DraftKings Main MLB Picks August 18: Will Price dominate Fenway?
By Mike Marteny
DraftKings Main MLB Picks August 18: Will Price dominate Fenway?
We have 11 games in the main DraftKings tournament, which still gives us a lot to choose from. However, there is only one pitcher priced in five digits. Is he worth it? Who can outperform their price point? Let’s check out these matchups!
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Delayed starts are possible in Pittsburgh, Atlanta, and Cincinnati, but it looks like all of those are in the clear after the initial delay. In Boston, it’s not so simple. The rain isn’t scheduled to clear out until nearly 10pm eastern, and I have no idea if they will wait that long to play. The good news is that if they wait it out, the game will play without incident afterwards.
We will provide you with several options to build your lineup here. Want to spend all your money on pitchers and play bargain bats? We will highlight who is worth the money. Want to punt arms and pay up for the big boppers? We can help you with that as well, and everything in between!
These tips are based mostly on past performance. This is a nice tool for building a lineup, but should not be the only pieces of information you use. We have plenty of writers on here who give you relevant information no matter which site you play on!
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Top Tier:
Mike Foltynewicz ($11,100): The Rockies have actually hit Folty pretty well, but the massive strikeout potential against the free swinging Rockies almost make him look cheap. The Rockies have struck out ten or more times in every game this road trip, including last night when they lit up Sean Newcomb. That makes me a little nervous here. I think Folty racks up double digit strikeouts, but he could give up half a dozen runs too. I’m not sure I want to spend, but the enormous strikeout potential makes him a very attractive GPP option.
David Price ($9,800): it’s hard to pay this much for Price, but he has held his former team to a pathetic .153 average in 85 at bats with just one homer and two runs with a staggering 26 strikeouts. Keep an eye on the weather. Weird things can happen with delays to lead off or within the game. If this game is unaffected by the rain though, I’m inclined to pay the ace price for Price. He has a 3.28 ERA in 10 home starts, and has racked up 80.8 DraftKings points in four starts against the Rays this year.
Madison Bumgarner ($9,000): What do we do with this guy? MadBum was good against the Dodgers, but he still only picked up 12.1 DraftKings points. Why? A no decision and only four strikeouts. Where are the strikeouts? They could show up against a pretty free swinging Reds squad. But that seems like a pretty big risk to take for this price. The Reds offense is struggling, but there are still dangerous pieces – mostly right handed – in this lineup in one of the most hitter friendly parks in the league. There is big risk here, but the reward could be the highest point total of the night.
Middle Tier:
Zack Godley ($8,700): Godley has had his ups and downs this year, but he seems to be getting more consistent lately. The Padres are hitting a decent .240 off of Godley, but they only have one homer and six runs in 104 at bats with 24 strikeouts. The Padres are dangerous, but Godley has handled them so far. I see no reason for that to change here.
Joe Musgrove ($7,800): The Cubs are hitting just .206 against Musgrove in 34 at bats with only home run and four strikeouts. Like Chatwood, Musgrove doesn’t have much for strikeout upside. However, the Cubs were shut down by Williams last night. This offense is less dangerous without Bryant, so there is decent potential with Musgrove. Also like Chatwood, I don’t particularly like the price. Musgrove did pick up 21.2 DraftKings points on the Cubs earlier this year though.
Bargain Pitchers:
Tyler Chatwood ($6,300): The Pirates are hitting a pretty robust .300 against Chatwood in 60 at bats, but they don’t have much to show for it. The Pirates have just one homer and four runs in that span, and Chatwood has racked up 15 strikeouts. This is a pitcher’s park, so there is decent upside if Chatwod is going to keep striking out Pirates at this rate. However, there are dangerous hitters in this lineup, so it is not without risk.
Brad Keller ($6,100): Keller racked up 23.5 DraftKings points in Failed Loans Field 16 days ago. Not much has changed since then. Keller has looked good against average or worse lineups, and the White Sox certainly qualify. There is some risk involved because of the power in the lineup, but the elevated strikeout rate is going to keep Keller’s score in the mid teens at worse. There is solid potential here tonight.
