NFL DFS DraftKings Week 2: TE Ownership Projections
Every week of the NFL season, I will provide you with my projected Draftkings Week 2 NFL DFS Ownership of each position for the DraftKings main slate. These projections are based on social trends, pricing, injury reports, match-ups and so on. Sources include beat reporters, weather reports, individual team injury reports, Pro Football Reference and FanShare Sports.
Each and every week, I will be your ownership guru here at Fantasy CPR. On Saturday’s, you will have access to my projected ownership for Draftkings Week 2 RB Ownership and we will recap the results on Mondays/Tuesdays. Click Here To See Week 1 Ownership Results for TEs.
For clarity, we will only be analyzing the main slate of the week (1PM and 4PM EST games) on DraftKings which includes the new version of the Millionaire Maker, Roman’s Fantasy Football Millionaire.
The best thing that can happen to your lineup is finding a low owned, high reward player who can separate you from the competition. There is no better feeling than seeing your top WR score two touchdowns and noticing he is only owned by 2% of the field.
This season, I will provide you with who I expect to be the highest owned players at each position along with some of the top expected performers with low ownership expectations. I will also provide my picks per position based on the ownership and pricing relationship and isolate a few hidden gems.
"A contrarian is a person that takes up a contrary position, especially a position that is opposed to that of the majority."
Let’s take a look at the projected ownership of Tight Ends in Week 2!
Draftkings Week 2 TE Ownership: HIGHEST OWNED TIGHT ENDS
Draftkings Week 2 TE Ownership: Top Tier (10-15% Owned)
George Kittle
Jared Cook
Jordan Reed
It is very conservative to say George Kittle ($3800) will land around 15% owned this week as the 49ers head home for the first time this season to host the Lions. At $3800, you are not going to find greater value this week across the board. After being targeted on 9 pass attempts, Kittle reeled in 5 catches including a game-long 36 yard completion for 90 yards total. A tight end that can stretch the field vertically is rare and the 49ers may have one with Kittle.
Both Kittle and Cook are under $4000 this weekend and you better believe the DFS public is jumping all over the pair of TEs who were shining stars in week 1. In a favorable match up vs. the Lions, Kittle will certainly see 9 or more targets this week while Goodwin remains sidelined.
Jared Cook ($3600) was a BRIGHT spot for the Raiders in Week 1. On 12 targets, Cook wrangled in 9 catches for 180 yards. Thanks to the Rams funnel defense, Cook was able to gash LA for a career high in reception yards. This is clearly a pace that Cook can not keep up but there is reason to believe he will continue to be a big part of Jon Gruden’s plan. Michael Crabtree is gone, Marshawn Lynch is still 32 and there is a clear disconnect between Derek Carr and Amari Cooper. Cook should remain a safety blanket for Carr for the foreseeable future.
Jordan Reed ($5000) is one of the best tight ends in the league WHEN HEALTHY. Alex Smith had a great career in Kansas City while deploying the assistance of Travis Kelce and he seamlessly moved that role to Reed. After a pretty good start to the season (4 catches for 48 yards and a TD), Reed should progress with Smith throughout the season as his #1 target. In week 1, the ball was dominated by Adrian Peterson and Chris Thompson but that should be spread out in week 2.
Draftkings Week 2 TE Ownership: Middle Tier (7-9% Owned)
Rob Gronkowski
David Njoku
Jack Doyle
Rob Gronkowski ($7000) will always garner some interest in DFS because he is essentially an elite WR with an elite TEs price tag. He has been unmatched in pricing and DFS interest since the brief period of time where Jimmy Graham was lighting the world on fire. This week he is in a situation where he is almost double the cost of two TEs with major interest (Cook and Kittle) implying he must double the production of the two of them. He also faces a stout defense in the Jacksonville Jaguars in a Week 2 rematch of last seasons AFC Championship showdown. He has also had some extra motivation this week spewed from the mouth of Jalen Ramsey and is always a threat for a ridiculous stat line.
The interest in David Njoku ($3000) is based on pure potential. Njoku had 3 catches for a mere 13 yards but had 7 targets in Week 1. With the permanent absence of Josh Gordon going forward and the need to find another go-to guy outside of Jarvis Landry for Tyrod Taylor, Njoku is a talented weapon that has gone relatively under utilized. He joins both Landry and Taylor as targets of interest this week as Cleveland heads to New Orleans to face a clearly struggling Saints defense.
Jack Doyle ($4000) was a top owned TE in Week 1 thanks to the high expectations of Andrew Luck’s return. Eric Ebron had a pleasant start to his Colts career including a TD that frustrated many who had hoped would be Doyle’s. Despite the presence of another talented TE, Doyle still saw 10 targets and caught 7 for 60 yards. Doyle should be a safe play in all Colts match ups this season but he runs into a bit of a buzzsaw being priced closely to Kittle and Cook.
Who should I play out of the expected ‘chalk’?
There is a guy I have identified in the low-ownership group who I am very favorable of this week so I will likely be avoiding a lot of the chalk. The one guy that I will have exposure to just because of the absurd likelihood of success is George Kittle.
Draftkings Week 2 TE Ownership: Low Ownership Targets (Under 7% owned)
Ricky Seals-Jones
Travis Kelce
Zach Ertz
Ricky Seals-Jones ($2900) will definitely flirt with the 7%+ owned range but I think he will slide right under it this week vs. the Rams. At $2900, he is an even bigger leap down the board from Kittle and Cook. On 6 targets, he only brought in 3 balls for 19 yards in an abysmal performance by the Cardinals in week 1. However, he dominated the snap count and is proving to be a main stay in the offensive plans moving forward for Arizona
The Rams TE funnel defense was brutalized in Week 1 with the aforementioned Jared Cook exploding for 180 yards. I believe Seals-Jones is a legitimate WR-type tight end who can be as essential to the passing as Larry Fitzgerald and David Johnson.
Travis Kelce ($5900) and Zach Ertz ($6100) are generally considered the two best tight ends outside of Gronk in the NFL. Athletic freaks with un-defensable size, strength and speed who have tore up this league in recent years. Both had very rocky starts to the season as Kelce could only scramble for 6 yards on 1 catch and Ertz only caught 5 of 10 targets for 48 yards. Both Kelce and Ertz sit in the low $6000 range and would be excellent pivot plays this week with crazy high potential.
Which Low Owned TEs Should I Consider This Weekend?
I am just going to jump right to the point, I am all in on Ricky Seals-Jones this week. I think he has a legitimate role in the Cardinals offense and can kick that off this week for only $2900.