DraftKings CFB picks August 30: Milton could be a monster!

DraftKings CFB picks August 30: Milton could be a monster!

The return of College Football on DraftKings was a whole lot of fun! I did make a wrong choice at RB, but still made up ground with Carta-Samuels at QB and some good receivers. We have far more elite options to choose from this time with five QB’s topping five figures.

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There is a larger slate on Thursday with seven games going on. We have three FCS teams and a couple of them are really worth going after.

The scoring for NCAA football is much the same as it is for the NFL with one notable exception: the super flex! That means aside from the flex position which is RB/WR, you can add another player from any position! Want four running backs? Go right ahead! Five wide receivers? Sure! Two quarterbacks? Of course! Just stay under the salary cap! There is also late swap, which is essential for contests with start times spanning several hours (are you listening for the NBA, DraftKings?).

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Top Tier:

McKenzie Milton ($11,700): Milton had a huge year for undefeated UCF last year, and UConn is very terrible. That’s the nicest way to say it. They were DEAD LAST in pass defense in FBS last year! At any rate, I’m inclined to say that Milton is worth the money. Despite all the shakeups in the coaching staff, I think most things will stay the same at UCF. Josh Heupel is a really good coach as well. Milton’s 34.64 against UConn last year would likely leave us wanting a bit more though, so I’m not convinced he will be the highest scorer. However, Milton will likely have the most consistent floor.

Taylor Cornelius ($10,800): I don’t particularly like the split QB situation at A&M. I think they both have big games against Northwestern State, but good luck picking which one. Mond will start, but Starkel played very well last year before he got hurt. Instead, I will look towards Cornelius. who will probably play most of the game against Missouri State. Cornelius is given the keys to a pretty dangerous offense. They want him to know how to run it, and there is no substitute for game experience. I look for Cornelius to play at least three quarters no matter what the score.

Tyler Huntley ($10,000): So, who has the best matchup? Milton at least plays a FBS team, we don’t know what to expect from Cornelius, and Huntley plays Weber State. Statistically, UConn allowed more passing yards than Weber did last year, but Huntley’s running game is what makes him special. Not that Milton can’t run, but does he really need to? Here we have to decide to go with the sure thing that is Milton, but we don’t know how long he will play. Cornelius, we don’t know. At least Huntley has the running game to fall back on.

Middle Tier:

Riley Neal ($8,400): In this tier we have backups……and Neal. Neal played well last year before getting hurt early on. Central Connecticut may not statistically be the worst opponent on the slate, but they are in the running. The advantage that Neal may have here is that Ball State may not run off with this game with the defense they have. Neal could wind up playing the entire game, which gives him some hidden value.

Zack Annexstad ($7,000): New Mexico State gets to face their second redshirt freshman in a row. They did pretty well against the first one, but this one beat out two others and has more weapons around him. Coach P.J. Fleck has stated that Annexstad wont split time. The job is his until he loses it. Even though Annexstad doesn’t have the best matchup, the price is low enough that he can be used as a superflex instead of another RB.

Bargain Shoppers:

Sam Hartman ($6,800): Hartman is intriguing for one simple fact: he gets to throw to Greg Dortsch. We don’t know exactly what to expect from Hartman, but he is in a better spot than most first year starters since he has both leading receivers returning from last season. We have the option to use Hartman and Dortsch or Milton. I don’t know that we can cram all three in there.

Jacob Dolegala ($5,800): I do expect Thorson to take the Northwestern job at some point, and Purdue will play both quarterbacks, so the best option seems to be to go with the QB that has the best matchup among FCS teams. That is easily Dolegala. He played well at times last year, especially down the stretch. That looks good coming into this matchup. That Ball State defense shouldn’t scare anyone.

Top Tier:

Justice Hill ($9,500): Trayveon Williams is likely the most explosive, but Hill will get to help carry the load for inexperienced quarterback(s). The problem is I don’t like paying this much for backs that likely wont play anywhere near a full game. Can Hill put up huge numbers on 20 carries? Absolutely. Will he get 20 carries? Against Missouri State? Doubtful.

Zack Moss ($8,900): Moss was a beast down the stretch last year, carving up both West Virginia and Colorado. I think this will be largely the same situation as Hill and Williams. I don’t see Moss getting a huge number of carries in a game where they really don’t need to use him. Can Moss hit value in a half? Probably. But I still think there may be better options at a lower price.