Kansas City Royals vs. Dylan Covey:
Covey has been a disaster lately, with a 8.94 ERA over his last ten starts. He has ability, but right now Covey is really reeling. The Royals are figuring out how to score runs again, and could be a sneaky stack here. Salvador Perez and Whit Merrifield are the places to start this. Bonifacio and Brett Phillips are worth a look as well. The power of Lucas Duda and the hot hitting of Mondesi need to be represented here as well.
Washington Nationals vs. Wei-Yin Chen:
Chen’s home/road splits are as big of a chasm as I have ever seen. Chen has a 10.27 ERA in nine road starts. The kicker of it is that it is getting worse. Chen also has allowed eight runs in 11.2 innings to the Nationals this year. Stack away! Mark Reynolds has three homers and seven RBI off of Chen in just 12 at bats! Wilmer Difo, Trea Turner, and Michael Taylor have all homered off of Chen as well. Bryce Harper is worth a look since he is 7-23(.304) with four RBI and a steal against Chen. Juan Soto hits lefties well enough to play him here as well.
Minnesota Twins vs. Ryan Carpenter:
Carpenter has been a disaster in the majors this year, and the Twins are hitting lefties well right now. This will be the third one in a row for them. Logan Forsythe is a lock right now. Mitch Garver, Miguel Sano, and the power of Tyler Austin are all worth a look here. I like Jorge Polanco to finish this off, but I can’t rule out using Rosario or Kepler either, especially if Carpenter doesn’t hang around very long.
Atlanta Braves vs. Antonio Senzatela:
Antonio Senzatela is making his return from the DL in Hotlanta, a place that is not kind to right handed pitching. Senzatela also has an ERA nearly double his home mark on the road. Freeman is an elite play tonight. Acuna and Ozzie Albies are not far behind. Johan Camargo is worth a look, and so is the starting catcher. Dansby Swanson is still affordable, and he is starting to hit. This whole lineup has quite a bit of potential tonight.
Texas Rangers vs. Andrew Heaney:
The middle tier is quite a minefield tonight. The Rangers have absolutely destroyed Heaney in his career. They are hitting .415 off of Heaney with five homers and 11 runs in just 41 at bats. Heaney has been prone to blowups at times, and in the Texas heat and humidity seems like a logical place for it. This offense is getting hot right now anyway. Profar is one of my favorite plays here. Robinson Chirinos and Adrian Beltre are a combined 9-12 with four homers and eight RBI against Heaney. Elvis is 4-10 with a homer off of him. Choo hits lefties well enough for consideration. Even Joey Gallo is perfect against Heaney with a single and a walk. There are many ways to attack this.
Los Angeles Angels vs. Martin Perez:
The Angels destroyed Perez earlier this year, racking up eight runs in just three innings. Perez has a 6.71 ERA on the season for a reason. Even without Trout in the lineup, the Angels are a stack that I’m in on. Splits don’t matter here. Everyone is punishing Perez. Justin Upton and Kole Calhoun are my favorite plays here, but it is certainly not limited to them. I’ll take the catcher, whoever it may be, Andrelton Simmons, Taylor Ward, Albert Pujols, the list goes on. I’m not all that crazy about Ohtani for the price, but I’m sure I could wedge him in there too.
Arizona Diamondbacks vs. Clayton Richard:
Richard has been a disaster against Arizona his entire career, but he has pitched pretty well at home. I’m not sure it matters. A.J. Pollock is 7-20 with two homers and seven RBI against Richard. Goldy has a .375 average in 32 at bats with a homer and ten walks. Ten! Mathis or John Ryan Murphy is wroth a look as well. I’m really only on righties here since Richard has done well against lefties, but that still leaves the power of Souza and Ketel Marte or Nick Ahmed.
