DraftKings CFB picks September1: A.J. Brown could have a huge game

ATLANTA, GA – JANUARY 07: Detail of the College Football Playoff National Championship trophy, along with the helmets of the 2 competing teams, University of Alabama (left) and University of Georgia (right) on January 7, 2018 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Mike Zarrilli/Getty Images) /

DraftKings CFB picks September1: A.J. Brown could have a huge game

DraftKings is featuring 16 games for us to sink our teeth into for the main College Football tournament. Southern and Furman get to play with the big boys and in a DraftKings tournament for the day. If we have learned anything over the first two slates it’s that using skill players from these small schools can pay off big in garbage time……or leave you with absolutely nothing.

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OAKLAND, CA – JUNE 15: The Oakland Athletics number one draft pick Kyler Murray #1 an outfielder out of the University of Oklahoma takes batting practice prior to the start of the game between the Los Angeles Angels of Anaheim and Oakland Athletics at the Oakland Alameda Coliseum on June 15, 2018 in Oakland, California. (Photo by Thearon W. Henderson/Getty Images) /

Top Tier:

Kyler Murray ($11,900): I think Murray is going to do well in this offense, but I also think that Oklahoma isn’t going to push it. Once this game gets out of hand – and it will – I expect Murray to wind up on the bench with the rest of the starters for much, if not all, of the fourth quarter. Can Murray give us a large total in three quarters? Yeah, I’m sure he can. However, I think there are better places to look for value.

Dwayne Haskins ($11,600): Haskins saw very little time behind Barrett last year. This is a glorified practice for him against an awful Oregon State team. In fact, I wouldn’t be shocked if Haskins got hit harder in practices than he will be in this game. The question here is how long Ohio State will leave him in. Is he vital to the team’s championship hopes? If the coaching staff thinks so, I see Haskins playing about three quarters. As with Murray, he may put up huge numbers in that span, but we may be able to do better.

Will Grier ($10,500): I think I like Grier here over everyone else. First, he is the only quarterback that has extensive starting experience with his current team. There is no learning curve here. Second, Tennessee is a decent opponent. I’m not saying that West Virginia wont pull away, but this isn’t going to be a massive blowout like the other two could be. Grier has a good chance at playing most, if not all of this game. As we saw last year, he is capable of putting up some huge numbers.

Middle Tier:

Jordan Ta’amu ($9,900): This game should stay close throughout, and this Texas Tech defense has issues stopping anyone, really. Ole Miss will have to throw to win, and this defense is going to make it easy. I still think I like Grier a little more, but it’s close. Play whichever one you can afford.

Gardner Minshew II ($8,900): The East Carolina transfer will get the keys to Mike Leach’s Porsche to start the season. The Cougars only have six players on the roster who caught a pass last year. Anyone who has followed a Leach team over the years know that’s a small number. At any rate, this offense shouldn’t miss a beat. This Wyoming defense looked good in the opener, but they weren’t playing an offense anywhere near this potent. Minshew could rack up a ton of yards in a hurry.

JT Daniels ($8,700): For all of the success that UNLV had last year, their defense, in particular the pass defense, was still horrible. The Trojans want to give Daniels as much experience as they can since most kids his age are still in high school. For that reason, Daniels could be worth using here. There is nothing like in game reps, and UNLV should be good practice.

McLane Carter ($8,600): Carter is listed as a “co-starter,” but he will get first crack at Ole Miss. I usually try to stay away from uncertainly at QB unless I’m going to play both of them, but this Texas Tech offense is potent. Potent enough to still make Carter enticing if he doesn’t get himself benched.

Bargain Shoppers:

Ross Bowers ($7,000): The middle tier is littered with QBs splitting time with no definitive answer as to just how much they play. A little digging will get you to Bowers, the unquestioned starter who threw for nearly 3,000 yards last year. This game should stay close enough for Bowers to play the whole game. North Carolina’s pass defense wasn’t very good last year. This could be a nice spot for Bowers here with little risk attached.

Marcus Childers ($6,300): I expect NIU to hang with Iowa. Last year Childers did a good job of taking care of the ball, and is a capable runner with the ball as well. Iowa has a solid defense, so Childers isn’t going to have a big game. However, the thought of using someone from Furman or Tennessee-Martin is looking more unappealing by the minute. I think I would rather roll with Childers, so has a much higher floor.

INDIANAPOLIS, IN – DECEMBER 02: Running back J.K. Dobbins #2 of the Ohio State Buckeyes runs the ball against the Wisconsin Badgers in the first half during the Big Ten Championship game at Lucas Oil Stadium on December 2, 2017 in Indianapolis, Indiana. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images) /

Top Tier:

J.K. Dobbins ($10,300): I do realize that Dobbins may not play more than a half here, but Oregon State’s defense was so bad last year that Dobbins could do a lot of damage even in that little time. If the Buckeyes decide to ease the QB into the game, then Dobbins is going to have a huge game. I still think he’s worth the price here.

D’Andre Swift ($9,300): It speaks volumes about just how good Georgia’s running backs were last year that this guy was third on the depth chart. Swift is going to get a lot of carries this year. He looks to easily be the best back on the roster. Oklahoma has several backs and a running QB, so I would rather go with Swift, even with the little uncertainty.