Middle Tier:

Rodney Smith ($8,500): The Aggies got carved up by Evans last week, so there is no reason to think that Smith wont do the same. With Shannon Brooks out of the picture, Smith is definitively the lead back. Smith will also help carry the load for a young quarterback. We needed Evans to cash on Saturday. We could be in the same situation with Smith here.

Matt Colburn II ($7,200): You may have noticed that I’m picking on the Tulane defense here. There is a reason for that. First off, this is one of the few FBS vs. FBS games out there. That tells me that the game should be more competitive. Should being the operative word. There are a couple of guys that I could see taking a shot with on this level, but I do like the Wake Forest offense with most of the returning skill players. That is invaluable early in the season.

Bargain Shoppers:

James Gilbert ($6,600): Gilbert also went down early last season, which helps explain why Ball State was so awful offensively last year. Before Gilbert went down, he ran for 207 yards and four touchdowns in three games. Those are pretty good numbers. He should flirt with the century mark here against Central Connecticut in the opener, which gives him pretty good upside for the price.

Otis Anderson ($5,800): Anderson had a nice year last year, and had his best game of the season against UConn with 24.1 DraftKings points. This is a pass first offense, but Anderson was still kept involved most of the time. There is clear upside here since most of the UCF offense is still intact from last season. That experience together is huge!

Stephon Huderson ($4,400): Tulane is going with co-starting RB’s, at least for this game. Normally I would avoid, but Huderson is cheap and Wake’s defense wasn’t great last year. I’m willing to take a shot on Huderson at this price. Zavier Scott is interesting too because he is down in this price range and is starting for UConn. The bad news? UCF has a pretty stout defense.

Top Tier:

Justin Hall ($8,800): Hall had a pretty good year last year despite all of the injuries on offense. Now that he is back with Riley Neal, we could see Hall bust out this year. Hall had 50.8 DraftKings points in the three games that Neal was healthy. After that, he only had two more 20+ DraftKings point games. I will admit that I am a little nervous about most of the upper tier because of blowout potential and/or new QB’s.

Jhamon Ausbon ($8,100): Ausbon really broke out in the Belk Bowl, racking up 32.2 DraftKings points. He played in the shadow of Christian Kirk most of last year, but now he is the unquestioned number one guy. Ausbon could be in for a huge season, and it starts here. He may only play 40 minutes, but he is capable of putting up huge numbers in that time.

Greg Dortch ($7,700): Dortch went down in October last year after a monster game against Louisville in which he scored 52.1 DraftKings points. Now, that is not an every week type of thing, but he is capable of putting up huge numbers with the right matchup. This is the right matchup. Dortch is my favorite receiver out there, so I was happy to see him at this price.

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Middle Tier:

Jalen McCleskey ($7,100): Oklahoma State loves to spread the ball around. I am assuming that a different QB wont change that. All of the Cowboy receivers are worth a look here, but if I take a chance on one it will be McCleskey or Tyron Johnson, who had as many points in the Oklahoma game as he had the rest of the season combined. It’s usually best to let these situations play out at least a week before just jumping in with a new QB unless there is a clear top option. I’m not sure there is here.

Britain Covey ($6,700): Remember him? We haven’t seen hide nor hair of the Pac 12 freshman of the year in 2015 because of a mission trip to Chile. Covey is back, and apparently as fast as ever. He could be an absolute steal at this price. The upside for Covey is as good as anyone on this slate.

Bennett Skowronek ($6,200): Skowronek was Clayton Thorson’s favorite target last year, and figures to be this year as well. The thing that could throw a wrench into this is if he isn’t T.J. Green’s favorite. Still, this is a reasonable price for a guy that averaged almost 100 yards per game with Thorson under center.

Bargain Shoppers:

Terren Encalade ($5,700): Encalade finished last season strong with 57.3 DraftKings points over the last two games. He comes into 2018 as the favorite receiver here. Like I said, Wake was torched in the bowl game, so I don’t see Tulane’s offense coming up completely empty. Most of the Wave are cheap, and could be used to fill holes along the way. I could see Tulane in the high 20’s for points or higher.

Alex Bachman ($3,900): It looks like Scotty Washington is going to miss this game, so Bachman will go right back into the number two roles that he filled last year. Bachman was solid in the role. For this price, I really like him here as a way to save money. Bachman could come close to double digit DraftKings points even if he doesn’t score a touchdown.

Drew Dan ($3,000): Dan was the leading receiver in the opener against Wyoming, picking up 60 yards and a touchdown. He could be touchdown reliant, which would limit the value. However, it is telling that this is where the new QB went for his only touchdown. Dan is worth a flier at this price.

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