire, and is facing a struggling lefty in Andrew Heaney. Carlos Villanueva is definitely worth a look here as well.

Shin-Soo Choo is the guy to go after against Greinke. I don’t trust Greinke in Texas, and his career numbers aren’t good either. Choo is 12-45(.267) with a homer and eight RBI against Greinke. Beltre and Elvis Andrus are worth a look as well.

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Middle Tier:

Joey Votto homered against Mike Clevinger earlier this year. He is the only Red that I would really want here, but that doesn’t mean I’m comfortable using Clevinger either. Cincinnati is a dangerous place for pitchers. Billy Hamilton is starting to heat up, and is worth a look as well.

Buster Posey is one of the few that I would play against Kershaw. He is only hitting .238 in 105 at bats, but Posey has three homers and ten RBI against Kershaw. McCutchen is 10-33(.303) with a homer and four RBI.

Brad Keller is far too inconsistent to rely on here, even against a Toronto team that sometimes has problems scoring runs. Curtis Granderson, Justin Smoak, and Kendrys Morales are all reasonably priced options with decent upside. I would rather go after Keller than use him.

Jed Lowrie and Mark Canha would be my targets for Oakland tonight, but I don’t think that I want much exposure to Marco Gonzales. I see Gonzales returning to form more than I see him having another bad game.

Bargain Shoppers:

Todd Frazier and Jose Bautista have both homered against Luis Severino, but they are the only two that have any sort of success against Severino.

MadBum has struggled on the road this year, so attacking him may not be a bad idea. That said, he is maybe still an ace. He looks like it at home. At any rate, Kike Hernandez is going to be in my lineup. Hernandez is 15-33(.455) with four homers and eight RBI against Bumgarner. Matt Kemp has homered off of him three times as well.

James McCann is 5-9 with two RBI against Reynaldo Lopez, and he is just $2,600. The only other Tiger I would really consider is Nick Castellanos, but the price tag is a bit off-putting.

This could be a place to go after Royals if you don’t believe in Reid-Foley in his major league debut, but I would do it on the lower level instead of Merrifield. I would go after the power of Bonifacio and the consistency of Alex Gordon or the hot streak of Mondesi.

MLB Game by Game breakdown August 13. dark. Next

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