Patrick Laird ($8,900): Laird was one of the more quiet 1,000 yard rushers in the country last year. Remember what I said about Carolina’s pass defense? Their run defense was even worse. Laird could be in for a big game here. Big enough for him to get close to the numbers on Dobbins.

Middle Tier:

Travis Etienne ($8,100): Etienne is a good back that is often overshadowed in this offense. The Tigers may throw him a bone against Furman. Etienne and most of the starters aren’t going to play more than three quarters in this one, but this is a solid price for a guy that is capable of putting up pretty big numbers.

Devin Singletary ($7,100): Singletary ran for nearly 2,000 yards last year, and the Oklahoma defense was gouged by nearly everyone last year. The only thing I would be worried about with playing Singletary is if the Owls get down big early and stop running the ball. However, the potential here is intoxicating. Singletary could be an under the radar play against a defense that just isn’t very good.

Ivory Kelly-Martin ($7,000): Kelly-Martin is not Akrum Wadley. He is not going to see the workload that Wadley did. He is not going to put up nearly the numbers that Wadley did. Now that we understand that, Kelly-Martin may be more slippery than Wadley was. He is going to have plenty of opportunities to run off with this job here. The price is right to take a chance.

Bargain Shoppers:

Trey Sermon ($6,800): Sermon ran for over 700 yards as a true freshman backing up Anderson last year. I think I prefer Sermon over the high price on Anderson because Sermon should get a decent amount of carries in this one. He wont be in there in garbage time, but in pre-garbage time, Sermon could be the lead back for a few drives.

Kennedy McKoy ($5,700): West Virginia has quite a few backs, but McKoy can separate himself because of his versatility. Tennessee’s run defense was pretty bad last year. McKoy should be the starter to open this game, and should see the lion’s share of the carries. That’s a hell of a bargain for this price.

Jordon Brown ($5,000): Projected starter Michael Carter is going to be out at least a month with a wrist injury, so Brown will get first crack to fill his shoes. Cal’s defense was nothing to write home about last year, so I see plenty of potential for Brown here. Antonio Williams may get a crack at this if Brown falters, but I do like the potential, and Brown frees up cap to pay for a stud.

Nico Evans ($4,500): Evans is going to carry massive ownership at the price after he ran for 190 and two scores in the opener against New Mexico State. Wazzu’s defense is better, but Evans proved that he is the unquestioned starter. He will see a lot of carries for a little price. It’s hard to fade that, especially on a huge slate like this.

PASADENA, CA – JANUARY 01: Marquise Brown #5 of the Oklahoma Sooners and CeeDee Lamb #9 of the Oklahoma Sooners react in the 2018 College Football Playoff Semifinal at the Rose Bowl Game presented by Northwestern Mutual at the Rose Bowl on January 1, 2018 in Pasadena, California. (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images) /

Top Tier:

A.J. Brown ($10,800): Brown is easily the best receiver in what should be a high scoring game. I trust him more than any of the top running backs, and maybe even more than the quarterbacks. Texas Tech’s secondary has practically zero chance of handling Brown in this one.

T.J. Vasher ($9,400): The risk with playing Vasher is that Texas Tech throws to anyone in a Texas Tech uniform. This includes student managers, coaches, ushers, vendors, and those guys that move the chains. Seriously though, just because Vasher is the leading returning receiver doesn’t mean that he will get a lot of catches. Vasher is GPP only due to the volatility, but he is capable of having a big game in what should be a high scoring affair.

Marquise Brown ($8,200): Brown seems very reasonably priced compared to the other top receivers on this slate. Oklahoma has a lot of weapons, but Brown should be the first option for Murray or whomever else lines up under center. There is solid potential for Brown here. He is capable of huge games.

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Middle Tier:

Deebo Samuel ($8,000): Samuel suffered a nasty broken leg against Kentucky in the third game last year. By that time, Samuel already had 250 yards and four touchdowns. If he is completely healthy, Samuel could be a bargain at this price. South Carolina likely wont push him here, but I can see them giving him several targets just to get him back in the flow of things before the game gets out of hand.

K.J. Hill ($6,500): Hill is dangerous here because Ohio State will use him all over the field. He will line up in the backfield, in the slot, as a fullback, or split out. It really doens’t matter where the depth chart says Hill is. He is going to see a lot of snaps, and is pretty tempting at this price.

DaMarkus Lodge ($5,900): If you think only one receiver is safe against Texas Tech, you didn’t watch them much last year. Lodge was second on the team in all receiving categories to Brown last year, and he is nearly half the price. Lodge goes nicely as a stack with Brown or on his own. There is good potential here.

Bargain Shoppers:

Willie Wright ($5,400): Yes, this is another FAU dart. Wright got several carries on end arounds and jet sweeps last year, plays on which the Oklahoma defense struggled to sniff out. I don’t see Wright getting a ton through the air, but the fact that he could be used for a little trickery makes him an interesting option here.

Kavontae Turpin ($5,000): Turpin is one of the fastest men in the state of Texas. I don’t think that TCU used him to his full potential last year. If they have a QB that can get him the ball this year, look out!

Grant Calcaterra ($4,800): Calcaterra saw some value garbage time snaps last year, hauling in three touchdowns in his ten receptions. What’s the big deal about a tight end? Mark Andrews, Oklahoma’s tight end last year, was targeted 91 times. 91! The tight end is used very liberally in this offense, and Calcaterra has already proven he has good hands. There is good sleeper potential here.

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