Jacksonville Jaguars (-3) at New York Giants
If you’re looking for a sleeper, feast your eyes on the Giants. New York has a loaded offense with Saquon Barkley, Odell Beckham Jr., Evan Engram and Sterling Shepard. If the defense simply rebounds to average, the Giants will win games. The Jaguars have a loaded defense, but Blake Bortles doesn’t inspire a ton of confidence.
Pick: New York 20, Jacksonville 16
Houston Texans at New England Patriots (-6.5)
This might be the best game of Week 1. The Patriots have a middling roster once you get past Tom Brady and Rob Gronkowski, but those guys make up for plenty of sins. Meanwhile, the Texans are talented at every position group save the offensive line. Maybe an AFC Championship Game preview?
Pick: New England 33, Houston 28
Tennessee Titans (-1) at Miami Dolphins
The Titans are impossible to figure. Tennessee should be very tough defensively, but can Marcus Mariota and the offense round into form. Getting Miami should be a gift to start the season, because the Dolphins are without an identity. Are they a run-first offense, a pass-happy group, defensive oriented? Tough to say.
Pick: Tennessee 17, Miami 12
Cincinnati Bengals at Indianapolis Colts (-3)
How in God’s name are the Colts favored? It’s great to see Andrew Luck back healthy, but the rest of that roster leaves plenty to be desired. Meanwhile, the Bengals have a terrific defense that should carry the day come Sunday.
Pick: Cincinnati 30, Indianapolis 17
Pittsburgh Steelers (-3.5) at Cleveland Browns
It’s very, very tempting to pick the Browns here. Pittsburgh is emotionally reeling from the Le’Veon Bell fiasco, and the defense never recovered from losing Ryan Shazier. The Steelers, on paper, should win, but this isn’t going to be a cakewalk as it has been in years past.
Pick: Pittsburgh 21, Cleveland 20