Top Tier:
I have always like Tyler Glasnow from his days in the minors, and I’m glad to see him having some success. However, I simply can’t trust him against the Red Sox. There is too much power in this lineup, and the game is in Fenway. Mookie and J.D. are in play. Mitch Moreland isn’t a bad idea either. I could see Glasnow having a pretty good outing so I’m not going to go nuts, but I doubt he comes out of this clean either.
Foltynewicz has been good everywhere this year, so I don’t think the Rockies are going to do a lot of damage. However, Blackmon and David Dahl are both heating up at the end of this road trip. I like them both here in a lefty friendly park.
Rich Hill has been good, but with so many options, we can get good at a lower price. That and Nelson Cruz slaughters lefties at home. I may use Jean Segura in the revenge series as well, but Cruz is definitely in my lineup.
I don’t trust Erasmo Ramirez in his first start back from the DL, and Manny Machado homered twice last night. I definitely want Manny. He has homered twice off of Erasmo as well. Aside from that, the rest of the Dodgers really haven’t won me back yet.
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Middle Tier:
J.T Realmuto leads the charge for the Marlins tonight. Tommy Milone surrendered three runs to the Marlins in six innings the first time around, and I would play Milone if he weren’t so darn expensive. He doesn’t get enough strikeouts to even consider at this point. He will give up a few runs, so Realmuto and Brian Anderson both look like solid plays in the middle of that order.
Wade Miley has been nothing short of brilliant this year, but the luster is starting to fade a bit. Miley has allowed five runs over his last two starts. The Cardinals have hit him hard in the past. I think Miley has been good enough to not stack against, but I do want DeJong and Marcell Ozuna tonight. Matt Carpenter is 6-13 with two RBI, so he is definitely worth a look as well.
Miles Mikolas has been really good against most of the league, but he has struggled against the Brewers for whatever reason. I’m not willing to take that risk on Mikolas since the strikeouts aren’t there. I would rather chase a couple of Brewers bats. Lorenzo Cain, Manny Pina, and Eric Thames have homers off of Mikolas. Still, I think Travis Shaw and Moose are the ones I’m really after here.
The Tigers will get another crack at Kohl Stewart, but I don’t really think they will get too much off of him. I like Castellanos and maybe V-Mart as a feel good play, but this offense is very hard to rely on. Goodrum is worth a shot as well, but I don’t know that I want too much invested here. There is a chance that Stewart turns in a pretty good game.
The only Padre I really have an interest is in Wil Myers. Myers has a homer and five RBI and a .467 average in 15 at bats against Godley. Hunter Renfroe has hit Godley well enough to consider as well.
Starling Marte is the only Pirate to homer off of Tyler Chatwood so far. Gregory Polanco and Corey Dickerson are definitely worth a look here though.
Matt Harvey has been imploding every other start. He’s due tonight against the Giants. Despite the fact that he is on schedule to be beaten like a rented mule and the fact that the Giants knocked him around earlier this year, I just can’t stack with this offense. Brandon Crawford and Joe Panik are worth a look here. Maybe McCutchen too. The rest of the offense is struggling. Belt is hitting just .132 over the last ten games. Harvey may get lucky just because this team is incapable of beating up on anyone.
Bargain Shoppers:
I don’t really like any Rays tonight, but C.J. Cron could be a solid one off play. He is 6-21 lifetime against Price with three runs and a RBI.
Much as the last few nights, I think I want to take my chances with Reds on the cheap. Billy Hamilton has returned to the leadoff role thanks to a recent hot streak that he seen him swipe five bags in the last ten games. Hamilton also has a homer and three RBI in his career against MadBum. Suarez is still pretty expensive. The upside is there, but there are more sure things out there.
If you are looking for that needle in a haystack, it could be Leury Garcia. He is 405 with two doubles and two RBI against Brad Keller, but he still bats at the bottom of the lineup. That limits his upside. Jose Abreu is still worth a look as well.
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